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January 2015 Obs & Discussions

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SNOW MAN
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Post by docstox12 Tue Jan 13, 2015 5:32 am

25.5, 70%, 30.48R.

Must be black ice up here, be careful HV residents!

Cold and dry, cold and dry.........boring week weatherwise.Looks like a Sunday warmup into the 40's as per NWS.

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Post by Quietace Tue Jan 13, 2015 7:16 am

algae888 wrote:6z nam has a snow storm for southern half of nj and light snow acc for li for wens. cmc has been hinting at this for days. skins ace and scott you guys may cash in on this...

January 2015 Obs & Discussions  - Page 7 Nam_namer_042_10m_wnd_precip
January 2015 Obs & Discussions  - Page 7 Nam_namer_057_precip_ptot
Not totally convinced just yet. GEM and Nam pretty stout in Te precip shield being that far NW. Others not so much.

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Post by Guest Tue Jan 13, 2015 9:25 am

Washington, Baltimore and SNJ? Is this March 2014 or January 2015?

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Post by Quietace Tue Jan 13, 2015 9:42 am

NAM went south with its precip shield. Doubt anyone north of cape may sees anything. DC and BALT may do well. 6z was a fluke
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 13, 2015 10:13 am

Going to be a cold one today. Low to mid 20's.

Fun

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 13, 2015 10:15 am

Quietace wrote:NAM went south with its precip shield. Doubt anyone north of cape may sees anything. DC and BALT may do well. 6z was a fluke

They're not getting anything either. NAM is the worse model known to man. It should be thrown into a fire pit. There might be some snow showers or flurries from the Mid-Atlantic into SNJ. No accumulations.

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Post by aiannone Tue Jan 13, 2015 2:10 pm

Possible Ocean Effect Snow showers for LI? NWS Upton says it's possible.
A LONG NELY FETCH SETS UP TNGT AND WED OVER THE ATLC.
LOW PRES TO THE S WILL HELP TO FOCUS THE FLOW. BOTH THE GFS AND
NAM ARE SHOWING THE BLOTCHY DZ SIGNAL IN THE QPF FIELDS. TIME
HEIGHTS VERIFY SATURATING LLVLS BLW H85. WITH THE ARCTIC AIRMASS
IN PLACE...TEMPS IN THE MOIST LAYER IN THE -5 TO -10C RANGE. ADDED
A CHC FOR FLURRIES INTO THE FCST. BEST CHCS NEAR THE COAST. THIS
COULD HOWEVER BE MORE LIKE SNOW GRAINS IF ICE CRYSTALS ARE NOT
INTRODUCED.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 13, 2015 3:07 pm

aiannone wrote:Possible Ocean Effect Snow showers for LI? NWS Upton says it's possible.
A LONG NELY FETCH SETS UP TNGT AND WED OVER THE ATLC.
LOW PRES TO THE S WILL HELP TO FOCUS THE FLOW. BOTH THE GFS AND
NAM ARE SHOWING THE BLOTCHY DZ SIGNAL IN THE QPF FIELDS. TIME
HEIGHTS VERIFY SATURATING LLVLS BLW H85. WITH THE ARCTIC AIRMASS
IN PLACE...TEMPS IN THE MOIST LAYER IN THE -5 TO -10C RANGE. ADDED
A CHC FOR FLURRIES INTO THE FCST. BEST CHCS NEAR THE COAST. THIS
COULD HOWEVER BE MORE LIKE SNOW GRAINS IF ICE CRYSTALS ARE NOT
INTRODUCED.

Congrats it's your winter.

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Post by aiannone Tue Jan 13, 2015 3:14 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
aiannone wrote:Possible Ocean Effect Snow showers for LI? NWS Upton says it's possible.
A LONG NELY FETCH SETS UP TNGT AND WED OVER THE ATLC.
LOW PRES TO THE S WILL HELP TO FOCUS THE FLOW. BOTH THE GFS AND
NAM ARE SHOWING THE BLOTCHY DZ SIGNAL IN THE QPF FIELDS. TIME
HEIGHTS VERIFY SATURATING LLVLS BLW H85. WITH THE ARCTIC AIRMASS
IN PLACE...TEMPS IN THE MOIST LAYER IN THE -5 TO -10C RANGE. ADDED
A CHC FOR FLURRIES INTO THE FCST. BEST CHCS NEAR THE COAST. THIS
COULD HOWEVER BE MORE LIKE SNOW GRAINS IF ICE CRYSTALS ARE NOT
INTRODUCED.

