Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
The EURO does too. Interesting.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php
Current NOAA Map............
Current NOAA Map............
Joe Snow- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
0z CMC went way north
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
I'm mobile tonight but that looks warm
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
GEM should be out soon; no?
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
Never mind ahaha Based on thicknesses for areas south and east of that 540 line, it certainly does.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
Do you have the frame before that?
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
Friend texted me saying cooler than GFS
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
rb924119 wrote:Do you have the frame before that?
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
It transfers energy.
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
Frank_Wx wrote:Friend texted me saying cooler than GFS
Dynamical component, maybe? And the UKMET is coming out; holds its serve of a much more amplified system- 989hPa low over northeastern OH with H5 closing off at 72 over us. Looks like it's trying a Miller-B, but the time resolution is too low to say that definitively. Awaiting the rest of the information.
Last edited by rb924119 on Fri Jan 30, 2015 11:45 pm; edited 1 time in total
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
CMC total snowfall with ratios. So now NAM, GFS, and CMC are on board for 6-8" here. Just when i thought we would be sunny here lol
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
hearing cmc hammers nyc with snow just a very brief mix
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
GGEM is 10 inches for NYC with maybe a small period of mixing.
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
rb924119 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:Friend texted me saying cooler than GFS
Dynamical component, maybe? And the UKMET is coming out; holds its serve of a much more amplified system- 989hPa low over northeastern OH with H5 closing off at 72 over us. Looks like it's trying a Miller-B, but the time resolution is too low to say that definitively. Awaiting the rest of the information.
Dynamic cooling wouldn't help much in this situation. Surface temps are not as much the issue as mid-levels and upper-levels. Dynamic cooling helps surface temps, not mid-levels, so this would translate to an ice scenario in the NYC Metro if 850's and 925' go above freezing.
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
aiannone wrote:CMC total snowfall with ratios. So now NAM, GFS, and CMC are on board for 6-8" here. Just when i thought we would be sunny here lol
GOOD LORD ALMIGHTY!!! Where's the dotted line?!! I'll sign in blood if needed lmfao
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
aiannone wrote:rb924119 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:Friend texted me saying cooler than GFS
Dynamical component, maybe? And the UKMET is coming out; holds its serve of a much more amplified system- 989hPa low over northeastern OH with H5 closing off at 72 over us. Looks like it's trying a Miller-B, but the time resolution is too low to say that definitively. Awaiting the rest of the information.
Dynamic cooling wouldn't help much in this situation. Surface temps are not as much the issue as mid-levels and upper-levels. Dynamic cooling helps surface temps, not mid-levels, so this would translate to an ice scenario in the NYC Metro if 850's and 925' go above freezing.
You're totally right. I'm just an idiot lmao I've had a longggggg day ahaha Thanks for stating that, though. You caught my mistake that I never would have.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
frank cmc snow map is 12-18" for nyc.not sure if that is adding in fz rain and sleetFrank_Wx wrote:GGEM is 10 inches for NYC with maybe a small period of mixing.
Last edited by algae888 on Fri Jan 30, 2015 11:49 pm; edited 1 time in total
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
Thanks for posting all of these maps, by the way, guys; really helps out.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
If you look at the GFS, it is trying to do the same thing. It is not very pronounced but it is hinting at it. This could be a sign of the thermal profile changing from a more flat east to west orientation to a more "bumpy" profile due to the low re-development. Have to wait and see two more runs.
WeatherBob- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
rb924119 wrote:aiannone wrote:rb924119 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:Friend texted me saying cooler than GFS
Dynamical component, maybe? And the UKMET is coming out; holds its serve of a much more amplified system- 989hPa low over northeastern OH with H5 closing off at 72 over us. Looks like it's trying a Miller-B, but the time resolution is too low to say that definitively. Awaiting the rest of the information.
Dynamic cooling wouldn't help much in this situation. Surface temps are not as much the issue as mid-levels and upper-levels. Dynamic cooling helps surface temps, not mid-levels, so this would translate to an ice scenario in the NYC Metro if 850's and 925' go above freezing.
You're totally right. I'm just an idiot lmao I've had a longggggg day ahaha Thanks for stating that, though. You caught my mistake that I never would have.
No problem lol!
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
From what I can tell so far, which is purely based on thicknesses at the moment, the UKMET looks to go to rain or a mix all the way to or damn near Albany, NY. I'm awaiting more data, though.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
Regardless, it absolutely dumps whatever precipitation it is creating lol
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
rb924119 wrote:From what I can tell so far, which is purely based on thicknesses at the moment, the UKMET looks to go to rain or a mix all the way to or damn near Albany, NY. I'm awaiting more data, though.
UKMET is north, so warm for coastal areas....
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Re: Update #1: Can NJ Make Up For Blizzard Bust?
Like I said-DUMPS lmao:
http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/accum/PA_000-072_0000.gif
http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/accum/PA_000-072_0000.gif
rb924119- Meteorologist
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