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Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:16 pm

NYC still has plenty time to get in on goods, still believe this comes south and the foreign models are the right ones.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:18 pm

00z GFS 850mb winds have 65kt over the area :O

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 5 V7r1ut

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Post by rb924119 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:19 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:00z GFS 850mb winds have 65kt over the area :O

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 5 V7r1ut

Ground blizzard, anybody? lmao

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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:21 pm

Lee Goldberg sounding more bullish tonight. Now has 3-6 inches for the area with 6-12 eastern L.I.
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Post by rb924119 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:25 pm

GEM anybody?

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:28 pm

00z GGEM EVEN MORE SOUTH THAN 12z!!!

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 5 B9soyNLIcAA2XcR

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:29 pm

SURFACE LOW POPPED OVER DC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Post by rb924119 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:30 pm

Well.....lol guess that answers my question ahahahahaha

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:31 pm

Would like to see precip maps on SV

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:31 pm

This is gonna have to happen much earlier for anyone west or south of the city to get in on the action. Not holding my breath because of the way the past has turned out.
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Post by rb924119 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:31 pm

Probably agrees with the trend of the N.A.M. if you looked at H5 and the jet structure

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:32 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Probably agrees with the trend of the N.A.M. if you looked at H5 and the jet structure

I got rid of the NAM filter. Wasn't allowing me to post pics, haha

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:33 pm

@rb924119 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:00z GFS 850mb winds have 65kt over the area :O

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 5 V7r1ut

Ground blizzard, anybody? lmao

What does that translate to surface? About the 50-60 gfs showing?
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:34 pm

About Jon, yes

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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:34 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:SURFACE LOW POPPED OVER DC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
With the extreme dynamics of this storm and a coastal low in that position, I't just might show a HECS this run! affraid
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:35 pm

CMC cut back on qpf amounts. Heaviest precip is just offshore.

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 5 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f54

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 5 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f57

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 5 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f60

The norlun is very important for NYC. That secondary looks to be way too far east

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Post by rb924119 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:36 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Probably agrees with the trend of the N.A.M. if you looked at H5 and the jet structure

I got rid of the NAM filter. Wasn't allowing me to post pics, haha

Nowwwwww he tells me....... Mad lmao

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:36 pm

LI is in line to get hit the hardest no matter what

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 5 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f63

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:37 pm

I'm assuming the 500 PVA was further east this run, hence the less impressive norlun

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:37 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:CMC cut back on qpf amounts. Heaviest precip is just offshore.

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 5 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f54

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 5 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f57

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 5 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f60

The norlun is very important for NYC. That secondary looks to be way too far east

Good or bad trend for 00z? Its way south great but lower precip? Glad you got it right its JON, not JOHN lol and wow thats one serious windy night/day if it is that strong.
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Post by Math23x7 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:38 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:LI is in line to get hit the hardest no matter what

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 5 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f63

Frank, I remember watching the local weather forecasts on December 24th, 2010 when the snowstorm came back and they said that night 6-12" for NYC and 12"+ for eastern LI. Guess how that turned out?

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Post by RJB8525 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:38 pm

@nutleyblizzard wrote:Lee Goldberg sounding more bullish tonight. Now has 3-6 inches for the area with 6-12 eastern L.I.

He's buying the trend. 5pm he had 1-3 for the area 3-6 east
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:38 pm

I have not seen H5 yet so have no clue

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Post by Joe Snow Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:39 pm

I'll take some more snow on the Island..............
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:39 pm

now we watch for the heavier precip to come west, #westtrend lol
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