NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

+21
oldtimer
billg315
2004blackwrx
Vinnydula
Fededle22
NjWeatherGuy
Dunnzoo
Quietace
snow247
amugs
sroc4
jimv45
RJB8525
rb924119
skinsfan1177
algae888
docstox12
CPcantmeasuresnow
jmanley32
aiannone
Frank_Wx
25 posters

Page 8 of 10 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10  Next

Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by 2004blackwrx Sat Feb 28, 2015 5:34 am

Yes nws is Albany for me. I am in there most southern territory.

2004blackwrx
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 574
Join date : 2013-01-14

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by snow247 Sat Feb 28, 2015 6:42 am

Don't really want this to shift further south anymore or our northern posters will miss out yet again, I want everyone to get 6"+ from this lol. Could be the last chance.

snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Join date : 2014-08-27

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 28, 2015 6:48 am

NWS downgraded me from 3 to 5 to 2 to 4.They are buying the southward shift.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8472
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by snow247 Sat Feb 28, 2015 6:56 am

docstox12 wrote:NWS downgraded me from 3 to 5 to 2 to 4.They are buying the southward shift.

We live in a small desert up here I'm convinced lol, this has happened with so many storms this winter and last. You can almost guarantee now that every storm that jackpots north of the city will shift south at the last minute.


Last edited by snow247 on Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:00 am; edited 1 time in total
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Feb 28, 2015 6:59 am

I would love it for everyone to get in on this but this time of year its harder and harder for me here to get snow will need it to shift south. This unfortunately has been the trend this season as of late with a southern shift . I think my area could be a battle ground for snow/rain and ice involved
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4485
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 46
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:17 am

snow247 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:NWS downgraded me from 3 to 5 to 2 to 4.They are buying the southward shift.

We live in a small desert up here I'm convinced lol, this has happened with so many storms this winter and last. You can almost guarantee now that every storm that jackpots north of the city will shift south at the last minute.

It sure was true with Juno, a force field over the Hudson River, then that recent storm with that incredible dry slot.Sinking dry air,LOL!

I would be upset if I was still living in Mahwah near you, but just 25 miles away in Monroe HV, everything is different due to elevation and distance from the massive heat of NYC.With all of these screwball storm situations, this next storm should put me above 60 inches for the season.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8472
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:20 am

docstox12 wrote:NWS downgraded me from 3 to 5 to 2 to 4.They are buying the southward shift.

They must be if of ignoring the 6z nam then because it had us over 6 inches. This is another who knows but it wouldn't shock me if we received less QPf. Every storm does the opposite this year.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7265
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:22 am

If I was investing in a southward shift, I would go long.That trend is set in stone this year.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8472
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:23 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:I would love it for everyone to get in on this but this time of year its harder and harder for me here to get snow will need it to shift south. This unfortunately has been the trend this season as of late with a southern shift . I think my area could be a battle ground for snow/rain and ice involved

Definitely going to be mixing issues according to NWS on this storm.Where,when....who knows!
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8472
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by snow247 Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:24 am

Yea doc, huge difference in our snowpack being just a few miles away from eachother, I only have around 7-11 inches otg.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:32 am

I didn't hear any chatter about the 00z EURO peeps.......

http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/ECM/OP/00/snosums/0072/ECM_00_opUS_SF_0072.png

Based on 10:1

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:36 am

TWC predicting 4 to 8 inches for Sunday night Monday morning. The kiss of death of course I'm now resigned myself to 1 to 3 inches.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7265
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:38 am

00z EURO Ensemble total snowfall based on 10:

http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/ECM/EN/00/snosums/0072/ECM_00_enUS_SF_0072.png

00z CMC total accumulated precipitation in inches:

http://images1.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/CAN/EN/00/pcpsums/0024/CAN_00_enUS_PS_0060.png

06z GFS Ensemble total snowfall based on 10:1

http://images0.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/EN/06/snosums/0048/GFS_06_enUS_SF_0066.png

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6887
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:41 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:TWC predicting 4 to 8 inches for Sunday night Monday morning. The kiss of death of course I'm now resigned myself to 1 to 3 inches.

BACIO DI MORTE!!!

They must have meant that certain City i am not supposed to mention but have to right now, that has a winter storm watch for 4 to 7 inches,LOL
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8472
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 8:53 am

The short range models paint a very snowy picture. The globals, not so much.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by billg315 Sat Feb 28, 2015 8:56 am

I'm waiting to see how the models go today, but at first glance from about I-195 north I don't see a whole lot of rain mixing in with this one. Maybe sleet and freezing rain for a bit in the middle, but my sense is that from CNJ to NNJ it is mostly a snow/frozen precip situation with the rain largely confined to SNJ or the southern tier of CNJ.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by billg315 Sat Feb 28, 2015 8:59 am

My gut tells me it could be a good 3-6" storm for most from CNJ north with pockets of a couple inches more than that in spots in NNJ where less sleet/frz rain mixes.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:01 am

6z rgem was beautiful - hope this holds tonight at 00z

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 PT_PN_039_0000

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 PT_PN_042_0000

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 PT_PN_045_0000Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 PT_PN_048_0000

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:04 am

Yeah it would be better if it stayed snow for me through out tough call here.
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4485
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 46
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by billg315 Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:07 am

Frank_Wx wrote:6z rgem was beautiful - hope this holds tonight at 00z

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 PT_PN_039_0000

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 PT_PN_042_0000

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 PT_PN_045_0000Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 PT_PN_048_0000

I like the cut of that model's jib
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:19 am

12z NAM

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Nam_ptype_slp_neng_12


_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:21 am

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Nam_ptype_slp_neng_13

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Nam_ptype_slp_neng_14

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:24 am

3-6" for NYC

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Nam_3hr_snow_acc_ne_14

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:24 am

sweet it does not changeover for me, Holy NAM batman! Looks like its gonna be good, like 06z?
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:25 am

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Nam_3hr_snow_acc_ne_15

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by amugs Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:26 am

Franky colder solution trend by most models. We need the rgem to hold tonight and tomorrow as nuts as this might sound to some but the way this winter is going it is the truth.
Rb euro looks like it is catching on in last night's run, wetter too.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:29 am

Big 00z runs tonight. Too bad I won't be here.

How about a quick 1 hour chat as 12z runs come in tomorrow beginning at 11am? We'll have the rgem/nam by then.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event  - Page 8 Empty Re: Sunday Night-Monday Snow Event

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 8 of 10 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum