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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 21 Empty Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Jan 24, 2015 3:57 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:Well...

Looking nice hope for Euro though
Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 21 Img_6514
Reflecting my thinking atm, can still change, should mention possibility for more esp east


Last edited by NjWeatherGuy on Sat Jan 24, 2015 3:58 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 24, 2015 3:58 pm

Frank your analysis was good, and no its not a clipper, they are weak, they don't break fiya! Bring it on, no sleep here for next 48 hrs lol, well some but not much. Runs gonna be big on this till Monday. Frank your pretty confident in at least a 12+ event, I know you do not know exactly where the banding setsup but do u think the west move of the euro holds? My daughter didn't like the snow what a shame, she will have to be taught lol

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Post by RJB8525 Sat Jan 24, 2015 3:59 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Frank your analysis was good, and no its not a clipper, they are weak, they don't break fiya! Bring it on, no sleep here for next 48 hrs lol, well some but not much.  Runs gonna be big on this till Monday.  Frank your pretty confident in at least a 12+ event, I know you do not know exactly where the banding setsup but do u think the west move of the euro holds?  My daughter didn't like the snow what  a shame, she will have to be taught lol

i'm going to stay on the cautious side and not get too excited yet it seems a given we'll get a nice hit of snow but Boston usually wins in these situations
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Post by docstox12 Sat Jan 24, 2015 3:59 pm

Soul, this has been happening for years.How many storms I remember from the past when they got caught with their pants down and were raising snow totals from 2 to 4 to 4 to 6 to 6 to 8 etc etc even as the storm was progressing.
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:01 pm

Guys the whole evolution of this storm as frank explained is not a clipper as we see it but northern energy,streat that is finally coming into play. Awesome analysis again
IN FRANK WE TRUST

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:02 pm

BD Blizzard perfect example. I went from a forecast of 2-4 inches to finally 24-30 in a 24 hour period as it was snowing
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Post by docstox12 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:04 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:BD Blizzard perfect example. I went from a forecast of 2-4 inches to 24-30 in a 24 hour period as it was snowing

Now THAT'S pinpoint accurate forecasting for you,CP!!!!!

Yep, I remember that well. 1 to 3 inches a few days before to all red blizzard maps the day of the storm.
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Post by docstox12 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:05 pm

amugs wrote:Guys the whole evolution of this storm as frank explained is not a clipper as we see it but northern energy,streat that is finally coming into play. Awesome analysis again
IN FRANK WE TRUST

Ok, Mugs, I now understand the evolution of this and have a better grip on why it's happening.You blow out a lot of circuits at my age, takes me a while,LOL!
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Post by RJB8525 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:05 pm

Accuweather thinking already

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 21 650x366_01241950_hd26-2
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Post by docstox12 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:06 pm

Looks like they buy that GFS model posted above here somewhere.
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:07 pm

docstox12 wrote:Soul, this has been happening for years.How many storms I remember from the past when they got caught with their pants down and were raising snow totals from 2 to 4 to 4 to 6 to 6 to 8 etc etc even as the storm was progressing.

Doc last year perect example on 3 storm 1,3 27 and 2,3 super bowl! Just the nature of the TV media world especially after 2001 debacle and this is not that at all

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Post by docstox12 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:08 pm

Yep, now I remember that Mugs.
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Post by Grselig Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:08 pm

If NWS issues a statement for a storm of this magnitude, the panic will be very interesting. Supermarkets shelves will be bone dry.
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Post by mako460 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:08 pm

Bottom line is this...if it does happen all of us snow weenies will be in our glory and we will get our yearly average snowfall in one fell swoop. If it busts on the lighter side we still get a decent snowfall and that is what we are all about here on this board. And...to top it off the pattern has changed and we are not even in Feb. yet so we still have 6 weeks of possibilites to go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Post by RJB8525 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:09 pm

The GFS trend is becoming popular now
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:09 pm

The cutoff is going to make some people upset. I can guarantee that. LI and SNE in a prime spot. Eastern PA in a risk zone. Those in the middle it could be 50/50

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:10 pm

Grselig wrote:If NWS issues a statement for a storm of this magnitude, the panic will be very interesting. Supermarkets shelves will be bone dry.

And the streets will be cleared and plowed the next day, two days later at the latest.

I've never understood the panic, this isn't WDC or Atlanta.
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Post by RJB8525 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:14 pm

During Monday, New York City will be on the northern fringe of the snow. However, people heading south or with connecting flights in the region could have some trouble.
As the storm strengthens Monday night into Tuesday, it may turn northward. As this happens there is a possibility of heavy snow affecting parts of Long Island and Connecticut.

If the storm was to strengthen rapidly, then heavy snow could be thrown farther west across New York City for a time.
The storm will be much colder than most systems the area has seen so that most of the snow that falls will stick to roads.

Accuweathers Alex Sosnowski thinking.

seems legit as of this point
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:20 pm

Their is the possibility that this thing gets pulled to the coast?
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:20 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:The cutoff is going to make some people upset. I can guarantee that. LI and SNE in a prime spot. Eastern PA in a risk zone. Those in the middle it could be 50/50
This is what concenrns me
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:21 pm

So tonight model runs key and tomorrow's too. I will take the last Euro and be happy lol
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Post by Grselig Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:23 pm

NjWeatherGuy wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:The cutoff is going to make some people upset. I can guarantee that. LI and SNE in a prime spot. Eastern PA in a risk zone. Those in the middle it could be 50/50
This is what concenrns me

I know. It would kill me if just east gets 24 inches and Wayne gets an inch or 2. ugh
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:24 pm

Frank when do you think if at all the hype will start in mass media and grocery stores will be crazy i was going to go shopping tomorrow anyways (before knew bout this) do u think i'll be okay in terms of rediculous lines if I go before noon? I hope I can at least get a foot, 36 inches is insane and hard to believe but with thie way this eveolving its entirely possible and as said earlier I have known Frank since late 2013 and he has never jumped into godzilla storm mode and swore like heck on the forum about a blizzard, the threat is real and if tonight models trend (forget the 18z IMO) then we can really start to get confident.
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Post by RJB8525 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:25 pm

Jeff Smith said on Twitter he has major concern for Monday so i'm assuming ABC is all over this, the rest of the local METS i don't know but they will all have to take this seriously if this storm is real and not messing around
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Post by oldtimer Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:31 pm

RJB Its the weekend The regular media people are off They wont get into it untll late tomorrow at lease not calling for B--------

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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:34 pm

Southern New England Weather: I'm not mad at this...

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 21 Img_6516
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Post by RJB8525 Sat Jan 24, 2015 4:39 pm

oldtimer wrote:RJB  Its the weekend   The regular media people are off  They wont get into it untll late tomorrow at lease not calling for B--------

i think the B word will stay with NE and L.I not the city and west
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