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1st Call Snow Map, February 21st-22nd Storm

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Feb 20, 2015 1:37 pm

Curious if Upton will issue any WS watches on their 4pm update? Looks like it will be close in some areas.
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Post by oldtimer Fri Feb 20, 2015 1:56 pm

CP what am i lookin at out here 2-4 ?

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Post by Artechmetals Fri Feb 20, 2015 2:01 pm

Mugs mentioned a secs storm for the area can someone tell me the meaning
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Post by lglickman1 Fri Feb 20, 2015 2:06 pm

@Artechmetals wrote:Mugs mentioned a secs storm for the area can someone tell me the meaning

SECS (significant east coast storm) = 6" +

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Post by Artechmetals Fri Feb 20, 2015 2:07 pm

Thanks for that info
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 20, 2015 2:15 pm

I dunno about the coast, im a bit skeptical but seems like things went from warm earlier this week to a colder storm so at least 3-6 areawide maybe more does not seem impossible at this point.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 20, 2015 2:17 pm

Sign me up for 6 inches no problem, still two more biggie chances after this too : )
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Feb 20, 2015 2:24 pm

@oldtimer wrote:CP what am i lookin at out here 2-4 ?

That's probably a best guess at this time.

When and how much changes to liquid out there is still uncertain as is the possibility of 4+.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 20, 2015 2:26 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Curious if Upton will issue any WS watches on their 4pm update? Looks like it will be close in some areas.

very possible, if colder trends and higher qpf I could see some sort of wsw or at least wwa being issued, and hey wwa better than nothing, I mean this is not a blockbuster but could be a decent sized storm.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Feb 20, 2015 2:27 pm

I'm not expecting much here in cnj coastalarea
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 20, 2015 2:34 pm

well I dunno, NWS has me 3-4, ill take that too but I think there is the possibility for more, way down there skins may get warm enough dunno, haven't been paying extremely close attention.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Feb 20, 2015 2:45 pm

It seems we could get a some snow before the change
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Post by SNOW MAN Fri Feb 20, 2015 3:00 pm

@amugs wrote:Snowman I just pmed Frank on the other site and let's see it happened to me yesterday as well and all day - Scholar policy about us being on cell phones so I can only do so on my lunch of free period UGGGHHH!

Thanks Mugs.
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Post by amugs Fri Feb 20, 2015 3:04 pm

SECS = 4" + snowfall
MECS = 6"+ snowfall

15Z SREFS - wetter than 9Z
1st Call Snow Map, February 21st-22nd Storm - Page 6 SREFNE24Precip15045


9Z
1st Call Snow Map, February 21st-22nd Storm - Page 6 SREFNE24Precip09051

Temps are colder but not as cold as euro.
The faster it gets in here the more white gold we get and the faster it exits before the waa hits - just an obsservation and I think we start up in NYC around 1PM

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Post by lglickman1 Fri Feb 20, 2015 3:29 pm

anyone thinking the city does better than currently forecasted, like 4-6"?

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Post by oldtimer Fri Feb 20, 2015 3:31 pm

no

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 20, 2015 3:35 pm

.75-1.0 qpf I wonder how much will be ice or rain, I would love it to be all snow : )
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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Feb 20, 2015 3:49 pm

Can anyone give me an idea for what to expect for relatives traveling on Sunday from Orange county NY to cnj precip type
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Post by Quietace Fri Feb 20, 2015 3:56 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:.75-1.0 qpf I wonder how much will be ice or rain, I would love it to be all snow : )
I think we both know that's not going to happen with the warm nose in the Upper levels...

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Post by Quietace Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:06 pm

While we will change over, we have seen front end snows over preform numerous times...With the WAA infiltrating into the area, i wouldn't be surprised to see heavy bands with great lift develop with good rates...

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Post by nutleyblizzard Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:09 pm

Chat tonight?
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Post by amugs Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:22 pm

Nuts at peppercorns in Park Ridge if you'd like?
We can do one at 9PM if you guys would like? See what the boss has to say,Frank. My son has a hockey game at 7 so I will be late no matter - likes it all about me hahaha!
This just in woop woop
1st Call Snow Map, February 21st-22nd Storm - Page 6 StormTotalSnowFcst

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:24 pm

WWA and watches are up!
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Post by amugs Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:25 pm

The show is about to begin here folks as nws just said colder and snowier in there new snow map, also
for SNOW MAN
1st Call Snow Map, February 21st-22nd Storm - Page 6 Post-570-0-36744500-1424464940

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:26 pm

@Quietace wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:.75-1.0 qpf I wonder how much will be ice or rain, I would love it to be all snow : )
I think we both know that's not going to happen with the warm nose in the Upper levels...

just upped the area as mugs posted to 4-6 for me, if this holds then we may get the upper end, and watches may be extended east, right now they are all west. No of course I doubt, but never impossible 6-10.
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