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BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:31 pm

NYC schools closed finally DeBlasio!
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Post by SurfNJ Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:32 pm

Lower Manhattan, FiDi- moderate/heavy snow and the wind picked up substantially in the last 30 min.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:33 pm

Frank your map will verify on the high side NWS back up to where they were yesterday.
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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:33 pm

Based on what I'm seeing, H5 looks much more advanced than what any model has it as. I would not be surprised to see this track further west than what anybody thinks. Just my opinion. We shall see. 850-300 hPa mean steering flow would support a track inside of the BM based off of the current low's position, and that is only going to continue to re-orient more south-southeasterly throughout the day. Just my two cents.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:34 pm

FWIW JFK airport had 1.1 inch of liquid precip in blizzard of 1996 and 21.1 inches of snow. Keep in mind when looking at liquid totals. Temperature are a little higher this go round but not that far off 96.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:34 pm

Snowing moderately here roads getting coated
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Post by aiannone Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:34 pm

So 12z EURO now has NEVT getting into it. Could this be right?
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:35 pm

23 in yonkers, what do u think ratios will be overnight when tempos probably dip into teens.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:35 pm

EURO ticked east again, snowing now about an inch.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:37 pm

Thank you Frank!! for the map... My son is standing beside me jumping up and down with happiness that we are finally going to beat Grandma and Pa in snow totals(nw corner of nj)....It is  coming down right now...26 degrees...
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Post by docstox12 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:40 pm

19 degrees. NJ radar filling in rapidly.

Here she comes!!!!!!
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:42 pm

NJ it held steaqdfast for NYC, no waver in snow totals at all. 25 without ratios.
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Post by crippo84 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:43 pm

There's currently quite a bit of graupel mixed with the moderately falling snow in Midtown. What causes this?
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Post by SNOW MAN Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:43 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Based on what I'm seeing, H5 looks much more advanced than what any model has it as. I would not be surprised to see this track further west than what anybody thinks. Just my opinion. We shall see. 850-300 hPa mean steering flow would support a track inside of the BM based off of the current low's position, and that is only going to continue to re-orient more south-southeasterly throughout the day. Just my two cents.

Lets hope so Rb. I would love to get in on those higher snowfall totals, but it probably won't happen. 😢
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Post by Quietace Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:44 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Based on what I'm seeing, H5 looks much more advanced than what any model has it as. I would not be surprised to see this track further west than what anybody thinks. Just my opinion. We shall see. 850-300 hPa mean steering flow would support a track inside of the BM based off of the current low's position, and that is only going to continue to re-orient more south-southeasterly throughout the day. Just my two cents.
You are absolutely spot on and have been absolutely fantastic over the past few days

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Post by emokid51783 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:45 pm

@dsix - It's starting. I'm working in Brooklyn and starting to get ready to pack up soon. My wife told me that it looks bad out there.

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Post by Artechmetals Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:47 pm

Is that tick east by the euro a big deal ?
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Post by nutleyblizzard Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:48 pm

Lee Goldberg just echoed my sentiments. He said he thinks the heavy snow bands will be more west than currently modeled due to the storm being stronger. I guess what he thinks is that the low will close off sooner than expected. Ideally, we would want it to close down by the delmarva.
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Post by amugs Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:48 pm

Nice snow band now at 21*

Just heard lee on espn and said general 18 to 24" plus called it dangerous storm tonight and tomorrow morning


Last edited by amugs on Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:56 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by docstox12 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:49 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Based on what I'm seeing, H5 looks much more advanced than what any model has it as. I would not be surprised to see this track further west than what anybody thinks. Just my opinion. We shall see. 850-300 hPa mean steering flow would support a track inside of the BM based off of the current low's position, and that is only going to continue to re-orient more south-southeasterly throughout the day. Just my two cents.

That's real good nowcast news. A tick west suits me fine!!!!
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Post by Abba701 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:49 pm

Nutleyblizzard...you saw the futurecast.Didnt look to good.Shuts the storm down in the city for a time tonight

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:52 pm

been a beautiful band of snow here coming through it looks bad already. the wind is really whipping around dropped a degree 22* 18mph gusts 24mph
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:53 pm

So if the euro is spot on in NYC and as is the NAM with 15:1 ratios with 25 inches that's 40 inches, I know I probably already said that but I still can't believe it its like a dream.
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Post by Artechmetals Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:55 pm

Jman how confident r u with the high totals ? Please tell me very lol
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:55 pm

pay no mind to futurecasts as I stated before IMO they highly unreliable and I honestly do not even know where they come from seen them on TV.
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