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Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 01, 2015 11:49 pm

00z ukmet, wow

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 5 UkmetPR00.11

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Post by rb924119 Sun Mar 01, 2015 11:49 pm

LOOK AT THIS MOISTURE TRANSPORT....

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015030200/gem_T850_us_11.png

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 01, 2015 11:50 pm

Cmc images

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 5 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f84

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 5 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f90


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Post by rb924119 Sun Mar 01, 2015 11:51 pm

Damn you flatlanders hahaha stealing our snow again :p

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Post by Guest Sun Mar 01, 2015 11:52 pm

you 2 boys need to go to sleep. Let it go for a little. You're getting us all going again. I need some down time. Goodnight. Great job today Frank!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 01, 2015 11:54 pm

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 5 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f93

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 5 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96

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Post by rb924119 Sun Mar 01, 2015 11:54 pm

That UK is mighty impressive. It's interesting that you now have two short-range models (UKMET and NAM), the UK which is a very reliable model (I think), showing an all out jailhouse blitz, the EURO/CMC in the same moderate camp, and then the GFS all alone (again) wide-right.


Last edited by rb924119 on Sun Mar 01, 2015 11:55 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 01, 2015 11:55 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Damn you flatlanders hahaha stealing our snow again :p

Flatlanders. That's a first Wink

syosnow94 wrote:you 2 boys need to go to sleep.  Let it go for a little.  You're getting us all going again.  I need some down time.  Goodnight.  Great job today Frank!!

Thanks James I'm off to bed as well. Goodnight

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Post by rb924119 Sun Mar 01, 2015 11:57 pm

Night buddy!!! GREAT job today, my friend!! You outfoxed me on this one :p Might have to do another case study if I can find the time/if it's wanted haha

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:01 am

Oh man, I saw the GEFS. Wow

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 5 GFS-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f84

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Post by rb924119 Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:03 am

FWIW UKMET is IDENTICAL TO NAM in its thermal profile. North and west of I-95 gets slam-canned lol

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Post by rb924119 Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:06 am

Now that the CMC H5 maps are out, I think it's close to a triple- (yes, 3x) phase between the southern-stream, "streamer", and the northern-stream. That would certainly do it lmao

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:07 am

So is this once again going to be a I-95 letdown and just inland blitzed? But wow those images are impressive and that jet is aimed right at us.
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Post by rb924119 Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:08 am

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015030200/gem_z500_vort_us_10.png
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015030200/gem_z500_vort_us_11.png
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015030200/gem_z500_vort_us_12.png
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015030200/gem_z500_vort_us_14.png
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015030200/gem_z500_vort_us_16.png

It is a fraction away from looking like the NAM and UKMET. Wow.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:09 am

CMC snow map is not impressive, kinda odd from what you guys arte saying.
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Post by rb924119 Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:12 am

@jmanley32 wrote:So is this once again going to be a I-95 letdown and just inland blitzed? But wow those images are impressive and that jet is aimed right at us.

Worrying about details like that at this time Jman is pointless. All I'm looking for is to see if it is still there. Period. If there is consensus, great, but even still don't put faith into any one solution until at most 24 hours out. Look at the wild swings we have seen these last three weeks with storms looking too warm and then all of a sudden 12 hours before the event everything shifts 50-100 miles further south. All we want to see are how the key players are showing up and where. Anything on a finer scale than that, blindfold yourself and try to hit the target on a dartboard lol

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Post by rb924119 Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:16 am

I really want to stay up for the EURO now, because I think it may show something similar, but I don't think I can do it hahaha

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Post by rb924119 Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:21 am

I can't do it haha Good night all, I'll check back tomorrow morning!!!

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 02, 2015 12:23 am

Ya I know rb, night. I am headed to bed shortly too.
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Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 02, 2015 6:09 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:I like when rb talks dirty

LMFAO..I was thinking the same thing Frank.  Rb you rock dude.  You add so much to this board.  You give me stuff to learn and look up all the time.  Thank you

Wait until you read the case study he did on the 21st storm. Will post tomorrow. Also, you deserve kudos (not just for your dance) but in the 1st or 2nd page of this thread I have you props for recognizing this potential last week.

Thanks

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Post by amugs Mon Mar 02, 2015 7:04 am

Okay Ia going to depart these threads need one for each boys. Ice event fir nnj and lhv look to be seriously bad.

God darn it stop looking at maps verbatim and look at synoptic and ensembles - GEFS have been on this for two days. This doesn't show it but this does. You will be in a 12 step program by we night, some are already from this winter

Rb great stuff kid and love the porn talk!!

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Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 02, 2015 7:14 am

NWS has me for 2 to 3 inches snow, sleet.FR then light rain for Tues-Weds.High temps on Weds now 40 from 46 yesterday.Doubt it will hit 40 with this heavy snowpack.Then, slop to snow Weds night-Thursday. Hoo boy, the merry go round just keeps on spinning,LOL! Cold again after all this.This snowpack will be here April 1 at this rate, no warm up in sight!
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Post by rb924119 Mon Mar 02, 2015 7:20 am

Thanks Mugs!! Here is the 06z GFS Ensemble MEAN TOTAL SNOWFALL based on 10:

http://images1.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/EN/06/snosums/0072/GFS_06_enUS_SF_0108.png

Pretty impressive for an ensemble mean....

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Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 02, 2015 7:23 am

@rb924119 wrote:Thanks Mugs!! Here is the 06z GFS Ensemble MEAN TOTAL SNOWFALL based on 10:

http://images1.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/EN/06/snosums/0072/GFS_06_enUS_SF_0108.png

Pretty impressive for an ensemble mean....

Looks like S and E jackpots on this one.
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Post by rb924119 Mon Mar 02, 2015 7:27 am

00z EURO Operational looks about the same....

http://images1.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/ECM/OP/00/snosums/0024/ECM_00_opUS_SF_0096.png


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