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Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?

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Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust? - Page 13 Empty Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:48 pm

Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust? - Page 13 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f57

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Post by amugs Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:49 pm

Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust? - Page 13 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f57

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:49 pm

996 mb already

Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust? - Page 13 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f60

Ice involved

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:50 pm

Damn it..........
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Post by amugs Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:51 pm

Holy crap nnj and lhv get whacked

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Post by aiannone Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:51 pm

Ice storm for NYC. Rain south of there into CNJ south
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:51 pm

North of NYC gets rocked

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:52 pm

Cant catch a break here can I...
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:52 pm

4-8 inches of snow for NYC with ice. Godzilla north of there. 3-6 inches CNJ and ice. Rain SNJ

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Post by amugs Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:53 pm

Historic ice storm for nyc in the making

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:53 pm

Hey Frank, you wanna see a textbook example of isentropic lift? Look at that for hour 60 when the data becomes available lmfao

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:53 pm

Nyc was all frozen that run, no rain. Careful of snow maps that count ice as snow.

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:54 pm

Here's the snow map based on a 10:1. If somebody could post the H-D version that'd be great. Thanks!!

http://www.earthsat.com/misc/newmod/getMap.php?model=GFS_op&run=00&area=US&vars=SF&hour=0072
http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/OP/00/snosums/0024/GFS_00_opUS_SF_0072.png


Last edited by rb924119 on Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:57 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:56 pm

Really hope this ice storm doesn't come to fruition.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:57 pm

@amugs wrote:Historic ice storm for nyc in the making
Unless trend continues to NAM or UKIE solution we could just be in snow to plain rain, or hopefully the damn thing goes back south so we can get just snow.
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:58 pm

No way anyone north of NYC is getting rain this storm. CNJ to SNJ yes, but even they'll see snow. I need to look at sounding .

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Post by jimv45 Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:59 pm

I can't see the map how does mid hudson valley do having party. what time does it start.

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 30, 2015 10:59 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:No way anyone north of NYC is getting rain this storm. CNJ to SNJ yes, but even they'll see snow. I need to look at sounding .

They will if it keeps trending north....

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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 30, 2015 11:00 pm

that was a great run for me and jman 850's stay just south of us. we shoud get some intense snow rates as we will be very close to the r/s line. still to close for comfort. will prob change several more times until models lock in a solution
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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 30, 2015 11:00 pm

@jimv45 wrote:I can't see the map how does mid hudson valley do having party. what time does it start.

Probably 6-10 based on 10:1 ratio. With ratios, somewhere around a foot, probably.

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Post by rb924119 Fri Jan 30, 2015 11:01 pm

@algae888 wrote:that was a great run for me and jman 850's stay just south of us. we shoud get some intense snow rates as we will be very close to the r/s line. still to close for comfort. will prob change several more times until models lock in a solution

Heck yeah, Al, me too hahah I am just getting a little concerned. I don't like having to worry about the proximity of the elevated warm nose ahahaha

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Jan 30, 2015 11:02 pm

Frank change the friggin title of this thread lol, its bad luck.
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 30, 2015 11:02 pm

@rb924119 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:No way anyone north of NYC is getting rain this storm. CNJ to SNJ yes, but even they'll see snow. I need to look at sounding .

They will if it keeps trending north....

It's not possible with that type of confluence and Greenland block. No way.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 30, 2015 11:04 pm

Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust? - Page 13 10922432_10152994708670269_1021003895824347191_n

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Post by oldtimer Fri Jan 30, 2015 11:06 pm

Lee got changes coming up New map totals

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