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Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

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Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 6 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:41 pm

Heard from someone else H5 opened up on the GGEM. That's surprising.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:41 pm

.5 qpf for nyc .4-.5 for suburbs not too shabby, you still thinking minimum of 20:1 ratios? I can't imagine them being less than that.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:44 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Heard from someone else H5 opened up on the GGEM. That's surprising.

kinda strange can we confirm that? Is that really bad news if its true?
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:46 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Heard from someone else H5 opened up on the GGEM. That's surprising.

kinda strange can we confirm that?  Is that really bad news if its true?

Not really. QPF is still where I would expect it to be. I will say I do not think this will become a Godzilla for NYC Metro. Maybe Long Island. We'll see. I like 3-6/4-8" right now for NNJ/NYC Metro, 2-4/3-6" for CNJ

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Post by rb924119 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:47 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Heard from someone else H5 opened up on the GGEM. That's surprising.

kinda strange can we confirm that?  Is that really bad news if its true?

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015021300/gem_z500_vort_us_10.png
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015021300/gem_z500_vort_us_11.png

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:47 pm

00z UKIE looks like GFS

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 6 GZ_D5_PN_048_0000

Too far north

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:49 pm

@rb924119 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Heard from someone else H5 opened up on the GGEM. That's surprising.

kinda strange can we confirm that?  Is that really bad news if its true?

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015021300/gem_z500_vort_us_10.png
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015021300/gem_z500_vort_us_11.png

Thanks. Trof not as favorably tilted either

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Post by rb924119 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:49 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:00z UKIE looks like GFS

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 6 GZ_D5_PN_048_0000

Too far north

That's a little worrisome.

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Post by jimv45 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:51 pm

I am sticking to not being very excited city 2 to 4 north and east 4 to 6 some 8 possible but will see.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:55 pm

with the wind the snow may just blow up rather than horizontal lol, 6 is fine with me, am think more like 8-10 for nyc if cmc goes .5 qpf, take into consideration other models and I am right with ya and I will take it with a surprise if we go godzilla mode, and stranger things have happened.
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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:56 pm

@rb924119 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:00z UKIE looks like GFS

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 6 GZ_D5_PN_048_0000

Too far north

That's a little worrisome.

I second this. Crap
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Post by jimv45 Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:58 pm

Is there a blog for Tuesday night storm yet?

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:58 pm

@jimv45 wrote:Is there a blog for Tuesday night storm yet?

No, did not want to mix the 2. If the storm threat is still there on Saturday, I will do one

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Post by Artechmetals Thu Feb 12, 2015 11:59 pm

Just getting in , are we back where we were last night or are we continuing making positive trends
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Post by oldtimer Fri Feb 13, 2015 12:00 am

Frank I will be happy with 3 or 4* but all we gained early suddenly is gone

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 13, 2015 12:00 am

@Artechmetals wrote:Just getting in , are we back where we were last night or are we continuing making positive trends

Read blog. Overall, 3-6" for NYC looks like a good call as of now. Winds&Cold remain bigger story as expected

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 13, 2015 12:01 am

@oldtimer wrote:Frank  I will be happy with 3 or 4* but all we gained early suddenly is  gone

You will see at least 6"

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 13, 2015 12:04 am

Huge model runs tomorrow. Will the south models come north where GFS is? Or will the GFS keep trending south?

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Post by oldtimer Fri Feb 13, 2015 12:07 am

Thanks Frank So we still have time for others to get in the mix ?

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 13, 2015 12:09 am

did we all forget about the 00z euro? Isnt that rather important run too.
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 13, 2015 12:10 am

@jmanley32 wrote:did we all forget about the 00z euro?  Isnt that rather important run too.

Why else would I still be awake

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 13, 2015 12:12 am

nws maps do take into consideration ratios, look at snow versus qpf.

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 6 Snow10
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 13, 2015 12:12 am

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 6 Qpf10
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 13, 2015 12:12 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:did we all forget about the 00z euro?  Isnt that rather important run too.

Why else would I still be awake

lol, good pt.
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Post by oldtimer Fri Feb 13, 2015 12:13 am

What do you look for in the Euro that we really need ??

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