FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
Still snowing!!!
http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/OP/12/snosums/0024/GFS_12_opUS_SF_0024.png
http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/OP/12/snosums/0024/GFS_12_opUS_SF_0024.png
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
And that's based on 10:1!!!!
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
That's hilarious.
toople- Posts : 67
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
rb924119 wrote:Still snowing!!!
http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/OP/12/snosums/0024/GFS_12_opUS_SF_0024.png
Nice, just a tad bit too far north for most.
What's 4"-8" with ratios included?
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
snow247 wrote:rb924119 wrote:Still snowing!!!
http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/OP/12/snosums/0024/GFS_12_opUS_SF_0024.png
Nice, just a tad bit too far north for most.
What's 4"-8" with ratios included?
Multiply those numbers by 1.25 for ac conservative estimate, and 1.5 for a slightly more bullish one. So, 4-8 x 1.25= 5-10", and 4-8 x 1.5= 6-12"
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
rb924119 wrote:snow247 wrote:rb924119 wrote:Still snowing!!!
http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/OP/12/snosums/0024/GFS_12_opUS_SF_0024.png
Nice, just a tad bit too far north for most.
What's 4"-8" with ratios included?
Multiply those numbers by 1.25 for ac conservative estimate, and 1.5 for a slightly more bullish one. So, 4-8 x 1.25= 5-10", and 4-8 x 1.5= 6-12"
If only, it would exceed my expectations X 2.5
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
This is going to be a great storm to track tonight. I'll be back then. Going to go visit my nonni and give them their V-Day cards. Ciao for now.
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
And the only change I would make to my snow map is make the purple area outside of the yellow box 1-3" instead of 2-4"
Other then that, I still like it.
Other then that, I still like it.
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
I've had this ratio chart saved in my favorites, not sure how reliable it is though.
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/tables/snowfall-meltwater.html
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/tables/snowfall-meltwater.html
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
yea docs the guy down the street know my routine storm coming i will be there but tonight i will be not able to keep that routine i will be going to the Culinary Institute of America for Valentine's dinner so i will be mixing it up there!
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
jimv45 wrote:I don't look at the trough the models show to hard to tell were that bad boy will go!
I have a feeling we are going to be north of inverted trough unfortuntely. I see us getting 2-3 inches, 4 at most. Just not alot of QPF with this system in our area.
hyde345- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
NWS has a general 3-5" in their advisory so Frank and NWS are almost on the same page. i expect some lower totals in my area though, thats how it usually goes in the city
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
hyde did you see the latest GFS 4-8 without ratios!!! like
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
RJB8525 wrote:NWS has a general 3-5" in their advisory so Frank and NWS are almost on the same page. i expect some lower totals in my area though, thats how it usually goes in the city
As always differentiate what you actually measure than the official, what a comical term, measurement from the zoo.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
jimv45 wrote:hyde did you see the latest GFS 4-8 without ratios!!! like
No, that was before the latest GFS. LOL. I don't know what to think now. Everthing depends on where that trough sets up. Other guidance has it further south. It will make a huge difference in totals.
hyde345- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
qpf way up on latest gfs fwiw, and west, still just east of city its like there is a wall there lol.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
Step AWAY from the global models.....it is NOWCAST time...need to follow current conditions and observe.....
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
the trough we will be the only reason for our snow we will be in the steadier snow more then south but will see!
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
sorry for mix up on words started mixing this morning just a little! Hyde have you ever been to the Culinary Institute? going tonight can't wait.
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
Very light snow now. Temps holding at 20*
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
jimv45 wrote:sorry for mix up on words started mixing this morning just a little! Hyde have you ever been to the Culinary Institute? going tonight can't wait.
Jim, been there will answer in banter
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
Flurries before.
30.2 in northern nassau.
Expecting the unexpected
30.2 in northern nassau.
Expecting the unexpected
Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
31* dark cloudy sky slight breeze to start the day at 10 mph
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
At 34* Hate the SW wind at 15 I will probably get some mixing or it won"t stick for awhile before it really gets going ugh
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
I figured why not:
http://204.2.104.196/gfs/WINTER_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_72HR.gif
http://204.2.104.196/gfs/WINTER_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_72HR.gif
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
Atmopshere is beginning to deliver. Reports of more snow showers breaking out.
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Re: FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)
Snowing light in Shelton CT I'm here for the weekend 27 out and feels nice lol
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