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February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations

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Post by oldtimer Mon Feb 16, 2015 11:51 am

Ace That map looks great But from that point the movement would be basically E?

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 16, 2015 11:56 am

@Quietace wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:Ace I'm going with 6-8 I know that may seem bullish but that's my opinion. I think we will see heavier bands along the coast
Yeah that's very bullish, I think you'll have to go down to cape may to see those numbers.I hope you end up right but well see haha...

Well Mt. Holly has US in their 4-8 forecast I'll take the middle 6 lol
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:28 pm

My final call 😢

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 4 Final_11
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Post by RJB8525 Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:31 pm

I tweeted Jeff Smith in his opinion Staten Island can see 3-6, bill Evans on his future cast snow fall amount at 4 in the city so seems to be all adding up
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:33 pm

What or when are short range model runs
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Post by oldtimer Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:50 pm

Can I get a Upton snowfall map?

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:51 pm

I have seen any guidance or QPF on today model runs does anyone know
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:57 pm

Euro caves to the GFS.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:01 pm

What was the gfs
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:02 pm

Shouldn't we be watching short range models anyway
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Post by oldtimer Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:03 pm

Good or bad or the same?

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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:05 pm

February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 4 Temp10
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:07 pm

Short range is what we should be watching not sure when they run
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:09 pm

12z EURO still shows some snow for us Wednesday into Thursday, doesn't look as impressive as 00z though.
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Post by jimv45 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:10 pm

this is not going to be a big deal really for most people  and i think it goes even more south lets move on!

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Post by algae888 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:24 pm

if you live north of the Tappan Zee Bridge or west of 287 in Jersey this isn't the storm for you but anywhere from New York City South and east 3 to 6 inches still is a good bet. with three in New York City and 6 toward central New Jersey and parts of Long Island best thing to do today is follow the radar and see if it matches up with what models are showing. the Euro looks like it wants to throw back a little moisture after 12Z tomorrow morning. also ukie is about .3"qpf
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Post by algae888 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:25 pm

also ratios are going to be very high and whatever falls is going to stick so we should maximize whatever liquid equivalent Falls
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Post by jimv45 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:26 pm

i think this will be a bust even there hope not!

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Post by Quietace Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:26 pm

@snow247 wrote:February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 4 Temp10
February 17th Storm: 1st Call Snow Map and Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf_11

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Post by algae888 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:27 pm

Gefs are way better .25 liquid equivalent into the area New York City


Last edited by algae888 on Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:28 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Quietace Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:28 pm

@algae888 wrote:Gefs are way better than the operational gfs Greenspoint 25 liquid equivalent into the area New York City
Low Resolution mean....ehhh dont give much credit...NYC will be 1-3

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Post by algae888 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:34 pm

Ace anyone who gets .3 liquid equivalent is going to get 4 to 6 inches of snow
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:40 pm

@algae888 wrote:if  you live north of the Tappan Zee Bridge or west of 287 in Jersey this isn't the storm for you

lol, I live like 5 miles north of the TZB.
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Post by Quietace Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:43 pm

@algae888 wrote:Ace anyone who gets .3 liquid equivalent is going to get 4 to 6 inches of snow
If you believe they'll get that much

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Post by algae888 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:53 pm

@Quietace wrote:
@algae888 wrote:Ace anyone who gets .3 liquid equivalent is going to get 4 to 6 inches of snow
If you believe they'll get that much
ace I believe you will get that. I think nyc .2 orange rockland counties.1. so 1 to 6" from nw to se imo
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