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March 20th Storm

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Fededle22
skinsfan1177
Grselig
Dunnzoo
CPcantmeasuresnow
snow247
chrism
docstox12
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jmanley32
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Post by snow247 Wed Mar 18, 2015 5:48 pm

Looks like the GFS is south too. Even in late March.
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Post by algae888 Wed Mar 18, 2015 6:03 pm

18z gfs is 6" area wide. Cant post map mobile atm.
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Post by algae888 Wed Mar 18, 2015 6:05 pm

Btw nws is discounting nam in their disco. 18zRgem is also nice
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Post by snow247 Wed Mar 18, 2015 6:09 pm

@algae888 wrote:18z gfs is 6" area wide. Cant post map mobile atm.

Really? That's good, I heard it was south. Can't check right now.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 18, 2015 6:13 pm

Precip wise 18Z GFS looked fine. Temp issues for CNJ on south but will probably be overcome by heavier precip rates.
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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Mar 18, 2015 6:32 pm

Scott I'll take the over 4 changes to their maps  geek

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by sroc4 Wed Mar 18, 2015 7:32 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:Scott I'll take the over 4 changes to their maps  geek

Ha me too

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by amugs Wed Mar 18, 2015 7:39 pm

18z gfs and rgem our boy rgem
March 20th Storm - Page 3 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f54

RGEM
This is not including beyond hours 54 so don't get your panties all twisted by this
March 20th Storm - Page 3 SN_000-048_0000


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Post by rb924119 Wed Mar 18, 2015 7:46 pm

I'll have a writeup soon with my detailed analysis and initial thoughts for anybody interested. I won't spoil the ending for you, though lol

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Post by amugs Wed Mar 18, 2015 7:53 pm

CIPS TOP ANALOG !!!!

March 20th Storm - Page 3 COOP4percnam212F060

March 20th Storm - Page 3 COOP6percnam212F060

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:01 pm

Family emergency tonight means no forecast until I get home, which I have no clue when that will be. I have not even looked at data to even give an accurate number.

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Post by rb924119 Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:03 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Family emergency tonight means no forecast until I get home, which I have no clue when that will be. I have not even looked at data to even give an accurate number.

Jesus dude, I hope everything is ok, and everyone is safe. Do what you gotta do man, we can hold our own for the night. Best of luck!!!

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Post by Guest Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:04 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Family emergency tonight means no forecast until I get home, which I have no clue when that will be. I have not even looked at data to even give an accurate number.

Hope things are ok Frank. Take care of your family. It's only snow. We got this..

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:27 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Family emergency tonight means no forecast until I get home, which I have no clue when that will be. I have not even looked at data to even give an accurate number.

Hope its nothing too serious, take care your fam, its most important : )
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Post by snow247 Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:31 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Family emergency tonight means no forecast until I get home, which I have no clue when that will be. I have not even looked at data to even give an accurate number.

Hope all is well, Frank.

Don't worry about your forecast, we'll take it from here.
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Post by Grselig Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:31 pm

Frank.  Hope all turns out ok
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:34 pm

Hope everything is ok Frank family first
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Post by rb924119 Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:40 pm

Hi guys, as promised here are my thoughts, as well as a detailed analysis of what I'm seeing so far with this event. At the end I put up my first call, so if you want to just skip to it feel free lol Any comments/feedback you have are greatly appreciated. Please note that it is the top article. Enjoy!!

http://themixedlayer.weebly.com/blog

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Post by Fededle22 Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:45 pm

Accuweather has me for 3-6 inches for Friday. Wow!
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Post by amugs Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:52 pm

Frank, family always comes first and I hope everything is okay. Take care kid, we'll hold the fort.

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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:57 pm

Frank, hope everything is ok....family first always...

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Snow88 Wed Mar 18, 2015 10:53 pm

0z NAM
March 20th Storm - Page 3 261m710
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Post by snow247 Wed Mar 18, 2015 11:04 pm

Deja vu! Looks great from the city on south! Again!
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Post by snow247 Wed Mar 18, 2015 11:11 pm

RGEM crushes the usual area
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Post by Math23x7 Wed Mar 18, 2015 11:13 pm

The 0Z RGEM has 25-30 dbz for a large portion of the daytime hours on Friday. If it were to come during the night time, we would be talking about significant accumulations. I think we needs the rates to be higher than that to override the March sun, but we'll see how it does in tomorrow's runs.

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