NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

+33
weatherwatchermom
SNOW MAN
ClimateControl
Analog96
HeresL
snemiroff
Dunnzoo
Vinnydula
1190ftalt
carvin1079
SoulSingMG
aiannone
cooladi
NjWeatherGuy
algae888
amugs
skinsfan1177
sroc4
snowday111
jmanley32
essexcountypete
Biggin23
Taffy
Quietace
Dtone
2004blackwrx
snow247
billg315
docstox12
CPcantmeasuresnow
Math23x7
Abba701
Frank_Wx
37 posters

Page 5 of 8 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next

Go down

Will CPK get below 0 Thursday night?

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Vote_lcap44%Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Vote_rcap 44% 
[ 28 ]
Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Vote_lcap56%Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Vote_rcap 56% 
[ 36 ]
 
Total Votes : 64
 

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Abba701 February 19th 2015, 2:06 pm

CP think the record of 7 gets broken tomorrow.I wouldn't lock it in.Would you?

Abba701

Posts : 322
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-01-14

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Guest February 19th 2015, 2:08 pm

NYC Central Park gets down to 1 tonight while all suburban areas get below 0. NO WINS!!!! Laughing Laughing Laughing Laughing

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Abba701 February 19th 2015, 2:15 pm

It's not getting down to 1.Maybe 4

Abba701

Posts : 322
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-01-14

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow February 19th 2015, 2:33 pm

@Abba701 wrote:CP think the record of 7 gets broken tomorrow.I wouldn't lock it in.Would you?

Abba. Even though I campaigned for NO as stated I'm rooting for YES. I don't think they'll hit 0 but I think breaking the 7 seems very likely.

As I've stated before regarding NYC and cold temperatures you need the obvious Snow cover, clear sky's and some wind at least 10 mph preferably a little higher to carry some of the heat island effect off the island and our to sea. That is where the city differs from the suburbs and rural areas.

I think we have all 3 of those ingredients so the next thing of course is the air mass cold enough. The fact that the airmass has sunk so far south works against NYC. The winds will be more west than northwest and will slightly modify. Our best route for our coldest air masses is right down from central Ontario where the boundary barely makes it to the Carolina's.

The key period will be similar to several days ago, does the temperature level off after 10 pm. It hit 4 last time and stayed there for virtually 10 hours briefly hitting 3 at one point. The same thing happened in 2004 both times it hit 1. I'd also like to see how quickly it starts dropping a couple hours before sunset. I did notice a drop from 21 to 19 the last hour so between 3 and 7 they would need to drop to single digits to have an outside shot at 0.

I would say they bottom out at 4 so yes I believe the record will be broken but no 0, not happening.

Hope I'm wrong.

Your thoughts?
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by docstox12 February 19th 2015, 2:38 pm

There appears to be cloud cover and that would hamper the attempt below zero in NYC, but I think they break the 7 degree record easily.Still going with my gut it goes below zero there tonight or tomorrow night.

Looks like Id get good odds from the look of the yes/no board right now, maybe 5 or 6 to 1.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7254
Reputation : 215
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Analog96 February 19th 2015, 3:28 pm

Yeah Central Park is a lock to break the record low.

Analog96
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 156
Reputation : 1
Join date : 2014-03-12
Location : Elizabeth, NJ

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by amugs February 19th 2015, 4:08 pm

I concur CP unless the Zookeeper is taking the temperature ??

Going to be mighty cold tomorrow morning. We have another artic blast coming in next week after the storm- do not know yet if it will rival this one but ............

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12434
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by skinsfan1177 February 19th 2015, 4:11 pm

Is their still a chance of light snow tonight I thought tonight had a better chance.
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by skinsfan1177 February 19th 2015, 4:14 pm

I thought I share this it should probably be in the banter but it does have to do with the cold so anyway our boss at work is having us start at 7am instead of 6am tomorrow due to the cold and immediately I laughed to myself and said an hour difference isn't going to make any difference at all I was then told by the supervisor well its because the Sun will be up and I said so its still going to be ridicoulsy cold lol
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by ClimateControl February 19th 2015, 4:20 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:I thought I share this it should probably be in the banter but it does have to do with the cold so anyway our boss at work is having us start at 7am instead of 6am tomorrow due to the cold and immediately I laughed to myself and said an hour difference isn't going to make any difference at all I was then told by the supervisor well its because the Sun will be up and I said so its still going to be ridicoulsy cold lol

Sunrise is at 6:50 AM tomorrow in Newark, NJ
ClimateControl
ClimateControl

Posts : 29
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-01-02
Location : Brick, NJ (4 blocks west of Barnegat Bay)

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Dtone February 19th 2015, 6:03 pm

I think CPK gets down something between 2 - 5*. Places like Roanoke, VA to definetly parts of KY will be below zero but not within nyc limits here.

