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Record Cold & Dangerous Wind Chills Sunday-Monday

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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Feb 14, 2015 9:49 am

@jmanley32 wrote:the wind really has not cut back frank made a mistake above, that was a sustained wind map not gusts, still looking at 50-60mph gusts depending on where you are.
Jman, there is a gust map posted above....

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:07 am

General 40-50mph gusts with some places gusting near 60mph at times

Record Cold & Dangerous Wind Chills Sunday-Monday - Page 2 Gfs_mslp_uv10g_nyc_6

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:08 am

Wind chills by 7pm Sunday

Record Cold & Dangerous Wind Chills Sunday-Monday - Page 2 Gfs_windchill_nyc_8

It looks the same for 7am Monday too

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:40 am

@Dunnzoo wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:the wind really has not cut back frank made a mistake above, that was a sustained wind map not gusts, still looking at 50-60mph gusts depending on where you are.
Jman, there is a gust map posted above....

yes I know that, there was someone who asked if ta trend downward was happeneing because frank posted yesterday the sustained map, then the gust map. Which of course has changed yet again. I agree 40-50 plus some places 60mph probably east.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 14, 2015 3:59 pm

Nws just increased gusts in nyc back to 60 mph so mother sure why it's not a hww now It was increased for nyc bronx and western li. we will see I do not see how those areas would be much different than hete. Snow is sticking now
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Feb 14, 2015 4:06 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:General 40-50mph gusts with some places gusting near 60mph at times

Record Cold & Dangerous Wind Chills Sunday-Monday - Page 2 Gfs_mslp_uv10g_nyc_6
Wonder why the winds are actually heavier inland over NJ with this storm, wind bullseye over my house.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Feb 14, 2015 4:11 pm

Funny you say nj when I saw that map I wondered same thing
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 14, 2015 4:51 pm

It does move east but it is interesting.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 14, 2015 4:53 pm

The winds are higher over PA/NJ than LI because we have a developing secondary low forming off the coast of SNJ. As it does so, pressure gradients tighten from the west since it's absorbing energy from the atmosphere. There's also a 250mb jet streak south of the area. I'm not surprised by the wind placement.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Feb 14, 2015 5:15 pm

Thanks for explaining that frank
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Post by Abba701 Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:48 pm

Frank does NYC break the record low of 1 for Monday ? Probobaly not.Agree?

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:19 pm

Get ready for the cold and wind tomorrow. Current temps...

Record Cold & Dangerous Wind Chills Sunday-Monday - Page 2 Ne_curtemp_720x486

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:19 pm

@Abba701 wrote:Frank does NYC break the record low of 1 for Monday ? Probobaly not.Agree?

It will be close. Don't think so

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:42 pm

@Abba701 wrote:Frank does NYC break the record low of 1 for Monday ? Probobaly not.Agree?

NYC is now a place that's very hard to set record lows. The heat island effect is very pronounced and conditions have to be ideal. In January 2004 when it hit 1 on two separate occasions the temperatures hit 1 before midnight and never dropped and even rose a bit after that. Once the winds die down the heat from buildings roads etc are not negated by the higher winds carrying their effects away. It's the complete opposite of how it works in the burbs. It's the calm clear nights when we hit our records. Example I was -5 this morning and if the clouds didn't come in I probably would have hit -10. NYC never got below 17 this morning and I'm only 50 miles north of Central Park. They need the clear skies obviously but if winds die down tomorrow night they will not get to 0. Suburban areas I'm sure will see -10 to -15 if not Monday morning than Tuesday morning.

We shall see.
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Post by Abba701 Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:50 pm

I bet tomorrow night it's gets to 2 like midnight then rises.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:56 pm

@Abba701 wrote:I bet tomorrow night it's gets to 2 like midnight then rises.
.

It would not surprise me. What would surprise me is if they get to 0 or below.
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Post by Abba701 Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:57 pm

Highly doubt it.There will Probobky be a big drop but I once winds die down its game over

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Post by Abba701 Sun Feb 15, 2015 12:00 am

It's intersting I was like guessing the forecasted low would go up to like 5 but they seem to be sticking to their lows of 1,2 or 3

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Post by snow247 Sun Feb 15, 2015 12:00 am

Approximately 12:00AM and the winds are starting to pick up.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Feb 15, 2015 12:06 am

Yeah snow a little here too, I think there will be at least sporadic power outages and a sunny day tomorrow.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 15, 2015 1:47 am

so it begins...

Record Cold & Dangerous Wind Chills Sunday-Monday - Page 2 Windspmax720

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 15, 2015 2:06 am

Record Cold & Dangerous Wind Chills Sunday-Monday - Page 2 Temperature720

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 15, 2015 2:07 am

Current Wind chills

Record Cold & Dangerous Wind Chills Sunday-Monday - Page 2 Windchill720

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Post by amugs Sun Feb 15, 2015 8:23 am

CP THIS ONE IS FOR YOU!!


some cold stats for the period...this will be the first time since 1869 that KNYC averaged in the 20's for both January and February after a December averaging over 40...
this cold spell should rival other late season cold spells like in 1914, 1896, 1958, 1979...


Snowy - from Santa Claus is coming to town - said You ain't seen nothing!!

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Post by Yschiff Sun Feb 15, 2015 8:28 am

Why am I only under a windchill advisory why not a warning ?

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