Congrats it's your winter.

Frank, I have to say, your sarcasm is on point today lol Wink

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Jan 13, 2015 9:16 pm

7.0 degrees right now.

The current pattern is so boring I forgot it may get below zero tonight. Yawn.
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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Jan 13, 2015 9:23 pm

Was in the city again today by Lincoln Center and the ABC studios... it was 23° but felt below zero. I wanted to hang around to see Lee and the 4:00 news but it was too cold... jumped in the car and headed home. The Hudson had whitecaps and there were ice flows along the shore. I think I'll wait until spring before I go back in!

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 13, 2015 9:46 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Was in the city again today by Lincoln Center and the ABC studios... it was 23° but felt below zero. I wanted to hang around to see Lee and the 4:00  news but it was too cold... jumped in the car and headed home. The Hudson had whitecaps and there were ice flows along the shore. I think I'll wait until spring before I go back in!

Walking around in NYC when it's that cold is just a complete turn off. I can tolerate it a little more around Christmas. Not now though.

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Post by sroc4 Wed Jan 14, 2015 8:32 am

Currently some Ocean effect light snow flurries rotating in from the east. Current Temp 24.4*

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 14, 2015 8:57 am

It was 16 here this morning brrrrrr
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Post by Quietace Wed Jan 14, 2015 10:09 am

Moderate snow. 27.3
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Post by sroc4 Wed Jan 14, 2015 10:20 am

Quietace wrote:Moderate snow. 27.3

Nice! I was wondering if it was going to make it far enough north for you and Skins to get in it.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Math23x7 Wed Jan 14, 2015 10:34 am

Quietace wrote:Moderate snow. 27.3

No surprise. We talked at the meetup about how you were the big winner last March and now you're winning again Mad

But hey, at least I was under a mesoscale band last Friday giving me 2" instead of 1" as I was expecting Laughing

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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Jan 14, 2015 10:52 am

27° light snow flurries
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Post by Quietace Wed Jan 14, 2015 11:34 am

sroc4 wrote:
Quietace wrote:Moderate snow. 27.3

Nice!  I was wondering if it was going to make it far enough north for you and Skins to get in it.  
It was only about a half hour, enough for a extremely light dusting. Brings me and skins total up to .5 inches with a few traces including this one.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Jan 14, 2015 12:03 pm

Wow. And I thought I was having a bad winter.

Got to 2.8 this morning.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Jan 15, 2015 12:43 pm

Was suppose to be in upper 30s today only 31 right now not even close
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 15, 2015 12:58 pm

There is a nice High to the north keeping temps. on the lower side

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Post by Guest Thu Jan 15, 2015 1:25 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:There is a nice High to the north keeping temps. on the lower side

Of course there is silly, because there is no storm coming. If there was, the cold high pressure would retreat into the maritimes and we would be above average.

There's our winter pattern in a nutshell.

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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Jan 15, 2015 1:56 pm

I have sun and 41° here, really nice day out!

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 15, 2015 1:57 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:There is a nice High to the north keeping temps. on the lower side

Of course there is silly, because there is no storm coming.  If there was, the cold high pressure would retreat into the maritimes and we would be above average.

There's our winter pattern in a nutshell.

Madonne, go drink a limociello or something

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Jan 15, 2015 2:02 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:I have sun and 41° here, really nice day out!

Janet, Im doubting that.

It's 33 in Central Park right now and 29 where I am 35 miles from you.

I think somebodies new weather station needs to be checked. Very Happy
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 15, 2015 2:12 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Dunnzoo wrote:I have sun and 41° here, really nice day out!

Janet, Im doubting that.

It's 33 in Central Park right now and 29 where I am 35 miles from you.

I think somebodies new weather station needs to be checked. Very Happy

Haha Janet and Mugs live in on a heat island

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