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12/9-12/10 Coastal Storm Observations

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Post by Snow88 Tue Dec 09, 2014 11:11 am

12z RGEM and 12z GFS still has the wraparound snow for the area tomorrow

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Post by essexcountypete Tue Dec 09, 2014 11:29 am

Wind has really picked up here in Florham Park in the last 20-30 minutes.
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Post by aiannone Tue Dec 09, 2014 11:30 am

Just started lightly snowing.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Dec 09, 2014 11:41 am

Wow look at laguaridia delays 247 min, click on the advisory maximum 996min!

http://www.fly.faa.gov/ois/
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Dec 09, 2014 11:49 am

Interesting Frank I guess you were right on timing and models were not (NAM showed strongest winds at noon or so), latest update to wind advisory extended it to 7pm and says winds don't pick up until this afternoon until evening.

* WINDS... NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH... BECOMING NORTH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND THE LARGE BRIDGES AROUND NEW YORK CITY.
* TIMING... STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

Note they also increased sustained speeds from 15-25 to 20-30. Still pouring out here.
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Post by Dtone Tue Dec 09, 2014 12:16 pm

HE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
BRONX COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
NEW HAVEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...
MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...
FAIRFIELD COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...

* UNTIL 315 PM EST

* AT 1208 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE AREA. THIS HAS BEEN
PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST FIVE HOURS. RAIN RATES BETWEEN A QUARTER
AND HALF INCH PER HOUR HAVE BEEN REPORTED.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF WATER IN URBAN
AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. FLOODING WILL BE EXACERBATED
ACROSS LOW LYING SHORE ROADS WITH HIGH TIDE.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Dec 09, 2014 12:40 pm

Yep dtone just came from brp it's raging. Winds start pick up going to start getting worse. The band of rain over us just isn't moving east. Training for what it said 5 hrs jeeze.
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Post by algae888 Tue Dec 09, 2014 12:42 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Yep dtone just came from brp it's raging. Winds start pick up going to start getting worse. The band of rain over us just isn't moving east. Training for what it said 5 hrs jeeze.

jman 2.4" so far what a downpour we just had. highways still ok but at there limit now. one more band to go through then we should be done. we were in the sweet spot for this storm too bad its all rain. Mad
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Post by HectorO Tue Dec 09, 2014 12:46 pm

My job will probably flood out and we'll have to go to our alternate location. I wish it would be like when it snows and develop a dry slot. This rain is annoying already.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Dec 09, 2014 12:55 pm

Al do u have a rain guage or where did u get ur report from?
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Post by Sunflowers138 Tue Dec 09, 2014 12:55 pm

Long Islanders... the Northern State Parkway is closed in both directions at 106/107 due to flooding.

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Dec 09, 2014 12:55 pm

I hear ya al 25 to 30 inches snow sigh
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Dec 09, 2014 12:57 pm

But I think we will have a even stronger system when it is cold and go all hecs! Or I prey lol
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Post by algae888 Tue Dec 09, 2014 1:01 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Al do u have a rain guage or where did u get ur report from?

yes I do it the old fashioned way a bucket and a ruler.lol I told my fiancée and kids I want a weather station for the backyard for xmas. if they don't get it I will.lol
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Dec 09, 2014 1:03 pm

I want one once I have house. But a bucket isn't accurate bc it's a certain circumference isn't it that a rain guage is? So it's probable more than 2.4
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Post by algae888 Tue Dec 09, 2014 1:05 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:I want one once I have house. But a bucket isn't accurate bc it's a certain circumference isn't it that a rain guage is? So it's probable more than 2.4
it could be. looks like we had more than 3".
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Dec 09, 2014 1:14 pm

Right now windy and cloudy, in a dryslot here.
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Post by Dtone Tue Dec 09, 2014 1:14 pm

That persistent band over NYC and immediate suburbs isn't letting up

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Post by algae888 Tue Dec 09, 2014 1:16 pm

@Dtone wrote:That persistent band over NYC and immediate suburbs isn't letting up

dtone its amazing! it doesn't want to let up. why cant this happen to us with snowstorms.lol
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Dec 09, 2014 1:18 pm

So whats next that the rain has stopped here we got close to 3 inches. Now is this the lull I guess and will I see snow tomorrow
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Post by algae888 Tue Dec 09, 2014 1:22 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:So whats next that the rain has stopped here we got close to 3 inches. Now is this the lull I guess and will I see snow tomorrow

more showery type rains. lp starting to close off and slow down. precip is now moving north to south over epa
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Post by mako460 Tue Dec 09, 2014 1:24 pm

Still pouring like hell here in Bklyn, my temp dropped 3* in last hour. Down to 39 now. Not sure if that means anything for backend snow but man if this had been in January when the Sea Surface temps were down in the low 40's upper 30's this could have been a good one.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Dec 09, 2014 1:24 pm

https://fbcdn-vthumb-a.akamaihd.net/hvthumb-ak-xpf1/v/t15.0-10/1976219_770637399638465_770637336305138_8115_767_b.jpg?oh=766be242c8d9bb8ed787967ae33dce97&oe=55107555&__gda__=1427449292_fca219f3f7af75106008509ef83c7cd7 a video of Point Pleasant Beach hopes it works.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Dec 09, 2014 1:24 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:So whats next that the rain has stopped here we got close to 3 inches. Now is this the lull I guess and will I see snow tomorrow

Where you are probably not.
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Post by sroc4 Tue Dec 09, 2014 1:25 pm

@algae888 wrote:
@Dtone wrote:That persistent band over NYC and immediate suburbs isn't letting up

dtone its amazing! it doesn't want to let up. why cant this happen to us with snowstorms.lol

It will!!! This season Al! 2.2" so far here in Wading River. Flooding going on right now in Many areas out here.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
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Feb 7th 6"
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