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Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm

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Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Empty Re: Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 18, 2015 4:00 pm

18z NAM aka worst model ever shows 4-8 inches on Wednesday

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Nam_namer_078_10m_wnd_precip

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 18, 2015 4:01 pm

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 NAM_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f78

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 NAM_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f81

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 NAM_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f84

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Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Empty Re: Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm

Post by Quietace Sun Jan 18, 2015 4:19 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:18z NAM aka worst model ever shows 4-8 inches on Wednesday

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Nam_namer_078_10m_wnd_precip
Lol
Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Nam_1210

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Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Empty Re: Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm

Post by Quietace Sun Jan 18, 2015 4:21 pm

1002mb sitting Se of LI.....HAHAHAHA
Im dying right now HAHA
Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Nam_pr10

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Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Empty Re: Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm

Post by Quietace Sun Jan 18, 2015 4:24 pm

It even closes off at H5 at 84....
Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Nam_z510
Anyway onto the GFS....

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Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Empty Re: Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm

Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 18, 2015 4:47 pm

Don't laugh pray! LOL, the NAM has been right but not usually this far out.
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Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Empty Re: Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm

Post by amugs Sun Jan 18, 2015 4:50 pm

This what needs to occur for the clipper to work out
The lead energy gets the hell out of the way really quickly and phases into the 50/50 low. There is no interference with the voer dropping into the Plains. It will then have all the room in the world to amplify, especially with the ridge spiking out west. Fingers crossed

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 18, 2015 4:55 pm

18z gfs shows higher heights along the east coast for Wednesday. More wave separation. Should be better then 12z

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Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Empty Re: Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 18, 2015 4:56 pm

And it is... a QuietAce/Skins special.

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f75

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f78

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f81

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Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Empty Re: Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm

Post by Quietace Sun Jan 18, 2015 4:57 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:And it is... a QuietAce/Skins special.

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f75

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f78

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f81
lol

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Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Empty Re: Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm

Post by SoulSingMG Sun Jan 18, 2015 4:58 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:And it is... a QuietAce/Skins special.

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f75

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f78

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f81

But mayyyyyybe this is the start of a north trend?? Laughing

See Jman! Faith! :-D May the best NAM win!
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Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 Empty Re: Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:00 pm

I like the trends lately, even with the 12z Euro. The storm today was not modeled to exit until later this evening and we're already approaching the tail end of it. Put further distance between today and Wednesdays system and there will be room for a north track / greater amplification. Additionally, the vorts in the Midwest are not as strong as previous runs. While consolidation could be better, as long as there is no de-amplification of the heights downstream toward the coast this system has a chance to deliver a moderate snowfall to the area.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:01 pm

@Quietace wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:And it is... a QuietAce/Skins special.

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f75

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f78

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f81
lol

Go away. You have been stealing all my snow since 2009.

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Post by Quietace Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:02 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@Quietace wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:And it is... a QuietAce/Skins special.

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f75

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f78

Wednesday, Jan. 21st Clipper Storm - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f81
lol

Go away. You have been stealing all my snow since 2009.
Ill send you pics of my 3-6 Thursday morning

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Post by amugs Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:04 pm

Gfs showing what I was just alluding to it shows a LOT more space and allows the lp to amplify still a bit south of the area but the trend is hopefully there.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:04 pm

You bastard.

All in favor of banning Ryan say I

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Post by SoulSingMG Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:04 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:I like the trends lately, even with the 12z Euro. The storm today was not modeled to exit until later this evening and we're already approaching the tail end of it. Put further distance between today and Wednesdays system and there will be room for a north track / greater amplification. Additionally, the vorts in the Midwest are not as strong as previous runs. While consolidation could be better, as long as there is no de-amplification of the heights downstream toward the coast this system has a chance to deliver a moderate snowfall to the area.

Frank, if this thing is able to amplify more just off the coast of the Delmarva, for example, and produce a snowfall of 5+, would it be considered a Miller B?
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Post by algae888 Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:06 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:You bastard.

All in favor of banning Ryan say I
I
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Post by SoulSingMG Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:07 pm

After having been temporarily banned before, I am going to have to say 'Nay'. Wink
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:08 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:I like the trends lately, even with the 12z Euro. The storm today was not modeled to exit until later this evening and we're already approaching the tail end of it. Put further distance between today and Wednesdays system and there will be room for a north track / greater amplification. Additionally, the vorts in the Midwest are not as strong as previous runs. While consolidation could be better, as long as there is no de-amplification of the heights downstream toward the coast this system has a chance to deliver a moderate snowfall to the area.

Frank, if this thing is able to amplify more just off the coast of the Delmarva, for example, and produce a snowfall of 5+, would it be considered a Miller B?

Not exactly. Miller B transfers energy. This looks like a circumstance of a potent northern stream vort digging into the trough due to the amplification of the ridge out west. H5 closes off on its own.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:09 pm

@algae888 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:You bastard.

All in favor of banning Ryan say I
I

That's 2. There's 600 members so we need at least 299 more

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Post by Quietace Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:09 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:You bastard.

All in favor of banning Ryan say I
I hope you suck virga while i get my 6 inches of white gold..........

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Post by algae888 Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:10 pm

@Quietace wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:You bastard.

All in favor of banning Ryan say I
I hope you suck virga while i get my 6 inches of white gold..........
ace I have a very bad feeling that you are right
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Post by Quietace Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:11 pm

@algae888 wrote:
@Quietace wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:You bastard.

All in favor of banning Ryan say I
I hope you suck virga while i get my 6 inches of white gold..........
ace I have a very bad feeling that you are right
Cant argue against post 2009 climatology.....

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Post by SoulSingMG Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:12 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@SoulSingMG wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:I like the trends lately, even with the 12z Euro. The storm today was not modeled to exit until later this evening and we're already approaching the tail end of it. Put further distance between today and Wednesdays system and there will be room for a north track / greater amplification. Additionally, the vorts in the Midwest are not as strong as previous runs. While consolidation could be better, as long as there is no de-amplification of the heights downstream toward the coast this system has a chance to deliver a moderate snowfall to the area.

Frank, if this thing is able to amplify more just off the coast of the Delmarva, for example, and produce a snowfall of 5+, would it be considered a Miller B?

Not exactly. Miller B transfers energy. This looks like a circumstance of a potent northern stream vort digging into the trough due to the amplification of the ridge out west. H5 closes off on its own.

Hmm, ok thanks. So kinda like a faux Miller A. lol
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