NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

+13
jmanley32
Vinnydula
oldtimer
mancave25
jimv45
2004blackwrx
aiannone
amugs
snow247
skinsfan1177
NjWeatherGuy
rb924119
Frank_Wx
17 posters

Page 2 of 5 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next

Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:02 pm

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 I_nw_r1_EST_2015022100_023

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 I_nw_r1_EST_2015022100_024

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 I_nw_r1_EST_2015022100_025

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 I_nw_r1_EST_2015022100_026

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20070
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by aiannone Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:02 pm

I remain optimistic for snow tmw for the coast (SCT, Long Island (except far eastern) and NYC. Fire Island inlet is partially frozen, Temp is 9 at my house on NLI, ocean temp off the coast is 35 and open temps off NENJ where the SW wind would come from is 33. Then the wind travels over snowpack everywhere. Good luck warming up!
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4267
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:03 pm

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 I_nw_r1_EST_2015022100_027

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 I_nw_r1_EST_2015022100_028

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 I_nw_r1_EST_2015022100_029

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 I_nw_r1_EST_2015022100_030

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 I_nw_r1_EST_2015022100_031

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20070
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by rb924119 Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:04 pm

Here's my final call:

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Feb21110

As you can see, I'm still anticipating a slight northward tick as the event approaches, shifting the axis of heavier snowfall further north. Granted, I will likely bust low just south and east of my designated 6-8" zone, but I'm O.K. with that; I'm following my gut this time and not only the models. We'll see how it goes. I have yet to see any 00z data lmao

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by aiannone Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:06 pm

Well RGEM confirms my thoughts.
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4267
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by rb924119 Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:07 pm

Welp, the 00z NAM blows my forecast already lmfao oh well, I'll see how other runs go before I jump off a cliff ahaha

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by mancave25 Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:09 pm

I could see some places seeing a foot of snow in NEPA and nwnj

mancave25

Posts : 112
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-02-05

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:10 pm

@mancave25 wrote:I could see some places seeing a foot of snow in NEPA and nwnj

No way.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20070
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by rb924119 Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:12 pm

@mancave25 wrote:I could see some places seeing a foot of snow in NEPA and nwnj

I'm 100% behind Frank on this one, mancave; no way anybody sees double-digit snowfall from this. Too fast, first of all; and secondly, the heaviest precipitation is removed from the coldest air, so snowfall potential is not maximized.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:13 pm

I just realized I'm back in Cranford this weekend and this might be my biggest snow event of the season.

Cool.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20070
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by aiannone Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:14 pm

If u look closely, up by NYC, LI northward into CT and Mass the mid levels don't warm too much above freezing, but the sfc does. That tells me the models are warming the sfc too quickly
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4267
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:15 pm

Tomorrow I should be on here nowcasting the storm. Should be fun trying to determine how quickly the changeover may occur. The extremely anomalous cold air mass trying to be overidden by warmth is going to call for some crazy snow rates tomorrow. Possibly 2" an hour.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20070
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:16 pm

@aiannone wrote:If u look closely, up by NYC, LI northward into CT and Mass the mid levels don't warm too much above freezing, but the sfc does. That tells me the models are warming the sfc too quickly

925mb also warms. I would expect the changeover but hopefully when there's not much precip left.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20070
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by aiannone Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:22 pm

This image of Fire Island inlet doesn't scream SFC warming to me lol
Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 19627210
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4267
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by rb924119 Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:28 pm

00z NAM clown map:

http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=DIX

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:30 pm

Rgem snow map

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Post-6-0-43747000-1424489583

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20070
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by 2004blackwrx Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:32 pm

Frozen salt water amazes me.

2004blackwrx
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 505
Reputation : 9
Join date : 2013-01-14
Location : Wappinger NY

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:39 pm

00z gfs

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f24

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f27

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20070
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by mancave25 Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:40 pm

Rgem in inches

mancave25

Posts : 112
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-02-05

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:41 pm

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f30

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f33

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20070
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by aiannone Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:41 pm

7.1* at my house on LI with 10-11" on the ground. Ocean temps in mid 30s.How is it going to warm to 40?!!!
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4267
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by 2004blackwrx Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:41 pm

2.8 °F here definitely going to be a hard fight for the warmth.

2004blackwrx
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 505
Reputation : 9
Join date : 2013-01-14
Location : Wappinger NY

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by rb924119 Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:42 pm

@mancave25 wrote:Rgem in inches

Divide whatever number you see for you by 25 then multiply that result by ten to get the snowfall based on a 10:1 ratio.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by rb924119 Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:42 pm

Already -11* lmao easily going for -20 tonight

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5553
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by aiannone Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:42 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f30

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f33

then 540 line comes back down after those frames and precip is still left.
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4267
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

Final Call Snow Map - February 21st - Page 2 Empty Re: Final Call Snow Map - February 21st

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 5 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum