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1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 03, 2015 9:51 pm

I hope my amount will not be downed even more, But yes I realize this has high bust potential to the south of the band and to the north of the band. I pray that it at least catches us on the northern part of it.
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Post by Yschiff Tue Mar 03, 2015 9:52 pm

That 4k NAM map is without ratio?

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 03, 2015 9:53 pm

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 Index

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 03, 2015 9:54 pm

@Yschiff wrote:That 4k NAM map is without ratio?

Yes

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Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Mar 03, 2015 9:56 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Wow I love what the NAM did. It developed a second wave along the front for Thursday afternoon into night. Other models shut off the precip by late morning. Incredible if this trend continues on other guidance. That would surely boost up snow amounts for northern folks...and increase snow amounts even more for SNJ

I gotta say though, you're right on with the whole frontogenisis thing. Thing is, if you look at QPF map for NAM, you can see the HEAVIEST precip right in CNJ is not far away from the cutoff say 100 miles north. If that shifts just 25-50 miles north, the city gets in on it. Folks in Hudson Valley & just away from the NE coast are gonna be real disappointed I think.
Strongly agree. Taken what the NAM shows verbatim, the heavier qpf is kissing the south shore of long island! Something to watch for is often with these type of setups, the tighter the gradient becomes, the more intense and dynamic the moisture becomes within that shrinking area. Just a 25 mile or so tick to the north and its a big storm for NYC Metro. Don't give hope folks!
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:01 pm

SNJ going to get walloped

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 10923455_898602006858226_8392385587048615660_n

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Post by algae888 Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:02 pm

rgem looks like its coming in north
1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_026
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Post by algae888 Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:03 pm

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_030
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:05 pm

00z RGEM 4am Thursday

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_033

Lets see what it does with the rest...

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Post by algae888 Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:05 pm

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_032
1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_033
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:06 pm

8am

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_037

9am

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_038

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Post by algae888 Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:06 pm

frank looks like rgem has that second wave
1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_038
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:07 pm

Madonne

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_039

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_040

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_041

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Post by algae888 Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:07 pm

ill let you finish looks really good
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Post by amugs Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:07 pm

RGEM looking good so far

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:08 pm

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_042

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_043

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_044

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Post by amugs Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:09 pm

SNJ crush job

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Post by snow247 Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:09 pm

Enjoy it southern guys, try to send some flurries my way on Thursday, I could use some, my 8" snowpack is getting destroyed right now by the pouring rain.

Anyways, this looks amazing for C/SNJ people. If I lived there, I would be ecstatic. March seems to really like you guys.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:09 pm

Still going at 4pm

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_045

Finishes around 5pm

1st Call Snow Map, March 4th-5th  - Page 4 I_nw_r1_EST_2015030400_046

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Post by algae888 Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:10 pm

frank that's about 12 hours of moderate snow for nyc
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:12 pm

@algae888 wrote:frank that's about 12 hours of moderate snow for nyc

It's light to moderate but with ratios at least 8+ I believe

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Post by algae888 Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:13 pm

it comes in 2 waves first wave all rain c/s nj. rain to heavy snow city. 2nd wave all snow heaviest c/s nj
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:13 pm

That looks amazing further north good for me and Al, and wow what a long duration for especially south areas!
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:15 pm

2"/Hr snow rates per NAM for those in yellow.

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Post by amugs Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:16 pm

RGEM ,, in line with what euro was showing at 12z today hmmmm interesting.

We do well but 50 miles south is the big stuff, WTH?

Last  hurrah for winter peeps.lets take it and run.

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