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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

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Post by jtswife Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:21 am

Thank you Frank and others for all the work you do.
You guys are the ones I listen too.
Be safe during the storm drunken
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Post by Artechmetals Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:21 am

Morning people , was following last night that some models were not in agreement and everyone was concerned any new info and is it GAME ON?
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Post by meeka312 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:31 am

Very Happy

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Post by Artechmetals Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:39 am

Jman I know there was some disagreement on models everyone was going crazy , how are they looking now are we getting the big snows
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Post by amugs Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:40 am

@Artechmetals wrote:Morning people , was following last night that some models were not in agreement and everyone was concerned any new info and is it GAME ON?

Metals - Al and I along with Yaschiff? burned the midnight oil and took on teh graveyard shift - me by accident - and the NAM came in and crushed us along with the SREFS - too short range models and agreed with KING EURO on the H5 evolution and qpf so.....................we are GAME ON BIG TIME NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:41 am

KING EURO - like king I said last night and in my heart I knew it would be

KING EURO king king savior savior shout shout

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Post by Artechmetals Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:42 am

Awesome mugs !! Felt bad for you guys las night after the gfs run some people were putting you guys down not fair keep up the great work stay safe and ENJOY
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Post by Artechmetals Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:45 am

Quick question , is the duration of the storm still a long one ?
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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:46 am

Just thought I'd mention this-H5 tilting negative already, and this sucker is DEEP!!!

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:47 am

So it's evolving great
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Post by meeka312 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:47 am

@Artechmetals wrote:Awesome mugs !! Felt bad for you guys las night after the gfs run some people were putting you guys down not fair keep up the great work stay safe and ENJOY

I didn't understand the bashing either last night. Weather is subject to change. I always make sure I'm clear with using words like "potential" and "could change" when relaying info to friends and family. thanks for keeping us all informed guys.

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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:48 am

It looks like it to me. Well, for all you guys, at least Very Happy

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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:49 am

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 5 500mb

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by Nyi1058 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:53 am

So what's the timeing of the major stuff starting ?? I'm in riverhead Long Island and work til 3

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Post by down tines Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:54 am

@meeka312 wrote:
@Artechmetals wrote:Awesome mugs !! Felt bad for you guys las night after the gfs run some people were putting you guys down not fair keep up the great work stay safe and ENJOY

I didn't understand the bashing either last night. Weather is subject to change. I always make sure I'm clear with using words like "potential" and "could change" when relaying info to friends and family. thanks for keeping us all informed guys.
Thank you gentleman for your tireless in depth forecasts, some of us apprieciate all your effort Now sit back and enjoy and watch it pile up
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:57 am

A heartfelt thank you this morning especially goes out to Frank, sroc , Mugs and Al, who kept many people from jumping off roofs late last night when the 0Z GFS came in and a couple of other models CMC, Nam etc went against us.

when the finger-pointing started by a few they kept their cool held steady in their beliefs and this morning we see what happens. GFS improving Nam going towards the euro. I was starting to have my doubts but Al, Frank, and Mugs and SROC, made their usual logical convincing arguments that a blizzard still seemed likely. And this morning I wake and a  blizzard still seems likely.

Last NAM has the qpf as 1.5 inches for us Doc, if that holds true with our current temperature of 14° that could easily translate to 25 to 30 inches of snow. Not saying it's going to happen but I went to bed last night thinking a foot, 20 inches would be great and 30 inches would be phenomenal. Looks like anything is still possible.

Thanks again guys, this weather form are best amateur professionals anywhere.
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Post by Taffy Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:01 am

CP......I would put you smack in the list of names you mentioned. Thank YOU!
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Post by Grselig Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:03 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:A heartfelt thank you this morning especially goes out to Frank, sroc , Mugs and Al, who kept many people from jumping off roofs late last night when the 0Z GFS came in and a couple of other models CMC, Nam etc went against us.

when the finger-pointing started by a few they kept their cool held steady in their beliefs and this morning we see what happens. GFS improving Nam going towards the euro. I was starting to have my doubts but Al, Frank, and Mugs and SROC, made their usual logical convincing arguments that a blizzard still seemed likely. And this morning I wake and a  blizzard still seems likely.

Last NAM has the qpf as 1.5 inches for us Doc, if that holds true with our current temperature of 14° that could easily translate to 25 to 30 inches of snow. Not saying it's going to happen but I went to bed last night thinking a foot, 20 inches would be great and 30 inches would be phenomenal. Looks like anything is still possible.

Thanks again guys, this weather form are best amateur professionals anywhere.

Ditto! Thanks
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Post by bloc1357 Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:03 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:A heartfelt thank you this morning especially goes out to Frank, sroc , Mugs and Al, who kept many people from jumping off roofs late last night when the 0Z GFS came in and a couple of other models CMC, Nam etc went against us.

when the finger-pointing started by a few they kept their cool held steady in their beliefs and this morning we see what happens. GFS improving Nam going towards the euro. I was starting to have my doubts but Al, Frank, and Mugs and SROC, made their usual logical convincing arguments that a blizzard still seemed likely. And this morning I wake and a  blizzard still seems likely.

Last NAM has the qpf as 1.5 inches for us Doc, if that holds true with our current temperature of 14° that could easily translate to 25 to 30 inches of snow. Not saying it's going to happen but I went to bed last night thinking a foot, 20 inches would be great and 30 inches would be phenomenal. Looks like anything is still possible.

Thanks again guys, this weather form are best amateur professionals anywhere.

I agree, the minute some people feel like there is a window of doubt they start the bashing and finger pointing. Like CP said great job by you guys!!! Keep up the good work. Going to be a fun couple days. Thanks again and enjoy the snow!

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Post by devsman Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:07 am

How the hell am I supposed to teach today? This is like torture. Maybe this can be a teachable moment and I can show them some weather maps and conversion charts.
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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:15 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:A heartfelt thank you this morning especially goes out to Frank, sroc , Mugs and Al, who kept many people from jumping off roofs late last night when the 0Z GFS came in and a couple of other models CMC, Nam etc went against us.

when the finger-pointing started by a few they kept their cool held steady in their beliefs and this morning we see what happens. GFS improving Nam going towards the euro. I was starting to have my doubts but Al, Frank, and Mugs and SROC, made their usual logical convincing arguments that a blizzard still seemed likely. And this morning I wake and a  blizzard still seems likely.

Last NAM has the qpf as 1.5 inches for us Doc, if that holds true with our current temperature of 14° that could easily translate to 25 to 30 inches of snow. Not saying it's going to happen but I went to bed last night thinking a foot, 20 inches would be great and 30 inches would be phenomenal. Looks like anything is still possible.

Thanks again guys, this weather form are best amateur professionals anywhere.

Ill accept thanks this time Wed am when I have 20-30" on the ground. Smile

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by tigernumba1 Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:17 am

TWC has moved their totals a little west... hmmm...
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:18 am

Ok there is a fake.news 8 map floating around showing 30 to 60 inches snow. I'm mobile but get the word put thst this is fake. It looks like it comes from ct news 8.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:18 am

@Taffy wrote:CP......I would put you smack in the list of names you mentioned. Thank YOU!

Taffy, I would not put myself anywhere near those names, you are way to kind, but thank you.
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Post by devsman Mon Jan 26, 2015 8:19 am

Thunderstorms in the forecast overnight into morning
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