NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

+35
jjlane25
Dtone
H.G. Rising
mako460
hyde345
Yschiff
lglickman1
SNOW MAN
algae888
docstox12
Joe Snow
NjWeatherGuy
aiannone
oldtimer
sroc4
dsvinos
nutleyblizzard
SoulSingMG
jimv45
Math23x7
amugs
Sunflowers138
weatherwatchermom
Artechmetals
essexcountypete
CPcantmeasuresnow
HEATMISER
skinsfan1177
jmanley32
RJB8525
Biggin23
Vinnydula
rb924119
snow247
Frank_Wx
39 posters

Page 16 of 19 Previous  1 ... 9 ... 15, 16, 17, 18, 19  Next

Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by amugs Fri Feb 13, 2015 2:36 pm

SREFSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!! Westward hoooooooooooo!!

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 6fcc5db9faf658c6be4b758af3778de9

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12437
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by H.G. Rising Fri Feb 13, 2015 2:41 pm

Wow. Beantown better hope that doesn't move any more west!
H.G. Rising
H.G. Rising

Posts : 19
Reputation : 1
Join date : 2013-02-11
Location : Summit, NJ

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Feb 13, 2015 2:47 pm

Joe Cioffi has me in the 3-6 range I'll sign that right now
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Feb 13, 2015 2:47 pm

@amugs wrote:SREFSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!! Westward hoooooooooooo!!

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 6fcc5db9faf658c6be4b758af3778de9

At least getting interesting again.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by SoulSingMG Fri Feb 13, 2015 2:47 pm

Something feels eerily off to me. Like this storm will pan out much worse than people will expect here. Even just the winds alone. Steve D. still very concerned about the inverted trough possibly setting up over NYC metro.
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2787
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by amugs Fri Feb 13, 2015 2:48 pm

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/COMPRAD4_12z/rloop.html

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12437
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by amugs Fri Feb 13, 2015 2:50 pm

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Sref_namer_039_500_vort_ht

Nice push South

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12437
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 13, 2015 2:53 pm

Sorry, was in a meeting that went longer than expected.

EURO looks great.

So do SREFS

So does RGEM

Use hi-resolution models to forecast precip, not the globals...

Gotta go. Will be back later tonight. How about a short chat? 9-10pm?

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20074
Reputation : 313
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by snow247 Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:09 pm

Sounds good to me Frank, I will be there.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:10 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:Something feels eerily off to me. Like this storm will pan out much worse than people will expect here. Even just the winds alone. Steve D. still very concerned about the inverted trough possibly setting up over NYC metro.

We can only hope. Whoever gets the trough over them, if anyone in our area, gets the gold medal.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by nutleyblizzard Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:11 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:Something feels eerily off to me. Like this storm will pan out much worse than people will expect here. Even just the winds alone. Steve D. still very concerned about the inverted trough possibly setting up over NYC metro.
I feel the same. I think the global models are having a tough time picking up the "nuances" of this dynamic storm. I won't be surprised if the high resolution models start to pick up on this tonight, thus we would see an uptick with qpf. HIGH BUST POTENTIAL!!!!!!
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1732
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 55
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by amugs Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:31 pm

Frank on his game baby - love it and we are chatting it up at 9! Hope you did not have to many M&M's in that meeting.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12437
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Guest Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:44 pm

I'm pumped for snow. Hope we ALL get a solid plowable snow. We deserve it!! Still I need an answer to this.....

How can it be 24 hours till the start of the event and ALL the local media are still saying 1-3" with 3 to 6" MAX over eastern LI and CT. Plus NWS hasn't budged an inch! I 100% trust Frank's forecast, but how the hell can there be such a disparity. It doesn't add up! Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:47 pm

Syo I don't know for sure maybe from past storm they are hesitant until last second or maybe high bust potential again
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by HEATMISER Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:47 pm

Winter storm watch / warning issued Suffolk county Long Island.. Yeah baby!!

HEATMISER

Posts : 62
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-11-22

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by sroc4 Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:50 pm

Current observations show this system getting its act together as it is just north of the western GL.  

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Pmsl

Now look at the water vapro (WV) and pay particular notice to the area diving in from NW to SE over Minnesota into western Wisconsin.  Notice the area is getting darker as the loop progresses.  This  sinking air...strong at that.  Now notice the LP center in the map I posted above.  That is the center of the rising air to balance the sinking air to its SW.  That is the counter balance.  The stronger the sinking air on the WV satellite the stronger our system is.  My point....current observations indicate a very robust and currently strengthening system; all things we want.  
Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Wv-animated

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6973
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by nutleyblizzard Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:51 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I'm pumped for snow.  Hope we ALL get a solid plowable snow.  We deserve it!!  Still I need an answer to this.....

How can it be 24 hours till the start of the event and ALL the local media are still saying 1-3" with 3 to 6" MAX over eastern LI and CT.  Plus NWS hasn't budged an inch!  I 100% trust Frank's forecast, but how the hell can there be such a disparity.  It doesn't add up! Rolling Eyes  Rolling Eyes
The local media outlets base their forecast on the global models. Preferably the GFS. don't think the globals are handling this storm right. Like Frank said, from here on out follow the high resolution models like the RGEM and look at radars for trends.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1732
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 55
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by sroc4 Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:51 pm

@HEATMISER wrote:Winter storm watch / warning issued Suffolk county Long Island.. Yeah baby!!

Told ya.  I was 50 mins late for the watch and 12 hrs early on he warring...giddy up folks
http://www.weather.gov/okx/

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Okx


Last edited by sroc4 on Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:52 pm; edited 1 time in total

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6973
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Dtone Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:51 pm

Winter weather advisory for NYC, LHV, NE NJ and western LI for 3-7" snow with blizzard conditions at times according to NWS.

Dtone
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1738
Reputation : 9
Join date : 2013-08-26
Location : Bronx, NY

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by sroc4 Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:53 pm

New totals for upton
Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 StormTotalSnowFcst

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6973
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by jjlane25 Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:54 pm

Is there a start time for this?

jjlane25

Posts : 5
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-01-06

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by HEATMISER Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:54 pm

You were right on Sroc.. Thanks.. Now lets hope this things roars and we get more then forcasted..

HEATMISER

Posts : 62
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-11-22

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by jimv45 Fri Feb 13, 2015 3:55 pm

that's what i have 4-6 with an 8 in that zone less 2-4 city south

jimv45
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1142
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2013-09-20
Location : Ulster county ny

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Dunnzoo Fri Feb 13, 2015 4:07 pm

@jjlane25 wrote:Is there a start time for this?

Not sure where you live, but looks to be Saturday afternoon with light snow and ramping up overnight into Sunday

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4404
Reputation : 67
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 59
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by sroc4 Fri Feb 13, 2015 4:11 pm

That is a very tight cluster of LP over Del on the EPS. Hi
[img]Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Eps_sl18[/img]

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6973
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map - Page 16 Empty Re: Update#2: BLOG + 1st Call Snow Map

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 16 of 19 Previous  1 ... 9 ... 15, 16, 17, 18, 19  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum