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Post by sroc4 Sun Jan 25, 2015 7:17 am

I would like to keep the discussion in this thread to a minimum so members can come to quick view what our thoughts are regarding the storm.   Where intense banding of rates of up to 2-4" an hr develops will dictate who cashes in on Roidzilla, and the potential for even FrankZilla Status.  Let me be clear this storm has FrankZilla potential.  For those who do not recall the lingo:  

Godzilla = 12-24"

Roidzilla = 24"-36"

FRANKZILLA = 36"+

partySo without further adieu here is my first call Snow Map for your viewing pleasure: party

SNOW MAPS ONLY:  MON JAN 26TH - JAN 27TH <a href=SNOW MAPS ONLY:  MON JAN 26TH - JAN 27TH Snow_m10" />

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by docstox12 Sun Jan 25, 2015 7:31 am

Spot on, excellent Doc. I'll sign now!!!
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Post by carvin1079 Sun Jan 25, 2015 7:43 am

I want ur map I will marry that

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Post by Quietace Sun Jan 25, 2015 7:50 am

SNOW MAPS ONLY:  MON JAN 26TH - JAN 27TH Snowma10

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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Jan 25, 2015 7:52 am

Ace great map mot far from that red. todays we may get that
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 25, 2015 9:11 am

My lord 15 to 30 plus wow I'm in heaven
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Post by amugs Sun Jan 25, 2015 9:30 am

Doc great call - I see 18" as the low end in red but that is the weenie in me.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 25, 2015 9:51 am

Good maps you two

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Post by Artechmetals Sun Jan 25, 2015 11:59 am

Sroc , are you still confident with your snow totals after the latest runs ?
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Post by sroc4 Sun Jan 25, 2015 12:16 pm

@Artechmetals wrote:Sroc , are you still confident with your snow totals after the latest runs ?

Yes I am. In the morning If I need to I will update

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by Artechmetals Sun Jan 25, 2015 12:29 pm

Awesome sroc !!
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 25, 2015 1:53 pm

1st Call Snow Map, locally 3 FEET if you're in the red. Final Map tomorrow morning

SNOW MAPS ONLY:  MON JAN 26TH - JAN 27TH 1st_call_snow_map

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Post by Math23x7 Sun Jan 25, 2015 11:42 pm

This is what I wrote on Facebook:

PLEASE READ DESCRIPTION BEFORE COMMENTING
This snow map had been my thinking for much of the day especially with the EURO being consistent the last several runs and bringing a blockbuster snowstorm to the NYC/LI region. With some of the model runs coming out tonight, they seem to trend weaker in terms of snow totals. Now, what's also difficult with any major snowstorm is wondering where the heavy snow bands will set up. It can be very local giving significantly higher accumulations than just outside the band. The "jackpot" region is where I think the big snow bands will set up. Of course that could shift any direction.
Also, I said I will update my snow map tomorrow morning to account for an analysis of tonight's EURO run. If it is steadfast with the storm, The high totals may remain. But if it caves, then these totals may be lowered BY A LOT.
SO What am I looking at now?
Light snow begins late tonight and goes through tomorrow afternoon with occasional moderate band from time to time. By late afternoon, it picks up in intensity and the brunt of the storm is from 8 PM tomorrow night to 8 AM Tuesday morning and light to moderate snow lingers for most of the morning and afternoon.
Anxious for when the EURO comes out at around 1 AM.

SNOW MAPS ONLY:  MON JAN 26TH - JAN 27TH Snowma10

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Post by Guest Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:41 am

@Math23x7 wrote:This is what I wrote on Facebook:

PLEASE READ DESCRIPTION BEFORE COMMENTING
This snow map had been my thinking for much of the day especially with the EURO being consistent the last several runs and bringing a blockbuster snowstorm to the NYC/LI region. With some of the model runs coming out tonight, they seem to trend weaker in terms of snow totals. Now, what's also difficult with any major snowstorm is wondering where the heavy snow bands will set up. It can be very local giving significantly higher accumulations than just outside the band. The "jackpot" region is where I think the big snow bands will set up. Of course that could shift any direction.
Also, I said I will update my snow map tomorrow morning to account for an analysis of tonight's EURO run. If it is steadfast with the storm, The high totals may remain. But if it caves, then these totals may be lowered BY A LOT.
SO What am I looking at now?
Light snow begins late tonight and goes through tomorrow afternoon with occasional moderate band from time to time. By late afternoon, it picks up in intensity and the brunt of the storm is from 8 PM tomorrow night to 8 AM Tuesday morning and light to moderate snow lingers for most of the morning and afternoon.
Anxious for when the EURO comes out at around 1 AM.

SNOW MAPS ONLY:  MON JAN 26TH - JAN 27TH Snowma10

Nice map buddy. Euro stayed strong. Stared down American models and doubled down.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:45 am

Hey Mike, I like your write-up and map. You cut-off area over the PA/NJ boarder actually makes sense.

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Post by Math23x7 Mon Jan 26, 2015 2:26 am

Thanks Frank. After seeing the 0Z EURO OP. I wrote this in the comment section:

Update: The EURO just came out and, like the other model runs tonight, shift the low east, BUT only slightly. In fact, yesterday afternoon's EURO had a snow band of over 2 feet for Passaic, Bergen, Rockland, and Orange counties. With the latest run, it shifts that band of snow over to Putnam, Westchester, Bronx, Queens, and Nassau Counties. Of course, I do wonder if this continues shifting eastward or remains intact because if the EURO run verified, Bellerose [NY] would have MORE snow than depicted here. HOWEVER, if any other the other models from tonight verifies, OR if tomorrow afternoon's EURO continues to shift the band eastward Bellerose [NY] would have LESS snow than depicted here. In a couple of hours, the 51 ensemble members will come out giving us more scenarios. However, I am not staying up for it. I need some sleep.

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Post by oldtimer Mon Jan 26, 2015 2:40 am

Paisan Frank You cant imagine how happy I am and you know what I am happy for, you So so glad you stuck to your guns Now I can sleep no matter what happens from here on in...........................

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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:44 am

Folks I will lock this thread after this post so that the last thing you will view will be the final call maps only.  We can continue the discussion of the storm over in the Final call thread Frank made.  If anyone else has a map they would like me to include please post it in the other thread and PM me and I will move it here with the others.  Great job by all.

                    party FINAL CALL!! party

Frank
SNOW MAPS ONLY:  MON JAN 26TH - JAN 27TH <a href=SNOW MAPS ONLY:  MON JAN 26TH - JAN 27TH 10940510" />
Mine
[img]SNOW MAPS ONLY:  MON JAN 26TH - JAN 27TH Snow_m13[/img]
Ace
SNOW MAPS ONLY:  MON JAN 26TH - JAN 27TH Snowma10
Math:
SNOW MAPS ONLY:  MON JAN 26TH - JAN 27TH Snowma10

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:01 am

Congrats Scott. You're jackpotting this storm. You suck

Best,

Frank

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