Dtone
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1738
Reputation : 9
Join date : 2013-08-26
Location : Bronx, NY

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow February 19th 2015, 6:08 pm

It's more likely it drops a degree from 6am to 7am then rises by 7am. Either way you wouldn't notoce the difference.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow February 19th 2015, 6:12 pm

After an early 11-4 lead, YES fades down the stretch to a 36-28 defeat to NO.

Outscored 32-17 in crunch time, it was a very lackluster, poor performance by YES. Heads will roll.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Dtone February 19th 2015, 6:19 pm

lol Its not over yet, No is the heavy favorite but you don't play the game on paper.

rec low 7* is going down and Friday night may break a record too.
This is a cold Feb.

Dtone
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1738
Reputation : 9
Join date : 2013-08-26
Location : Bronx, NY

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow February 19th 2015, 7:09 pm

The outer boroughs have spoken and this one is now over barely before it started. 15 degrees at 7PM in CPK.

That's not what they needed to get to 0.

The models never factor in the heat Island effect of the big cities, especially a city like NYC.

Hope I'm wrong, but I don't think I am.


Last edited by CPcantmeasuresnow on February 20th 2015, 3:44 am; edited 1 time in total
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Vinnydula February 19th 2015, 7:11 pm

12 here in LGA
Vinnydula
Vinnydula
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 772
Reputation : 8
Join date : 2013-12-12
Location : Dobbs ferry

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Frank_Wx February 19th 2015, 7:12 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:The outer boroughs have spoken and this one is now over barely before it started. 15 degrees at 7PM in CPK. That's not what they needed to get to 0, that's now out of reach.

I put the chances of them breaking the record at 50-50, I'm thinking more like 8 will be the bottom.

The models never factor in the heat Island effect of the big cities, especially a city like NYC.

Hope I'm wrong, but I don't think I am.

Tomorow night has a better chance.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20070
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Frank_Wx February 19th 2015, 7:14 pm

Ha

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Gfs-ens_z500a_us_2

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20070
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow February 19th 2015, 7:16 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:The outer boroughs have spoken and this one is now over barely before it started. 15 degrees at 7PM in CPK. That's not what they needed to get to 0, that's now out of reach.

I put the chances of them breaking the record at 50-50, I'm thinking more like 8 will be the bottom.

The models never factor in the heat Island effect of the big cities, especially a city like NYC.

Hope I'm wrong, but I don't think I am.

Tomorow night has a better chance.

Maybe, if the clouds don't move in after midnight. I think if it's clear and calm tomorrow night we'll have a lot of suburbs NWNJ NEPA, NWCT, and the HV -10 to -15.

This late in February that's impressive.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by snow247 February 19th 2015, 10:26 pm

5* here, temp dropping fast.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by amugs February 19th 2015, 10:28 pm

7* and win dis kicking up big time here.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12434
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Taffy February 19th 2015, 10:38 pm

Clear
9.5 °F
Feels Like -7 °F
N15.0
Wind from WSW
Gusts 15.0 mph

Winds are really picking up here and temps falling fast. My windows are rattling...that's my indicator for high winds.  I don't need no fancy shmancy gadget to tell me which way the wind blows Razz
Taffy
Taffy
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 521
Reputation : 18
Join date : 2013-10-06
Location : Hopkinton, MA

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow February 19th 2015, 10:47 pm

2.8

Tomorrow will be the 7th sub zero morning this February.

I'm impressed.

CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Abba701 February 19th 2015, 10:56 pm

11 pm - 10 degrees.CP can it drop another 4 degrees ?

Abba701

Posts : 322
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-01-14

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Abba701 February 19th 2015, 10:57 pm

My prediction is either a tie or misses by a degree or so.

Abba701

Posts : 322
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-01-14

Back to top Go down

Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too - Page 5 Empty Re: Polar Blast 2.0 Thursday-Friday, Some Snow Too

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 5 of 8 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum