Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
GFS wasn't that bad, still shows 3-6" for basically the whole area with Jersey Shore and LI closer to the 6" amounts
Sanchize06- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Not looking at GFS right now but if the other models start trending east then i start to say bring on spring because were running out of time with this great cold air for all snow.
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
according to TWC, significant storm for NY up to boston all snow according to Nizol at this point
what does this really mean? the TWC kiss of death
what does this really mean? the TWC kiss of death
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
jimv45 wrote:Not looking at GFS right now but if the other models start trending east then i start to say bring on spring because were running out of time with this great cold air for all snow.
Geez Jim, bring on spring on February 15th?? I'm not exactly up today and optomistic but that's an over reaction. Go have some coffee, or get some sleep and let's rethink that.
In the HV snowstorm season isn't over till the second week in April and in some years not even then.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
I think it continues to tick north each run. Probably won't see any major shifts, but another 75 to 100 miles north and/or west would bring up some decent precip!
Biggin23- Posts : 259
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Sanchize06 wrote:GFS wasn't that bad, still shows 3-6" for basically the whole area with Jersey Shore and LI closer to the 6" amounts
snow output is nowhere near that much we barely get scraped,
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Your right it's like 2-5 west to east ...loljmanley32 wrote:Sanchize06 wrote:GFS wasn't that bad, still shows 3-6" for basically the whole area with Jersey Shore and LI closer to the 6" amounts
snow output is nowhere near that much we barely get scraped,
Maybe NW to SE
Last edited by Quietace on Sun Feb 15, 2015 11:16 am; edited 1 time in total
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Not seeing what you guys are talking about.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Look at this http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015021512&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=063
Yschiff- Posts : 139
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Yschiff wrote:Look at this http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015021512&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=063
ok well this must be a cold storm as thats with ratios, so its a high ratio storm then, thats good news.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Exactly 2-5 NW to SE? With solid temps and VV you'll get decent ratios?jmanley32 wrote:Not seeing what you guys are talking about.
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Quietace wrote:Exactly 2-5 NW to SE? With solid temps and VV you'll get decent ratios?jmanley32 wrote:Not seeing what you guys are talking about.
I knew I wasn't going crazy lol. It's a decent snowfall and considering it's still south of the UKMET/EURO I think it puts us in pretty good shape
Sanchize06- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Look at the size of the weekend storm in southeast Canada. 50/50 lows are good, but thats more like a cyclone. It's keeping heights along the east coast too flat so only DC and SNJ get into the brunt of the action.
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
12z rgem:
Big hit for southern areas. We get scraped.
Big hit for southern areas. We get scraped.
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
As of now this looks primarily like a Mid Atlantic threat. Whatever snow we do see though should be high ratio, probably 15:1.
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
cp not this year! if this storm misses us mark my word the next 2 weeks and then we start coming out of this yes we can get a storm up here in March and even April but you must be dreaming if you think theses storms are just going to all of a sudden start hitting the only storms that we get are from the west not up the coast!!! and we know what that means as we get later in season will see!
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
12z Cmc
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
No chance for kicking more N Frank?
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
A couple of days ago everyone was saying this was the best shot we have for snow with a Miller A storm. Now everyone is backtracking. What the hell is going on with this models this year?
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
What type of QPF are we looking at from RGEM?Frank_Wx wrote:12z rgem:
Big hit for southern areas. We get scraped.
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Funny. The weekend storm screws NYC and it may also indirectly screw us with the Tuesday setup.
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Quietace wrote:What type of QPF are we looking at from RGEM?Frank_Wx wrote:12z rgem:
Big hit for southern areas. We get scraped.
Here was the snowmap
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
That's not to bad for most. Solid light to moderate eventFrank_Wx wrote:Quietace wrote:What type of QPF are we looking at from RGEM?Frank_Wx wrote:12z rgem:
Big hit for southern areas. We get scraped.
Here was the snowmap
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
12Z Summary: Tue (AM-PM) 2/17
QPF NYC region
SREF: 0.25 - 0.50 (West to East)
NAM: 020 - 0.50 (west to east)
GFS: 0.15 - 0.40 (west to east)
GGEM: 0.10 - 0.30
QPF NYC region
SREF: 0.25 - 0.50 (West to East)
NAM: 020 - 0.50 (west to east)
GFS: 0.15 - 0.40 (west to east)
GGEM: 0.10 - 0.30
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
docstox12 wrote:The models suggest but I will look at the radar when the storm hits.Last night's radar at 9PM told the tale.The low formed off DC and went almost due east.Saw the precip moving that way and knew we were in trouble.The steering winds took it E-SE and then sharply up North so Jim Cantore could do his thundersnow dance,LOL!
i watched the Cantore video and loved it. Lets face it we are ALL jealous! He's living the dream. He gets to be in the heaviest snows and tracks the weather and gets paid for it. I love the guy. Oh and by the way TWC has been pretty accurate as much as it pains a lot of us to hear.
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
syosnow94 wrote:docstox12 wrote:The models suggest but I will look at the radar when the storm hits.Last night's radar at 9PM told the tale.The low formed off DC and went almost due east.Saw the precip moving that way and knew we were in trouble.The steering winds took it E-SE and then sharply up North so Jim Cantore could do his thundersnow dance,LOL!
i watched the Cantore video and loved it. Lets face it we are ALL jealous! He's living the dream. He gets to be in the heaviest snows and tracks the weather and gets paid for it. I love the guy. Oh and by the way TWC has been pretty accurate as much as it pains a lot of us to hear.
Agree. I would pay to be in Boston now just to see what it's like. As a winter weather enthusiast, you have to find it somewhat fascinating.
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Frank_Wx wrote:12Z Summary: Tue (AM-PM) 2/17
QPF NYC region
SREF: 0.25 - 0.50 (West to East)
NAM: 020 - 0.50 (west to east)
GFS: 0.15 - 0.40 (west to east)
GGEM: 0.10 - 0.30
Looks pretty good, with ratios seems like a solid 3-6" for most and we haven't seen the UKIE/EURO at 12z yet and they were the most north models.
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