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Official Long Range Thread 6.0

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Biggin23
Math23x7
SoulSingMG
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jmanley32
SNOW MAN
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:30 am

Wow at hour 144!
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:32 am

Major differences on the 00z EURO compared to 12z for the late weekend/early week storm it seems.
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:33 am

This thing better not cut.
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:40 am

Low goes through northern NY on this run and gives us a rainstorm. Completely different from 12z where the low goes off the coast south of NJ giving us a snowstorm. Thankfully, it's a week away.
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Post by docstox12 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:42 am

Wow, snow, that narrows things down! Would be our luck to have Tuesdays cut way south and next weekend a GLC with a 2 or 3 inch rainstorm,LOL.
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:46 am

@docstox12 wrote:Wow, snow, that narrows things down! Would be our luck to have Tuesdays cut way south and next weekend a GLC with a 2 or 3 inch rainstorm,LOL.

That would ultimately suck.

I am extremely happy to inform you that through the entire 00z Euro run there is an amazing mini screw zone circle right over Boston on the snowfall map!
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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:58 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:00z GFS now even further off the coast with the Sunday storm. Pretty sure this is a dead threat given the way H5 looks. Not going to rule out some rain though, especially for LI.

By the time the mid level energy reaches the coast, the frontal boundary stalled off our coast is too far east.

Official Long Range Thread 6.0 - Page 5 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f69

Main storm will be between 22nd-25th. Will have a blog up this weekend.

Night everyone! Better luck next storm :-D
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 11:19 am

Storm forming in the south at hour 96 on the 12 GFS, let's see where it goes.
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 11:21 am

Looks better than 6z at hour 102 I believe.
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 11:24 am

Looking good at hour 108.
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 11:35 am

Storm looks much further south at hour 126, not sure what it will do.

Looks like some snow on Saturday.
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 11:39 am

Looks like we may lose the Sunday storm on this GFS run, but there's still something trying to form at hour 144.
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 11:46 am

Storm in the Mid Atlantic at hour 168.
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 11:50 am

Anddddd it just fizzles out south of us. Looks like a March 2014 pattern incoming.

I give up on this winter. Give me a warm and dry spring/summer/first half of fall please. Can't wait.


Last edited by snow247 on Mon Feb 16, 2015 11:55 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jimv45 Mon Feb 16, 2015 11:53 am

yea snow got cold and now storms are missing then when the storms do hit the cold will be gone its depressing.

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Post by lglickman1 Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:13 pm

so is there anything to look forward to or is it looking like we are winding down for the winter?

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Post by jimv45 Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:29 pm

lg anything can happen but my positive outlook is going down big time!!!

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Post by Math23x7 Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:33 pm

On the 12Z GFS, Central Park in NYC gets no higher than 32 degrees through at least hr 240...

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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:24 pm

Storm getting started down south at hour 108 on the EURO. Looks similar to the GFS.
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:26 pm

Euro might show something for the late weekend storm.
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Post by rb924119 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:27 pm

Great. FWIW next weekend is looking like a washout on the 12z EURO lol

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Post by jimv45 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:28 pm

yea rb that is what i was fearing but its coming true if EURO is right!

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Post by rb924119 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:28 pm

Looks like a carbon-copy of the Feb. 2nd event -_-

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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:28 pm

Hour 126 light snow overspreads the area.
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Post by rb924119 Mon Feb 16, 2015 1:29 pm

Except there is no transfer this time around.

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