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UPDATE #2: 1st Call Snow Map, N&W Wins Again

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Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 07, 2015 1:55 pm

Thanks, Alex! Although I must say, that is a lot less than what I was expecting, mainly for areas of NW NJ, the lower Hudson Valley, and NE PA. They were below freezing through the column the whole time......hmm.

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Post by aiannone Sat Feb 07, 2015 1:58 pm

So SREF plumes just jumped to 18.39" here in NEVT lol
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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Feb 07, 2015 2:21 pm

Upton has no advisory level precip on their maps. None. Snow, ice, rain. I am not even sure what we are tracking here to be honest. This is a pure good ole NE special.
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Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 07, 2015 2:23 pm

We in the HV are on the southernmost fringe right now for 4 to 6 inches.Hopefully this drifts south to you.
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Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 07, 2015 2:33 pm

Binghamton's WFO just upped me to 10-14" now, but their forecast disco still makes absolutely no sense with those numbers, nor does my point forecast lmao oh well.

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Post by Taffy Sat Feb 07, 2015 2:40 pm

Wonderground Weather has forecast "ice pellets for me on Monday. All day. I'll get a lot done in the house, come Monday.
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Post by snow247 Sat Feb 07, 2015 2:50 pm

Hearing the SREF's are a bit south.

nevermind lol



Last edited by snow247 on Sat Feb 07, 2015 2:58 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by aiannone Sat Feb 07, 2015 2:51 pm

@snow247 wrote:Hearing the SREF's are a bit south.

Must have gone north if my mean went up to 18" lol
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Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 07, 2015 2:51 pm

Well if Alex's plume in Vermont jumped to a mean of 18", then there's no way lol However, Idk what run those were based off of. There's a good chance it was 09z, because they shifted north. Idk for sure, though.

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Post by RJB8525 Sat Feb 07, 2015 2:52 pm

@Taffy wrote:Wonderground Weather has forecast "ice pellets for me on Monday.  All day. I'll get a lot done in the house, come Monday.

they have 3am ice pellets, 6Am-9am rain 12-3 snow then snow showers for me
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 07, 2015 2:55 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:Upton has no advisory level precip on their maps. None. Snow, ice, rain. I am not even sure what we are tracking here to be honest. This is a pure good ole NE special.

I think central NY does best with this storm, GFS has Albany for 22 inches, but central NE does do well, AGAIN!! We shall see if all this verifies. IN the HV I'd say I get anywhere from 2-10 right now, depending on how much mixing and if qpf doesn't keep drying up, so in other words I'm ready for anything.

These storms have been anything but boring, they change as often as Bruce Jenner changes his gender.
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Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:04 pm

Latest SREFs are still north. About the same as 09z runs were.

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Post by aiannone Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:06 pm

do you have an image?
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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:08 pm

Boston now under Winter Storm Warning, 18-24 inches of snow lol. Man I wish we had this season when I lived there!!
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Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:10 pm

Looks like storm two is in the on deck circle lining itself to get here.Cloudy and cold.
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Post by snow247 Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:10 pm

I'm moving to Boston.
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Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:10 pm

@aiannone wrote:do you have an image?

I'm just basing that off of the their snowfall probabilities. The actual images haven't come out yet, but when I get them I will post them.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:11 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:Boston now under Winter Storm Warning, 18-24 inches of snow lol. Man I wish we had this season when I lived there!!

If that verifies it will be a record two week period by far for them. They could almost double their seasonal norm in a two week period. They may not see anything like this again for over 100 years.

Ridiculous
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Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:12 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:Boston now under Winter Storm Warning, 18-24 inches of snow lol. Man I wish we had this season when I lived there!!

This is certainly their winter.The pattern just keeps throwing one snowstorm after another there.And not one is a Miller A.Go figure.The beauty of winter and Mother Nature.
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Post by Taffy Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:13 pm

[quote="RJB8525"][quote="Taffy"]Wonderground Weather has forecast "ice pellets for me on Monday.  All day. I'll get a lot done in the house, come Monday.[/quote]

they have 3am ice pellets, 6Am-9am rain 12-3 snow then snow showers for me[/quote]


I just checked again and found that they forecast some rain and snow during the day. It seems that I only get a few hours of the ice pellets then rain and snow. Thanks for pointing this out RJ
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Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:16 pm

Here's the loop of MSLP/6-hourly precipitation:

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_15z/srefloop.html

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Post by aiannone Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:22 pm

YAY
UPDATE #2: 1st Call Snow Map, N&W Wins Again - Page 4 Btv10
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:28 pm

@aiannone wrote:YAY
UPDATE #2: 1st Call Snow Map, N&W Wins Again - Page 4 Btv10

What town in that map is your college near Alex?
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Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:37 pm

The Not A Model is still ridiculously dry for this system. Idk why.

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Post by snow247 Sat Feb 07, 2015 3:42 pm

@rb924119 wrote:The Not A Model is still ridiculously dry for this system. Idk why.

Yea looks like 1-2 inches south of nyc and only 2-4 from nyc north up to around albany. lol.


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