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Possible Snow Thursday 2/26

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Taffy
1190ftalt
Aiosamoney21
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oldtimer
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HeresL
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RJB8525
sroc4
SNOW MAN
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Starscream
Math23x7
aiannone
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Possible Snow Thursday 2/26 Empty Possible Snow Thursday 2/26

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 24, 2015 10:54 am

Good morning all,

A strong piece of southern upper level energy is going to track across the country and up our coast Thursday morning. As it makes its journey through the U.S. the energy will de-amplify but there will be enough left to possibly bring us some moderate snowfall on Thursday.

Possible Snow Thursday 2/26 Untitled

I circled the H5 energy so you can see what I am referencing. It slides to our south and at the surface develops a low pressure system that relies on frontogenesis forcing between the thermal gradients to produce precipitation, in the form of snow.

The latest SREFS and RGEM show at least a 2-4" snowfall but the GFS is offshore with the system and hardly has flurries. I will continue to monitor the latest model trends and update you all on what they show. At this time, I am not expecting much more then some snow showers that could bring us an inch or two. I think anything more then a couple of inches would be from SNJ to eastern LI. With no phasing expected from the northern stream and dry air also in place, it's going to be tough for this system to manufacture precipitation that reaches the ground.

We'll see.

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Post by amugs Tue Feb 24, 2015 11:09 am

SREFS on their own - snow fro EWR - Newark NJ

Possible Snow Thursday 2/26 Post-86-0-15916000-1424793617

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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Feb 24, 2015 12:25 pm

Come on srefs
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:11 pm

Come on baby! I hope whoever that person is on whatever forum he is on knows something we do not : ) I doubt it but odder things have happened.
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Post by aiannone Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:15 pm

well then..... 9z SREF
Possible Snow Thursday 2/26 10678_10
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Post by aiannone Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:17 pm

Possible Snow Thursday 2/26 11021110
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:18 pm

OK! 3-5 for me, nice let the #northtrend begin! But honestly isn't the sref kinda outta range at this time? None of the globals show anything remotely close to this.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:20 pm

Rayno just tweeted "Video coming. Gets what is coming farther n and w? " yay, I like him, he is honest and can't wait to see this upcoming video, maybe that other member WAS onto something, mugs what forum was that member on?
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:21 pm

Not sure jman but haven't the srefs done well this year.
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Post by Math23x7 Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:22 pm

@aiannone wrote:well then..... 9z SREF
Possible Snow Thursday 2/26 10678_10

It should be interesting how upcoming SREF and RGEM runs play out.

Btw Alex, if I'm not mistaken, you said at the meetup that you were born on 12/26/95. If so, then you are 7,000 days old today (or 1,000 weeks old).

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:24 pm

Yeah skins they have done well from what I have seen, I hope this along with others like rayno starting to talk brings us the goods!
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:27 pm

Yup I hope so guys at work think I'm crazy
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Post by aiannone Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:30 pm

@Math23x7 wrote:
@aiannone wrote:well then..... 9z SREF
Possible Snow Thursday 2/26 10678_10

It should be interesting how upcoming SREF and RGEM runs play out.

Btw Alex, if I'm not mistaken, you said at the meetup that you were born on 12/26/95.  If so, then you are 7,000 days old today (or 1,000 weeks old).

Well that is one way of looking at it lol!
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Post by Guest Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:36 pm

Everyone relax. Just saw the Rayno video he says MAYBE 1 to 3" as far north/west as D.C. No snow here the next 5 days other than some flurries. You want snow go 200 miles south or 200 miles NE. Snowhole!

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 24, 2015 1:42 pm

yeah saw that syo, oh well we will see.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Feb 24, 2015 2:22 pm

Well I say let's see what models do and the trends.
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Post by Starscream Tue Feb 24, 2015 2:27 pm

Hoping for a miracle here!
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Feb 24, 2015 2:48 pm

SREFS in garbage time now, GFS bumped north but running out of time for this one to trend, right now its pretty much a southern slider VA south snowstorm thats it
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Post by SNOW MAN Tue Feb 24, 2015 2:59 pm

@Starscream wrote:Hoping for a miracle here!

I love your location. Is that where Megatron resides ?
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Post by sroc4 Tue Feb 24, 2015 3:02 pm

@Starscream wrote:Hoping for a miracle here!

Great name and location! What's your snow totals so far in Cybertron? Your avatar is even the old school Star Scream...love it

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Post by Starscream Tue Feb 24, 2015 4:09 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@Starscream wrote:Hoping for a miracle here!

Great name and location!  What's your snow totals so far in Cybertron?  Your avatar is even the old school Star Scream...love it

Unfortunately, we only have acid rain up here, which is just terrible on my circuits.

Will be coming back to your planet in the Spring, so be sure to keep an eye out for me, puny flesh creature.
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Post by RJB8525 Tue Feb 24, 2015 4:50 pm

Lee has a close call thursday
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Post by Scullybutcher Tue Feb 24, 2015 5:08 pm

It's snowing in mount Sinai right now. North shore Suffolk county
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Post by HeresL Tue Feb 24, 2015 6:07 pm

Dave Curren on News 12 just referenced the possibility of some snow for Thursday and said he will get back to the viewers in about an hour..
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 24, 2015 7:16 pm

Still not feeling anything more than an inch. We'll see what models do tonight.

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