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Update #3: Roidzilla Coming, But For Who? (1/26-1/27/15)

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Post by algae888 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:31 am

wonder what upton and other wx outlets do with their forecasts. probably going to go middle of the road now so I think 12-18 for nyc and up to 2' out east and into conn. western surburbs tough call also starting at 12" just west of nyc working down to 3-6 in far western places.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:31 am

CP srefs agree, show 1.8 qpf for my area thats close to 2.3 qpf on euro
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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:31 am

At this range, I GOTTA put more weight into them than a medium range model. Idk

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:32 am

Al, I do not think NWS changes their totals even if it busts they have brought too much heat for NYC preparredness, national guard etc.
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Post by Guest Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:38 am

@algae888 wrote:wonder what upton and other wx outlets do with their forecasts. probably going to go middle of the road now so I think 12-18 for nyc and up to 2' out east and into conn. western surburbs tough call also starting at 12" just west of nyc working down to 3-6 in far western places.

If you use the idea of an average the low end from the American models is about 12 to 16 for nyc and the high end is 24 to 30+. The average then would be about 20 inches for NYC and more east.

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Post by algae888 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:39 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Al, I do not think NWS changes their totals even if it busts they have brought too much heat for NYC preparredness, national guard etc.
12-18 for nyc and 18-24 for li that's what I think they will do. I feel that is the wise and responsible thing to do, it is still a crippling snowstorm and some spots will probably get 3' but not widespread.
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Post by algae888 Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:42 am

syosnow94 wrote:
@algae888 wrote:wonder what upton and other wx outlets do with their forecasts. probably going to go middle of the road now so I think 12-18 for nyc and up to 2' out east and into conn. western surburbs tough call also starting at 12" just west of nyc working down to 3-6 in far western places.

If you use the idea of an average the low end from the American models is about 12 to 16 for nyc and the high end is 24 to 30+.  The average then would be about 20 inches for NYC and more east.
james you are in a great spot for this storm so I wouldn't worry. I think nws still has to respect other models somewhat but def Nassau county on east 2' is a good forecast
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 1:45 am

final map posted

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