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Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)

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Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)

Post by algae888 Thu Jan 22, 2015 8:58 pm

gfs snow map out to hr 42. front end.
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 3 Gfs_asnow_us_8
not nuch different than nam cmc. looks like a general 3-6" area wide
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:04 pm

Al that looks more like 2-4, 6 inches is dark purple I do not see that. 2-4/3-6 is same crap anyway. Semantics

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:10 pm

This image is better Al, you're right

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 3 349dhz8

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Post by algae888 Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:11 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Al that looks more like 2-4, 6 inches is dark purple I do not see that. 2-4/3-6 is same crap anyway. Semantics
yes I see that I was also referring to the nam and cmc. not a big differencs
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:12 pm

WxBell snow maps not as bullish. And they're usually always bullish since they count ice as snow.

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 3 Gfs_6hr_snow_acc_nyc_11

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Post by algae888 Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:15 pm

well I think we have a consensus 3-6" totals. maybe more on the back end but unlikely except for li and conn. what i'm hoping for is after the front end snow we go over to drizzle or some very light mix so we can keep some snow pack
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:22 pm

Frank that wxbell map is 18z dought, lol! And I told ya bout ice threat, if that map above verified some places would see 0.2+, even I do not believe that but would be a disater compared to sunday if it happened.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:23 pm

Holy freaking crap. Since when did WxBell become that slow?

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:23 pm

00z GFS wxbell snow. Not bad considering.

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 3 00z_gf11
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:23 pm

I need a bed. Goodnight.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:23 pm

As seen above I had no issues, heh
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:41 pm

00z GGEM...holy ice storm!

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 3 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f36

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:45 pm

Holy crap, I swear I did not wish for a ice storm, but thats so weird when frank said no one is getting .25 ice look at this! Frank quick say no one is getting 10 feet of snow!
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:47 pm

Frank how can u tell its frz and not snow or rain and where is it setting up, can u post a ice total map? Wxbell doesnt have one only a 6 hrly precip. This looks really beyond bad, i forget what is your thoughts on CMC within 36-48 hrs?
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 22, 2015 9:59 pm

So we have that earlier map CMC R something (not familiar with it) showing some places with 5-15mm frz (nuts for driving and power if there is wind, pleading the 5th on that will not speak of wind questions ever again lol), the one frank posted of 5mm (still pretty bad) and now the cmc which I am curious to see what the totals are if there is a map for that. Trending towards a ice storm, lets see what NWS says as they were the first to mention this, right now they say 0.1 inch, that might change we will see, sat could be a dangerous day, seems this will be a nowcast much like sat was, however I was not here so I did not really see how bad it actually was. I have boot studs so i can walk on ice though which is cool.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Jan 22, 2015 10:00 pm

This is going to be an ugly storm p type wise. Could get dangerous in a lot of places.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Jan 22, 2015 10:01 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Frank how can u tell its frz and not snow or rain and where is it setting up, can u post a ice total map? Wxbell doesnt have one only a 6 hrly precip.  This looks really beyond bad, i forget what is your thoughts on CMC within 36-48 hrs?
850s above freezing surface below, rain falling freezing on contact, some of that may be a narrow band of sleet on the border of the snow line.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 22, 2015 10:06 pm

which according to that cmc map is right on me. yikes, gonna park my car as far away from curves as possible, a few parked cars on my street were smashed up as could be seen by the car parts still on the roads even today.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 22, 2015 10:09 pm

CMC has a high snow map, depending on how much of that is ice could see a lot more snow or a crippling ice storm verbatim on the cmc.  what do u think of the cmc in this time range NJ? I cannot find a cmc map of total precip type accumulations just the precip type each 6 hrs.

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 3 Cmc_sn12
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Jan 22, 2015 10:15 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:CMC has a high snow map, depending on how much of that is ice could see a lot more snow or a crippling ice storm verbatim on the cmc.  what do u think of the cmc in this time range NJ? I cannot find a cmc map of total precip type accumulations just the precip type each 6 hrs.

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 3 Cmc_sn12
I think verbatim 4" of that is snow .2" is zr and some rain after
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 22, 2015 10:17 pm

i miight up that ice accretion a bit based on what frank said, but holy friggin ice storm I am not sure what that means to him. And whats up with the cmc does not seem to be loading.
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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Jan 22, 2015 10:47 pm

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:CMC has a high snow map, depending on how much of that is ice could see a lot more snow or a crippling ice storm verbatim on the cmc.  what do u think of the cmc in this time range NJ? I cannot find a cmc map of total precip type accumulations just the precip type each 6 hrs.

Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 3 Cmc_sn12
I think verbatim 4" of that is snow .2" is zr and some rain after

Well that's a cute snow map considering latest trends. I stillllllll can't buy an ice storm in any of the five boroughs. Maybe BX bordering Wchestr but even that... History just doesn't represent it. But who knows, first time for everything!
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Post by Yschiff Thu Jan 22, 2015 11:11 pm

EURO??

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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Jan 22, 2015 11:42 pm

@Yschiff wrote:EURO??

Very warm. Not great for NYC metro
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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 23, 2015 2:32 am

6z rgem solid 6" for nnj and nyc
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 3 Rgem_asnow_us_16
4k nam
Update #3: Godzilla Caged, 1st Call Snow Map (1/24/15)  - Page 3 Nam4km_asnow_us_17

















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