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FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)

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Post by hyde345 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:12 pm

@snow247 wrote:North of NYC gets the screw zone on the latest HRRR.

What does it show?
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Post by Biggin23 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:13 pm

HRRR looks good for coastal NJ

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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:13 pm

Wow. Honestly all guidance now pointing at NYC as an inverted trough bullseye
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Post by snow247 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:15 pm

@hyde345 wrote:
@snow247 wrote:North of NYC gets the screw zone on the latest HRRR.

What does it show?

Only 1"-3" I think, EURO shows the same. Heavier snow sets up well south of here.
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Post by Biggin23 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:18 pm

Monmouth/Ocean County in NJ look to do good right now. Frank your yellow bracketed area looks like the trough may set up there!

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Post by RJB8525 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:19 pm

Frank believes 3-6 city depending on bands on his map
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Post by algae888 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:19 pm

I'm hearing the rap has. 5 liquid equivalent to New York City also like most of the model runs today however I'm very concerned with the RGEM. has a lot of the precipitation over central New Jersey and very dry for New York City Metro also hearing the euro is south with the inverted trough any truth to that.
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Post by algae888 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:20 pm

also no snow yet but like the look of the radar
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:21 pm

Can someone post QPF for Cnj I think I'm in for a surprise here
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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:24 pm

What is going on, I just posted like 4 updates. Scroll thru thread if you have questions! Lol
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:29 pm

I was looking for maps . I thought we don't use models its a nowcast
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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:31 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:I was looking for maps . I thought we don't use models its a nowcast

We stray from the big globals a bit but HRRR, RAP, combined with new guidance from other models certainly play into 'nowcasting' -- this is a VERY dynamic system & setup
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Post by Biggin23 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:37 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:I was looking for maps . I thought we don't use models its a nowcast

Skins if it stays as is you may end up towards the high end of Franks Projections in your area.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:38 pm

Thanks soul was just excited hearing Cnj coast getting the goods
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Post by Biggin23 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:41 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:Thanks soul was just excited hearing Cnj coast getting the goods

Your are in the sweet spot for the RAP and the recent Euro right now. Radar looks good as well so I would think you should do well!!

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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:44 pm

My starting snowpack

FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions) - Page 5 10403010

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by HEATMISER Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:49 pm

What's the latest on the storm for Long Island guys

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Post by Biggin23 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:49 pm

@HEATMISER wrote:What's the latest on the storm for Long Island guys

Still the best area to be!

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Post by billg315 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:51 pm

Light snow and 27* here. Too light (and too much solar radiation through the clouds) to stick yet.
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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:52 pm

HRRR now has more snow in NYC than Boston. Wtf?!
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Post by snow247 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:53 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:HRRR now has more snow in NYC than Boston. Wtf?!

Can you post it?
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Post by snow247 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:55 pm

Snow picking up a bit here and my temp. appears to be slowly dropping now.
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Post by billg315 Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:55 pm

Looking at the radar looks like a long snow squall line setting up from upstate NY through western PA and into Ohio. Looks like a summer t-storm line.
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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Feb 14, 2015 1:59 pm

@snow247 wrote:
@SoulSingMG wrote:HRRR now has more snow in NYC than Boston. Wtf?!

Can you post it?

I cannot, I'm on my phone. I'm surprised Frank hasn't come on here screaming by now lol
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 14, 2015 2:02 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:HRRR now has more snow in NYC than Boston. Wtf?!

What a kick in the ass to TWC that would be.
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