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Update #2: 1st Call Snow Map, Intense Winter Storm Coming

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:28 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
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@Frank_Wx wrote:I told people in the office 8-12 for Hackettstown, NJ and that was back on Thursday. 6-10 is probably a better call there but it's still around the vicinity. Good enough Smile

Speaking of Hackettstown, would you be interested in a meteorology job? There's a private forecasting company, WeatherWorks that is based downtown. I'm actually doing consulting work for them through March. Idk what kind of qualifications you have and that they look for, but you might have a solid shot at getting interviewed if they open a position up. It's a small company, but it's certainly local for you, and it's what you love.

I've heard of them before. Handle a lot of the school closings or decision makings, right? I actually don't have any background in Meteorology. Have not even taken a single class on it. Doubt they would be interested in me. Really appreciate the looking out though

Idk about the school closings and such, but I do know that their focus is on winter weather. They do a ton of business with snow plow businesses, grounds keepers and other similar-type companies, I do know that. And yeah, ok; I guarantee you know AT LEAST as much as I do, and no joke probably more. You would probably do fine if you applied. You'll never know if you don't try :p But yeah man, any time! Figured I'd send the shoutout and let you know lol

All they would see on my resume is a bunch of supply chain jobs. I'll PM you my email and we can talk about it more, but if they really wanted someone they would go for someone who has a degree I would think. But hey, never know.

GGEM starting soon.

Yeah, that works. I'd be interested to hear (read) what you have to say about EPAWA as well.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:28 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:gfs agrees 0.1-0.5 frz, more snow, hoping this in right direction but this still look like a big ice threat around where ct, nj and nj meet and pioints around.

Update #2: 1st Call Snow Map, Intense Winter Storm Coming  - Page 21 Gfs_fr10
Wow trended to all frozen, might be wrong tho due to low res.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:30 pm

Tom, another 10-10 - 15 mile shift south and that would be huge

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:31 pm

Knocking on wood here, but I'm starting to like what I'm seeing a little more.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:32 pm

Crap...00z ggem is stronger than 12z.

Why can't all the models be positive? I should stick with baseball stats as my go-to hobby.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:34 pm

Update #2: 1st Call Snow Map, Intense Winter Storm Coming  - Page 21 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f33

Update #2: 1st Call Snow Map, Intense Winter Storm Coming  - Page 21 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f36

Update #2: 1st Call Snow Map, Intense Winter Storm Coming  - Page 21 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f39

Update #2: 1st Call Snow Map, Intense Winter Storm Coming  - Page 21 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f42

Update #2: 1st Call Snow Map, Intense Winter Storm Coming  - Page 21 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f45

Update #2: 1st Call Snow Map, Intense Winter Storm Coming  - Page 21 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f48

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:36 pm

Madonne

Update #2: 1st Call Snow Map, Intense Winter Storm Coming  - Page 21 Post-747-0-44340700-1422765304.gif.pagespeed.ce.JItlzkSk2M

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:36 pm

These runs that put me on that line have to stop hahaha again, I think with my elevation I may be ok on this run.

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:38 pm

Yeah, it's big lol

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:38 pm

wow what a storm! forget the models look that thang!
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:41 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:wow what a storm! forget the models look that thang!

That may not be a good thing

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:42 pm

Update #2: 1st Call Snow Map, Intense Winter Storm Coming  - Page 21 Post-910-0-03889200-1422765721.png.pagespeed.ce.JSUJagI7SI

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:43 pm

Can you post the map with ratios, Frank? Thanks!!

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:46 pm

CMC is amped and warm, not good.
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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:47 pm

That's as warm as the CMC gets, NJ.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015020100/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_7.png

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:51 pm

GFS Ensembles are 4mb weaker with the low, maybe slightly faster.

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:52 pm

Does it mean all rain or a big ice storm frank? So what do you see happening ice, rain? I see little snow coming from that wxbell map.
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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:54 pm

Ensembles ticked south by a hair.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:54 pm

@rb924119 wrote:That's as warm as the CMC gets, NJ.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015020100/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_7.png

There seemed to be a frame where the 850 and surface line was all the way into northern sussex co. See franks map. Aka all rain south
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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:55 pm

00z GFS snow map based on 10:1 ratios

http://images1.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/EN/00/snosums/0024/GFS_00_enUS_SF_0048.png

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 31, 2015 11:57 pm

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:That's as warm as the CMC gets, NJ.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015020100/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_7.png

There seemed to be a frame where the 850 and surface line was all the way into northern sussex co. See franks map. Aka all rain south

I saw that too, but maybe that can't resolve the elevational factors like the actual simulated differential radar can? Or, it could be a pixellation issue. Idk. But follow the snow line; that'll tell you ;p

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sun Feb 01, 2015 12:02 am

@rb924119 wrote:
@NjWeatherGuy wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:That's as warm as the CMC gets, NJ.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015020100/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_7.png

There seemed to be a frame where the 850 and surface line was all the way into northern sussex co. See franks map. Aka all rain south

I saw that too, but maybe that can't resolve the elevational factors like the actual simulated differential radar can? Or, it could be a pixellation issue. Idk. But follow the snow line; that'll tell you ;p
I think its the other way around, those p type maps are generated at the default lower resolution meanwhile the  freezing lines are not and should be more accurate
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Post by rb924119 Sun Feb 01, 2015 12:05 am

UKMET might have actually even come in a little colder as well. Hard for me to tell because I can only get frames every six hours, not three. Of course the definitive answer lies on that in-between lol

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Post by rb924119 Sun Feb 01, 2015 12:06 am

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@NjWeatherGuy wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:That's as warm as the CMC gets, NJ.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015020100/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_7.png

There seemed to be a frame where the 850 and surface line was all the way into northern sussex co. See franks map. Aka all rain south

I saw that too, but maybe that can't resolve the elevational factors like the actual simulated differential radar can? Or, it could be a pixellation issue. Idk. But follow the snow line; that'll tell you ;p
I think its the other way around, those p type maps are generated at the default lower resolution meanwhile the  freezing lines are not and should be more accurate

It could be. I truly don't know the answer to that. But like I said, just follow the axis of heaviest snow and that will tell where it's progged to stop.

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Post by rb924119 Sun Feb 01, 2015 12:08 am

I guess I'm stuck staying up for the EURO now lmao

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