NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

+64
chief7
Dis2cruise
gigs68
nutleyblizzard
Yschiff
chrism
Aiosamoney21
bloc1357
shawnerak
Puff the magic dragon
tigernumba1
LB3147
BARBIEFLY
vmallh6
dsvinos
toople
static2987
Scullybutcher
dsix85
marin1804
NjWeatherGuy
HectorO
meeka312
mako460
emokid51783
WeatherBob
Sunflowers138
sroc4
deadrabbit79
lisalamb
2004blackwrx
Abba701
sabamfa
WOLVES1
crippo84
carvin1079
oldtimer
Dunnzoo
jtswife
weatherwatchermom
jimv45
snow247
SNOW MAN
skinsfan1177
amugs
Math23x7
aiannone
RJB8525
Joe Snow
docstox12
snowday111
Vinnydula
devsman
mancave25
Quietace
Artechmetals
SoulSingMG
jmanley32
Dtone
rb924119
billg315
CPcantmeasuresnow
algae888
Frank_Wx
68 posters

Page 2 of 39 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 20 ... 39  Next

Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:37 am

Trough is neutral at 18 versus still positively tilted at 00z. Higher heights along EC

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Join date : 2013-02-06

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by mancave25 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:37 am

Nwest jersey gets screwed again

mancave25

Posts : 112
Join date : 2014-02-05

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by algae888 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:38 am

and that may be underdone without ratios. look at qpf
Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 StormTotalQPFFcst
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 61
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:39 am

Secondary wave also looks like it is steepening eastern side of ridge more.....good sign.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by devsman Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:40 am

Artechmetals wrote:Does anyone who is a teacher on here know when blizzard warnings go up if schools usually cancel ?

Depends where you teach. Long island will start cancellations tomorrow night. NYC...ha...well, we may have to wait for 7am. One year, I woke up, saw 12 inches on the ground. But school was still on so i went to shower, got dressed, and around 6:45, they cancelled school. I think Bill Evans said, "what the hell took so long!"
devsman
devsman
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 424
Reputation : 4
Join date : 2014-01-01
Age : 48
Location : merrick, ny (south shore of Long Island)

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by algae888 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:40 am

mancave25 wrote:Nwest jersey gets screwed again
I know you must be joking as nw nj always out performs the coast. this is their 1 out of every 25 storms to cash in on
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 61
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:40 am

Looks to me like GFS starting to phase a little earlier here through hour 30

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:40 am

algae888 wrote:and that may be underdone without ratios. look at qpf
Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 StormTotalQPFFcst

very impressive, you looking at +30 inches in some spots factoring in the ratios if those qpf's hold.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7265
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by Vinnydula Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:41 am

What are the ratios going to be with this storm
Vinnydula
Vinnydula
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 778
Reputation : 8
Join date : 2013-12-12
Location : Dobbs ferry

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by Artechmetals Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:43 am

Can't believe new 12 still 6 to 12
Artechmetals
Artechmetals
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 571
Reputation : 3
Join date : 2014-01-01
Age : 57
Location : Wayne , NJ

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by mancave25 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:43 am

I don't know about that we never make out up here with coastal storms it seems like the heavy snow is always on the coast the last couple of years

mancave25

Posts : 112
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-02-05

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by snowday111 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:44 am

Artechmetals wrote:Does anyone who is a teacher on here know when blizzard warnings go up if schools usually cancel ?

I think we will know that there's no school on Tuesday VERY early on. I'm more worried about tomorrow. I think they may try to get the day in maybe with an early dismissal.

snowday111

Posts : 92
Reputation : 1
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Monroe Twp. NJ (Middlesex County)

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:44 am

NVM. Actually holds off on closing H5...

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:45 am

rb924119 wrote:NVM. Actually holds off on closing H5...

That's a little disturbing.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7265
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by docstox12 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:45 am

mancave25 wrote:I don't know about that we never make out up here with coastal storms it seems like the heavy snow is always on the coast the last couple of years

At least you get something out of them.Up where I go trout fishing in Roscoe NY, the foot of the Catskills which should be major snow territory, have busted out over and over with these coastals in the last five years.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8472
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:45 am

GFS did not close off H5. Was very late with the phase. LI and NYC still do well, especially LI. But western areas get kind of screwed

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by algae888 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:46 am

mancave25 wrote:I don't know about that we never make out up here with coastal storms it seems like the heavy snow is always on the coast the last couple of years
yes I agree but just the last couple of years. prior to that how many storms does the coast get mix or rain and you a foot of snow.
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 61
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by docstox12 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:47 am

Frank_Wx wrote:GFS did not close off H5. Was very late with the phase. LI and NYC still do well, especially LI. But western areas get kind of screwed

Ruh, roh!!!!!!
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8472
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:47 am

Frank_Wx wrote:GFS did not close off H5. Was very late with the phase. LI and NYC still do well, especially LI. But western areas get kind of screwed

Not good, how concerned are you?
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7265
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:48 am

The GFS is not good with these type of systems. It had a very bad handle with Nemo as well. The possibility exists that it could be right, but with a western ridge like that I would expect a cleaner phase

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by Joe Snow Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:48 am

Frank_Wx wrote:GFS did not close off H5. Was very late with the phase. LI and NYC still do well, especially LI. But western areas get kind of screwed


A hic up?
Joe Snow
Joe Snow
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 924
Reputation : 7
Join date : 2014-02-12
Age : 62
Location : Sanford Florida, Fmrly Kings Park, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by mancave25 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:49 am

That's not good cancel the blizzard watch lol

mancave25

Posts : 112
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-02-05

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by docstox12 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:49 am

If that happens, CP, we'll be lucky to get 8 while LI gets bombed again.

NEMO-II
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8472
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by rb924119 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:49 am

Yeah, it was like 12 hours later with the closing off. It looked like the energy was streaming down the backside sooner, though, to me. Idk

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by mancave25 Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:49 am

Nws just jinxed us

mancave25

Posts : 112
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-02-05

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:50 am

It's actually still a Godzilla due to the long duration of the banding. It's just not as extreme as the EURO/CMC and their ensembles

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Post-910-0-51731900-1422200752

This has to be watched because the northern stream energy is now under full sampling. I still think a Godzilla is coming (always thought that was the floor) but the big 24+ amounts I am not yet convinced.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sun Jan 25, 2015 10:51 am

docstox12 wrote:If that happens, CP, we'll be lucky to get 8 while LI gets bombed again.

NEMO-II

I've always considered the possibility with this one Doc. The only model that ever seem to have our area near the bull's-eye for this is the euro.

Hope this doesn't begin a tick eastward trend. But at least we have 8 inches of snow on the ground I keep forgetting that.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7265
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15) - Page 2 Empty Re: Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 39 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 20 ... 39  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum