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Clipper System Tuesday 1/6, Frigid Temps. 1/7 - 1/9

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Jan 05, 2015 2:59 pm

GFS shows lows in the negatives on the 17th and Im not talking wind chill, actual temps below 0 around 95, near 0 just SE, well below NW, at least were getting into a cold pattern, pond by my house should finally freeze
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Post by Quietace Mon Jan 05, 2015 4:11 pm

WWA posted for southern areas
Clipper System Tuesday 1/6, Frigid Temps. 1/7 - 1/9 - Page 2 Phi10

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 05, 2015 5:14 pm

This has always remained a 0.5-1.5 inch threat for most with southern areas possibly getting 2+ 

As far as the winds are concerned for Wednesday night, it's not their intensity but rather the wind chills of sub -10 degrees. Everyone should be prepared NOT to be outside for an extended period of time Thursday morning.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 05, 2015 5:21 pm

Guess I will try to cancel my trip to manhattan 9am on Thursday to see my client via train, no way!
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 05, 2015 5:21 pm

NWS has our area and NYC back in the 1-2 inch area. I dunno Frank winds look like they could gust to 35-45mph, NWS even calling for gusts I nthat range in their text forecast (I know it based on GFS). But Euro shows strong winds too. Its gonna be brutal.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 05, 2015 5:24 pm

I don't envision 35 mph winds to be that bad. Plus they won't be sustained. The winds chills will suck though

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 05, 2015 5:27 pm

This is interesting, new isn't it?

POTENTIAL FOR A SCT-BKN BAND OF SNOW SHOWERS/SNOW SQUALLS TO MOVE
NW TO SE ACROSS THE TRI-STATE WED AFT/EVE DUE TO COMBINATION OF
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE FORCING...AND LOW-LEVEL INSTABILITY AND
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE ARCTIC FRONT. WILL HAVE TO BE
WATCHED AS IT COULD COINCIDE WITH EVENING RUSH. A BURST OF WINDS
OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40 MPH LIKELY WED AFT/EVE BEHIND
THE FRONT...WITH A LOW PROBABILITY OF WIND ADVISORY POTENTIAL.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 05, 2015 5:27 pm

I am talking about the cold they will create Frank duh lol
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 05, 2015 5:29 pm

Put your faucets on drip Wednesday evening!
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:25 pm

Clipper System Tuesday 1/6, Frigid Temps. 1/7 - 1/9 - Page 2 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_4

You can see that the moderate snow will be falling south of us. Those areas will see 2+

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:27 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:NWS has our area and NYC back in the 1-2 inch area. I dunno Frank winds look like they could gust to 35-45mph, NWS even calling for gusts I nthat range in their text forecast (I know it based on GFS).  But Euro shows strong winds too.  Its gonna be brutal.
Jman or shall I call you Windman!! If this is true then holy fn crips the wind chills will be in the negative teens

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:28 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Clipper System Tuesday 1/6, Frigid Temps. 1/7 - 1/9 - Page 2 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_4

You can see that the moderate snow will be falling south of us. Those areas will see 2+


What a shame the south wins again!!

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:31 pm

Ace I'll take it we have had nothing
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:32 pm

Crazy, I know. We can't seem to win this winter. Let's see what radar looks like in the morning though. Maybe it comes north

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:33 pm

Clippers could be tricky little things

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:40 pm

What's the start time for the clipper
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:40 pm

Frank it will be nice to see a solid 1 to 2 inches like NWS is showing for my area right now. I will not ask for anything more. Would I love to see more, of course but doubt we gonna get it from this event. And yeah mugs, even gusts 30mph is gonna make that windchill -10 to -15 like franks scroll says. Stay in Thursday if you can and wed night.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:42 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:What's the start time for the clipper

Start: 6-8am

End: 2-3pm

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:43 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Frank it will be nice to see a solid 1 to 2 inches like NWS is showing for my area right now.  I will not ask for anything more.  Would I love to see more, of course but doubt we gonna get it from this event.  And yeah mugs, even gusts 30mph is gonna make that windchill -10 to -15 like franks scroll says.  Stay in Thursday if you can and wed night.

Agree, and with the cold this week it should stick around

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Jan 05, 2015 8:58 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:What's the start time for the clipper

Start: 6-8am

End: 2-3pm
Thanks Frank that's what I thought
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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Jan 05, 2015 11:04 pm

Looking at the radar and upper level winds looks to keep the precip over us and not so south... here's hoping

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Post by Math23x7 Tue Jan 06, 2015 2:01 am

The 5Z HRRR run suggests the snow continues beyond 3 PM (which is hr 15, as far as it goes). I'm heading to bed soon so I'll check the verification later this morning.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 06, 2015 6:17 am

Clipper System Tuesday 1/6, Frigid Temps. 1/7 - 1/9 - Page 2 Inxr1Kphla_h

Entering west NJ now, right on schedule.

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Jan 06, 2015 7:37 am

Looks like It will miss majority of nyc rush. Although it's nearing the area but much lighter looks than say central southern jersey.
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Post by amugs Tue Jan 06, 2015 7:39 am

Clipper System Tuesday 1/6, Frigid Temps. 1/7 - 1/9 - Page 2 Post-747-0-83034500-1420542937

Will it hold together??

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