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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 20, 2015 10:56 pm

Hour 87

Praise jesus.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 20, 2015 10:56 pm

I mean 81

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Jan 20, 2015 10:57 pm

The praise Jesus is encouraging, what's next?
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 20, 2015 10:58 pm

Hour 84 the northern stream vort looks more potent. Lets see if it can get in a phase, whether it be full or partial. The energy embedded within the mean trough is stronger. Heights are higher.

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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by sroc4 Tue Jan 20, 2015 10:58 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Hour 87

Praise jesus.

IMAGES!

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 20, 2015 10:59 pm

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f90

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 20, 2015 10:59 pm

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f90

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Post by rb924119 Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:00 pm

South and east of 95 does very well with this run

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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:01 pm

Annnnnd there she is. No phasing with northern stream and H5 has not closed off yet, but just the fact heights were higher up the EC and the southern energy was stronger was able to bring the storm up the coast.

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f93

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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by sroc4 Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:02 pm

That's going to hit the BM

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:02 pm

Gonna be interesting to see what the other global suites do tonight.....

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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by SoulSingMG Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:03 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Annnnnd there she is. No phasing with northern stream and H5 has not closed off yet, but just the fact heights were higher up the EC and the southern energy was stronger was able to bring the storm up the coast.

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f93

PASTE BOMB Exclamation
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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by rb924119 Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:04 pm

6-12 inch storm south and east of I-95 with a DRASTIC cutoff in amounts to the northwest, which is quite characteristic of a very strong cyclogenesis event.

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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:04 pm

Borderline temperatures in coastal areas, and precip concerns in HV especially western HV. I like the trend though at least we have something with potential.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:05 pm

It really bombs out. WE NEED A PHASE THOUGH. I'm greedy and want one

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96

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Post by rb924119 Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:06 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:It really bombs out. WE NEED A PHASE THOUGH. I'm greedy and want one

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96

LMAO

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:06 pm

We're a pubic hair away from a DC to BOS Godzilla. Seriously. H5 closes off in NE.

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Post by SoulSingMG Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:07 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:It really bombs out. WE NEED A PHASE THOUGH. I'm greedy and want one

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96

Crap. What is, in your analysis, preventing the phase on this run? Perhaps the EURO will show one...
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Post by rb924119 Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:07 pm

Ok folks, Boston gets crushed on this run......SEND IN JIM CANTORE A.S.A.P!!!!

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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:10 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:It really bombs out. WE NEED A PHASE THOUGH. I'm greedy and want one

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96

Crap. What is, in your analysis, preventing the phase on this run? Perhaps the EURO will show one...

It just laggs. It's definitely there, which is a good sign. Maybe better western ridge amplification brings it down for a phase. It actually does come down but the mean energy is well off the coast by then

It's all about timing. We have a LONG way to go

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Post by sroc4 Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:11 pm

Frank that an amazing run considering its 3.5days out. It would not take much at all to close that off 6 hrs sooner. Euro will hopefully do it.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
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Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by SoulSingMG Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:12 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@SoulSingMG wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:It really bombs out. WE NEED A PHASE THOUGH. I'm greedy and want one

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96

Crap. What is, in your analysis, preventing the phase on this run? Perhaps the EURO will show one...

It just laggs. It's definitely there, which is a good sign. Maybe better western ridge amplification brings it down for a phase. It actually does come down but the mean energy is well off the coast by then

It's all about timing. We have a LONG way to go

Gotcha, I see. Thanks. I'm gonna go do a snow dance outside now in hopes that the 00z EURO will hear me...
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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:13 pm

@sroc4 wrote:Frank that an amazing run considering its 3.5days out. It would not take much at all to close that off 6 hrs sooner. Euro will hopefully do it.

Yes, I was able to tell by hour 60 this was going to be a very nice run. I'm trying to remain calm though. Still time for things to trend poorly, unfortunately. It's always a risk when there is no phase involved. Some funky things can happen, whether it be with track or temperatures.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:14 pm

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 3 GFS24precip00102

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Post by sroc4 Tue Jan 20, 2015 11:16 pm

Hear here. I may need to get storm vista. Still only out to hr 60 on the Bell. Come on Maue speed that up!

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
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