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Official Long Range Thread 6.0

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Official Long Range Thread 6.0 - Page 39 Empty Re: Official Long Range Thread 6.0

Post by moleson Tue Feb 10, 2015 11:17 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Madonne, if only there was blocking. Oh well, that's why Godzillas are special when they do occur. Goes to show how many pieces we need aligned.

It is spelled madone.
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Post by Vinnydula Tue Feb 10, 2015 11:23 pm

the correct spell is "madonna", she's the Virgin Mary
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Post by Artechmetals Tue Feb 10, 2015 11:24 pm

@moleson wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Madonne, if only there was blocking. Oh well, that's why Godzillas are special when they do occur. Goes to show how many pieces we need aligned.

It is spelled madone.


Wrong it's Madonne
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 10, 2015 11:29 pm

@Vinnydula wrote:the correct spell is "madonna", she's the Virgin Mary

Correct, but I'm using a different context.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 10, 2015 11:35 pm

Lots of moving parts with this weekend system. I need to see more guidance before drawing conclusions. Literally anyone from Philly to Boston is in play right now.

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 10, 2015 11:35 pm

wow 978mb, come west! Even with this run we still get some ok snow even into NYC area with ratios. The wind and cold will be screaming thats for sure, look at those isobars over CT and NYC.

Official Long Range Thread 6.0 - Page 39 Gfs_ma10
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 10, 2015 11:40 pm

Wow no wonder u said sign sroc eastern LI gets it good, precip shield came north and west a bit, same around nyc, I hope we can see some guidance in our favor.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 10, 2015 11:40 pm

Hearing the GGEM is a MECS with a tucked in low

Ruh roh

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 10, 2015 11:41 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Wow no wonder u said sign sroc eastern LI gets it good, precip shield came north and west a bit, same around nyc, I hope we can see some guidance in our favor.

Dude there's so much time still and the models have changed drastically just within 48 hours. The key is seeing how they handle H5

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 10, 2015 11:42 pm

Yup

Official Long Range Thread 6.0 - Page 39 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f108

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 10, 2015 11:46 pm

Goodnight guys. We'll monitor the trends some more tomorrow. Surface doesn't matter at this point. All about 500mb. GGEM digs much more than the GFS.

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 10, 2015 11:53 pm

Strange has a little LP with very tight pressure gradiant and another LP the main far to the east. Lots to watch over the coming days.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Feb 11, 2015 12:31 am

Hopefully tonight's GFS doesn't verify for next Wednesday or they may be sending boats to Red Sox Suck to rescue people from flooding. Would not be what they need right now.
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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Feb 11, 2015 1:31 am

EURO shows improvement on this run: ticked west ~40 miles, 4-8" NYC.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Feb 11, 2015 5:14 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:Yup

Official Long Range Thread 6.0 - Page 39 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f108



I will sign for this right now!!!!!
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Post by dsvinos Wed Feb 11, 2015 6:18 am

Strange...woke up and checked, the forecast for Central NJ on Sunday is Nada??? What happened??? Ughhhh!! Evil or Very Mad
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Feb 11, 2015 6:25 am

That's just one model run of Cmc. Euro and GFS not same.
Need to watch the trends
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Post by sroc4 Wed Feb 11, 2015 6:37 am

@dsvinos wrote:Strange...woke up and checked, the forecast for Central NJ on Sunday is Nada???  What happened??? Ughhhh!! Evil or Very Mad

Who forecasted nada for C NJ?

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
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Post by dsvinos Wed Feb 11, 2015 6:45 am

@sroc4 wrote:
@dsvinos wrote:Strange...woke up and checked, the forecast for Central NJ on Sunday is Nada???  What happened??? Ughhhh!! Evil or Very Mad

Who forecasted nada for C NJ?

Weather Underground and TWC....my fingers are crossed that this changes....I would love to see a great snowfall Surprised
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Feb 11, 2015 6:48 am

Euro came in with 5 for NYC without ratios so it will likely be much more if that were to happen verbatim, still many runs to go. What continues to be consistent as we all know is the cold but the winds have now gone up to and for some coastal places over 50-60mph especially sat night sun, which is going to make things worse, of corse this cannot be taken verbatim either but I have been noting even media outlets have been upping winds.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Feb 11, 2015 7:12 am

What seems to be consistent to me is Euro,GFS,cmc all have the Low off jersey coast at this time
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Post by amugs Wed Feb 11, 2015 8:09 am

The 6Z GFS run this morning is orgasmic folks if you love wall to wall cold and storms - OMG!! PLEASE let this happen and I will never fight with my wife again!!! To many storms to post.

Okay we do not want the low to pop over us but off the Delmarva so we can into the better snow bands - we still maybe able to do well this. If the vorticity is overhead we lose out on bigger snows.

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Post by amugs Wed Feb 11, 2015 8:26 am

Official Long Range Thread 6.0 - Page 39 Hpcmaxwbg

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Post by sroc4 Wed Feb 11, 2015 8:43 am

Started a new thread for the weekend storm

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
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Feb 7th 6"
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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Feb 11, 2015 11:28 am

Wow. I swear if it rains midweek here, I am going to fall into a fit of uncontrollable laughter out of losing my miiiiiiiiiiiind with this winter.
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