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Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 28, 2015 3:55 pm

@Quietace wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Nice solid 5 to 8! Def go see this become wsw I dunno where nws getting their info lol
I think they keep NYC in a advisory

I agree. A warning is only if they're expecting at least 6 inches and there's no reason to make that call now. Unless they're expecting a lot of ice there's no reason for a WSW in NYC, they've already made everyone aware with the WWA. Besides most people in NYC wouldn't know the difference if they got 5 or 7 inches.

In the scheme of things what does it matter, its all what you end up with.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 3:56 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Nice map Frank.  I see a solid 4 to 8" for most forum members if these trends hold till late tonight.  Jman I used to be like you and wonder/get upset at NWS asvisories.  They're just words.  It means nothing.  Just be happy with Frank's forecasts and the trends going in our way right now.

By the way Frank I heard they're expecting wind gusts of 55+ for areas just NW of NYC (Jman's neighborhood) tongue tongue tongue tongue tongue

Haha, this board without J money just isn't the same. He brings the kind of enthusiasm I'm looking for.

I would like to see the GFS uptick in qpf tonight. We'll see

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:00 pm

At hour 33, 925mb gets warm for NYC Metro

Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map - Page 2 NamNE_925_temp_033

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Post by aiannone Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:01 pm

Mt. Holly going bold on ICE
Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map - Page 2 16139110
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:03 pm

Thats at the tail end of the precip anyway. Probably snow to some ice for most of the area. Still impressive hit

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:04 pm

Here's 18z nam radar at hours 30. Heavy stuff over the area. The bright band over CNJ is heavy precip but likely sleet

Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map - Page 2 NamNE_prec_radar_030

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Post by aiannone Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:04 pm

Is there a snow map out for it. Due to the NCEP issues my sites aren't working
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Post by Guest Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:06 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@Quietace wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Nice solid 5 to 8! Def go see this become wsw I dunno where nws getting their info lol
I think they keep NYC in a advisory

I agree. A warning is only if they're expecting at least 6 inches and there's no reason to make that call now. Unless they're expecting a lot of ice there's no reason for a WSW in NYC, they've already made everyone aware with the WWA. Besides most people in NYC wouldn't know the difference if they got 5 or 7 inches.

In the scheme of things what does it matter, its all what you end up with.

I disagree. My wife would absolutely know the difference between 5" and 7" Shocked Shocked Shocked

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:07 pm

Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map - Page 2 Nam_3hr_snow_acc_neng_16

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:09 pm

I have a WWA for 1-4", seems as though both Mt. Holly and Upton both are quite unsure.
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Post by Grselig Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:11 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Nice map Frank.  I see a solid 4 to 8" for most forum members if these trends hold till late tonight.  Jman I used to be like you and wonder/get upset at NWS asvisories.  They're just words.  It means nothing.  Just be happy with Frank's forecasts and the trends going in our way right now.

By the way Frank I heard they're expecting wind gusts of 55+ for areas just NW of NYC (Jman's neighborhood) tongue tongue tongue tongue tongue

Haha, this board without J money just isn't the same. He brings the kind of enthusiasm I'm looking for.

I would like to see the GFS uptick in qpf tonight. We'll see

Rumor has it that those winds are 75 mph with 2 inches of Ice and massive flooding. and thundersnow. Only for one very specific neighborhood. affraid Twisted Evil
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:25 pm

18z rgem crushes us with 4-7" of snow

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:29 pm

Haha guys I'm well aware this has no wind with it.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:30 pm

J money frank lol what am I a gangsta now
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:32 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@Quietace wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Nice solid 5 to 8! Def go see this become wsw I dunno where nws getting their info lol
I think they keep NYC in a advisory

I agree. A warning is only if they're expecting at least 6 inches and there's no reason to make that call now. Unless they're expecting a lot of ice there's no reason for a WSW in NYC, they've already made everyone aware with the WWA. Besides most people in NYC wouldn't know the difference if they got 5 or 7 inches.

In the scheme of things what does it matter, its all what you end up with.

I disagree.  My wife would absolutely know the difference between 5" and 7" Shocked Shocked Shocked
Lmfao I bet
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:34 pm

@Grselig wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Nice map Frank.  I see a solid 4 to 8" for most forum members if these trends hold till late tonight.  Jman I used to be like you and wonder/get upset at NWS asvisories.  They're just words.  It means nothing.  Just be happy with Frank's forecasts and the trends going in our way right now.

By the way Frank I heard they're expecting wind gusts of 55+ for areas just NW of NYC (Jman's neighborhood) tongue tongue tongue tongue tongue

Haha, this board without J money just isn't the same. He brings the kind of enthusiasm I'm looking for.

I would like to see the GFS uptick in qpf tonight. We'll see

Rumor has it that those winds are 75 mph with 2 inches of Ice and massive flooding.   and thundersnow.   Only for one very specific neighborhood.  affraid Twisted Evil
I actually did have thundetsnow in the last storm in a heavy burst of sleet. I'm all set with flooding def that's one thing in wx that isn't all that interesting to me but it certainly can do its damage.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:37 pm

Rgem did creep up the mix line to Staten island, however.

Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map - Page 2 PT_PN_033_0000

I'm not a believer NYC stays all snow yet. Thinking they do see a changeover, but at least 3 inches of snow should have fallen by then.

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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:41 pm

Nws expecting start in late morning.....

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:46 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:Nws expecting start in late morning.....

Models are between 12-3pm for most part. This storm has moved up in time. Didn't even realize it till now.

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Post by Guest Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:46 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Rgem did creep up the mix line to Staten island, however.

Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map - Page 2 PT_PN_033_0000

I'm not a believer NYC stays all snow yet. Thinking they do see a changeover, but at least 3 inches of snow should have fallen by then.

Stop it Frank. We were all starting to like you out here on LI. Now this!!! Wink Wink Wink

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Post by Guest Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:48 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Rgem did creep up the mix line to Staten island, however.

Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map - Page 2 PT_PN_033_0000

I'm not a believer NYC stays all snow yet. Thinking they do see a changeover, but at least 3 inches of snow should have fallen by then.

Stop it Frank. We were all starting to like you out here on LI. Now this!!! Wink Wink Wink savior savior savior savior savior white flag white flag party

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Post by lglickman1 Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:49 pm

Hoe long is this event supposed to be?

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:49 pm

Madonne, rgem snow map. LI crushed.

Sunday-Monday Snowstorm - 2nd Call Snow Map - Page 2 Post-747-0-10675100-1425159038

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:50 pm

@lglickman1 wrote:Hoe long is this event supposed to be?

Figure 1pm until 5am.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 28, 2015 4:53 pm

I'm moving the chat up to 10am tomorrow and releasing a final call snow map by the morning.

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