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Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)

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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Jan 23, 2015 12:59 pm

After seeing these runs I'm thinking for me c to 2 inches has to be more than that correct
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 23, 2015 12:59 pm

Ice

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 8 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f24

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 8 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f27

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Post by Guest Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:00 pm

I was just going to ask. Where's Frank?

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:00 pm

EURO was mainly frozen. Might be 5+ inches for NYC

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:01 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I was just going to ask.  Where's Frank?

Meetings all day Sad

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Post by Analog96 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:01 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Ice

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 8 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f24

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 8 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f27
The 2nd panel is ice.

The first panel could very well still be sleet/snow mix or something like that.

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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:04 pm

yes first panel looks like snow
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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:18 pm

any euro snow maps?
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Post by Scullybutcher Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:19 pm

Does anyone think there's potential for this storm to over perform for snow totals
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:20 pm

Best I can do, Al.....

http://images1.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/ECM/OP/12/snosums/0024/ECM_12_opUS_SF_0036.png

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:21 pm

@Scullybutcher wrote:Does anyone think there's potential for this storm to over perform for snow totals

YES

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Post by Guest Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:22 pm

I bet based on the current trends NWS Upton updates western LI and Lower Hudson valley and Sothern Ct. to a WS Warning for 4 to 6 inches of snow and .10 Ice at 4:00 p.m. (even though I don't believe the freezing rain. I say 3 to 5 inch front thump then mix with sleet and rain around 10:00 a.m Then back to snow about 3:00 p.m. with another 2 to 3 inches.

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Post by oldtimer Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:24 pm

Syo I'll take that Sign me up for it lol

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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:27 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Best I can do, Al.....

http://images1.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/ECM/OP/12/snosums/0024/ECM_12_opUS_SF_0036.png
tku rb I hope it verifies. guidance looks really good today.
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:30 pm

@algae888 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Best I can do, Al.....

http://images1.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/ECM/OP/12/snosums/0024/ECM_12_opUS_SF_0036.png
tku rb I hope it verifies. guidance looks really good today.

My honest hunch is that the short range guidance continues to look better. Like I said earlier, I like where the trends are headed at 850 hPa with closing that low off well south of us. GFS picked up on this too (even though it did not look like it with regards to the precip in the OP, the Ensembles were a solid 4-8" snow for most on this board) and it appears that the EURO may have as well, although I have not verified this yet.

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Post by Scullybutcher Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:31 pm

Thank you all. That's what I wanted to hear


Last edited by Scullybutcher on Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:34 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:33 pm

The EURO Op is 6 hours too late with the 850 hPa low closing off, but I think (as with the GFS Ensembles) we may see this be a late outlier in its own ensemble. We'll have to wait and see....

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Post by amugs Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:39 pm

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 8 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f24

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 8 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f27

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 8 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f30

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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:39 pm

What does it look like for me it's got to me more that a coating to an inch at this time
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:44 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:What does it look like for me it's got to me more that a coating to an inch at this time

Probably like 1-3/2-4 I think

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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:45 pm

euro snow map got it from another site hope you can see it
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 8 2rlzo7m
WOW!!!!!!
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Post by Analog96 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:46 pm

@algae888 wrote:euro snow map got it from another site hope you can see it
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 8 2rlzo7m
WOW!!!!!!

I see nothing.

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Post by meeka312 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:47 pm

What's central NJ looking like

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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:47 pm

It seems to me Euro and GFS showing less snow for me anyway than the short range models ugh
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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 23, 2015 1:48 pm

@Analog96 wrote:
@algae888 wrote:euro snow map got it from another site hope you can see it
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 8 2rlzo7m
WOW!!!!!!

I see nothing.
analog are you sure I see it on my computer
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