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FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions)

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Post by toople Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:40 am

That's hilarious. Very Happy

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Post by snow247 Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:42 am

@rb924119 wrote:Still snowing!!!

http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/OP/12/snosums/0024/GFS_12_opUS_SF_0024.png

Nice, just a tad bit too far north for most.

What's 4"-8" with ratios included?
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Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:43 am

@snow247 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Still snowing!!!

http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/OP/12/snosums/0024/GFS_12_opUS_SF_0024.png

Nice, just a tad bit too far north for most.

What's 4"-8" with ratios included?

Multiply those numbers by 1.25 for ac conservative estimate, and 1.5 for a slightly more bullish one. So, 4-8 x 1.25= 5-10", and 4-8 x 1.5= 6-12"

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:46 am

@rb924119 wrote:
@snow247 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Still snowing!!!

http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/OP/12/snosums/0024/GFS_12_opUS_SF_0024.png

Nice, just a tad bit too far north for most.

What's 4"-8" with ratios included?

Multiply those numbers by 1.25 for ac conservative estimate, and 1.5 for a slightly more bullish one. So, 4-8 x 1.25= 5-10", and 4-8 x 1.5= 6-12"

If only, it would exceed my expectations X 2.5
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:46 am

This is going to be a great storm to track tonight. I'll be back then. Going to go visit my nonni and give them their V-Day cards. Ciao for now.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:48 am

And the only change I would make to my snow map is make the purple area outside of the yellow box 1-3" instead of 2-4"

FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions) - Page 3 10959485_888108771240883_3223251096386792488_n

Other then that, I still like it.

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Post by snow247 Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:49 am

I've had this ratio chart saved in my favorites, not sure how reliable it is though.

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/tables/snowfall-meltwater.html
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Post by jimv45 Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:50 am

yea docs the guy down the street know my routine storm coming i will be there but tonight i will be not able to keep that routine i will be going to the Culinary Institute of America for Valentine's dinner so i will be mixing it up there!

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Post by hyde345 Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:57 am

@jimv45 wrote:I don't look at the trough the models show to hard to tell were that bad boy will go!

I have a feeling we are going to be north of inverted trough unfortuntely. I see us getting 2-3 inches, 4 at most. Just not alot of QPF with this system in our area.
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Post by RJB8525 Sat Feb 14, 2015 10:59 am

NWS has a general 3-5" in their advisory so Frank and NWS are almost on the same page. i expect some lower totals in my area though, thats how it usually goes in the city
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Post by jimv45 Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:02 am

hyde did you see the latest GFS 4-8 without ratios!!! like

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:04 am

@RJB8525 wrote:NWS has a general 3-5" in their advisory so Frank and NWS are almost on the same page. i expect some lower totals in my area though, thats how it usually goes in the city

As always differentiate what you actually measure than the official, what a comical term, measurement from the zoo.
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Post by hyde345 Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:08 am

@jimv45 wrote:hyde did you see the latest GFS 4-8 without ratios!!! like

No, that was before the latest GFS. LOL. I don't know what to think now. Everthing depends on where that trough sets up. Other guidance has it further south. It will make a huge difference in totals.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:08 am

qpf way up on latest gfs fwiw, and west, still just east of city its like there is a wall there lol.
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:12 am

Step AWAY from the global models.....it is NOWCAST time...need to follow current conditions and observe.....

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Post by jimv45 Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:14 am

the trough we will be the only reason for our snow we will be in the steadier snow more then south but will see!

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Post by jimv45 Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:16 am

sorry for mix up on words started mixing this morning just a little! Hyde have you ever been to the Culinary Institute? going tonight can't wait.

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Post by amugs Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:19 am

Very light snow now. Temps holding at 20*

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:20 am

@jimv45 wrote:sorry for mix up on words started mixing this morning just a little! Hyde have you ever been to the Culinary Institute? going tonight can't wait.

Jim, been there will answer in banter
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Post by psv88 Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:21 am

Flurries before.

30.2 in northern nassau.

Expecting the unexpected

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Post by RJB8525 Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:27 am

31* dark cloudy sky slight breeze to start the day at 10 mph
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Post by oldtimer Sat Feb 14, 2015 11:49 am

At 34* Hate the SW wind at 15 I will probably get some mixing or it won"t stick for awhile before it really gets going ugh

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Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 14, 2015 12:05 pm

I figured why not:

http://204.2.104.196/gfs/WINTER_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_72HR.gif

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 14, 2015 12:14 pm

Atmopshere is beginning to deliver. Reports of more snow showers breaking out.

FEB 14th-15th Storm Thread (Observations and Discussions) - Page 3 Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by Vinnydula Sat Feb 14, 2015 12:15 pm

Snowing light in Shelton CT I'm here for the weekend 27 out and feels nice lol
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