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Update #4: Final Snow/Ice Map, January Blitz Storm

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Post by nutleyblizzard Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:08 pm

NAM HAS COME IN COLDER!!!
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:11 pm

By 10am!

Update #4: Final Snow/Ice Map, January Blitz Storm - Page 3 Hrrr_s10
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Post by SoulSingMG Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:12 pm

NAM goes BOOM CLAP COLD.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:12 pm

@Artechmetals wrote:Hi guys sorry if I'm posting on wrong thread , dont want to get ahead of this storm but is Monday's storm still there ?

Unless you live in Cape May, most likely no.
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Post by Artechmetals Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:14 pm

Thanks CP
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:15 pm

@jmanley32 wrote: By 10am!

Update #4: Final Snow/Ice Map, January Blitz Storm - Page 3 Hrrr_s10
What i was referring to, thanks for posting, im right in that purple bullseye lets see if it verifies.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:15 pm

@Artechmetals wrote:Thanks CP

Very Happy But we can't rule it out entirely. The further south right now the better your chances.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:16 pm

Me too NJ, 7-8 over me : ) WSW coming I can feel it.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:17 pm

And NJ thats not the end remember, still more snow and if it doesnt change we could really get a BIG surprise.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:18 pm

The NAM looks like the 12Z Euro from two days ago that got everybody worked up.

Maybe they made a mistake and upgraded the NAM instead of the GFS.
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Post by oldtimer Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:19 pm

Jman Aren't we in the Nowcasting mode ?

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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:23 pm

Holding at 33° now for hours winds are out of south sw. They have been hole time no nw winds here.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:31 pm

Yeah oldtimer but its still okay to look at the short range models, its fun anyways lol
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Post by oldtimer Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:34 pm

Yea Jman Thanks But I get mixed emotions

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:35 pm

RAP has 8-10", however its disappointed me before so not believing it, as ive said nowcast.
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Post by Math23x7 Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:35 pm

Temperature 37 degrees. I wonder what it will be like in a few hours...

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Post by amugs Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:35 pm

Frank,

Great map and I see the phallic symbol that was referred to on the posts here.
NAM colder and I have a feeling 0Z RGEM follows suite - that has been hot lately -RGEM and I think we are in for a surprise.

CP they will not put up a WSW until the storm hits or even during the storm which is ludicrous cause it gives those who do not know a false sense of 'this is not going to be bad". Everyone playing it safe with this storm as per NWS and Mets.

Hi Res Nam

Update #4: Final Snow/Ice Map, January Blitz Storm - Page 3 NAM-HIRES_PrecipType_ne4_f5

Update #4: Final Snow/Ice Map, January Blitz Storm - Page 3 NAM-HIRES_PrecipType_ne4_f6

Update #4: Final Snow/Ice Map, January Blitz Storm - Page 3 NAM-HIRES_PrecipType_ne4_f7

Update #4: Final Snow/Ice Map, January Blitz Storm - Page 3 NAM-HIRES_PrecipType_ne4_f8

Update #4: Final Snow/Ice Map, January Blitz Storm - Page 3 NAM-HIRES_PrecipType_ne4_f9

Update #4: Final Snow/Ice Map, January Blitz Storm - Page 3 NAM-HIRES_PrecipType_ne4_f11

Update #4: Final Snow/Ice Map, January Blitz Storm - Page 3 NAM-HIRES_PrecipType_ne4_f12

Really No changeover and W of the city - OH BOY!

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Post by devsman Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:36 pm

@Math23x7 wrote:Temperature 37 degrees.  I wonder what it will be like in a few hours...

37 degrees.
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Post by amugs Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:39 pm

I think 3-6" on this for the city and 6"+ easily for N &W as Lee said tonight at 6PM from the HI RES NAM - not wish casting just looking at meo models now.

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Post by Analog96 Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:41 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:Holding at 33° now for hours winds are out of south sw. They have been hole time no nw winds here.

Your winds are SW right now because you're still under the influence of the departing high pressure, rather than the low.

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Post by amugs Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:47 pm

@Analog96 wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:Holding at 33° now for hours winds are out of south sw. They have been hole time no nw winds here.

Your winds are SW right now because you're still under the influence of the departing high pressure, rather than the low.

Greg when the LP comes up the winds shift to NNE - this what folks aren't understanding and if we did not have the damn low in SE CAN and a HP instead then we would be seeing much more snow easily and changeover would not be an issue.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:47 pm

Holy crap Lonnie Quinn has 0-2 inches for many people. Small strip of 2-4 inches. I don't bash Mets but what an awful, AWFUL forecast.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:48 pm

Got you analog so they will shift from the north Nw and lower temps
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Post by nutleyblizzard Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:50 pm

Good trends thus far tonight with the short range models. The only fly in the ointment that remains will be possible dry slotting which would hold down the snow amounts.
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 23, 2015 9:51 pm

@nutleyblizzard wrote:Good trends thus far tonight with the short range models. The only fly in the ointment that remains will be possible dry slotting which would hold down the snow amounts.

Yes, large area of subsidence. Plus quick moving storm.

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