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May 2015 Observations and Discussions

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GreyBeard
algae888
Nyi1058
weatherwatchermom
Snow88
essexcountypete
docstox12
Math23x7
rb924119
ak926
Dtone
skinsfan1177
Dunnzoo
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Frank_Wx
jmanley32
amugs
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Post by Dtone Tue May 12, 2015 10:25 pm

Wind has been howling for a while now.
I have all west facing windows the wind feels great blowing through the house
down to 79*

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Post by algae888 Tue May 12, 2015 10:34 pm

3 beautiful spring days ahead with comfortable temps and humidity.
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Post by Dunnzoo Tue May 12, 2015 10:58 pm

Down to 67°

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Nyi1058 Wed May 13, 2015 7:41 am

Any updates for sat am ????!!!!!

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Post by Dunnzoo Wed May 13, 2015 7:57 am

Looks like light rain for the late morning, mostly in NNJ and LI, central and southern NJ later in the day.

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed May 13, 2015 9:33 am

61* and breezy overcast morning...
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed May 13, 2015 9:58 am

Feels so nice finally a spring day.
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
334 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2015

NJZ001-007>010-012>027-132200-
/O.UPG.KPHI.FW.A.0003.150513T1600Z-150513T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.FW.W.0004.150513T1600Z-150513T2200Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
334 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 600 PM.

* AFFECTED AREA...NORTHWESTERN, CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY...27 TO 32 PERCENT.

* MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES...GENERALLY FROM 65 TO AROUND 70 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...ANY WILDFIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS, LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS. ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP MAY QUICKLY GET OUT
OF CONTROL AND BECOME DIFFICULT TO CONTAIN.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT WILDFIRE DANGER, BURN RESTRICTIONS AND
WILDFIRE PREVENTION AND EDUCATION, PLEASE VISIT YOUR STATE
FORESTRY OR ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION WEB SITE.
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Post by amugs Wed May 13, 2015 10:53 am

54* for my low last night with a dew of 37* - gorgeous sleeping weather.

Pollen is off the charts, I have tumble weeds of pollen all over my area from the beautiful oak trees.

Could use the rain but rather it rain all night long than during the day on the weekend.

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Post by ak926 Thu May 14, 2015 1:55 am

High of 66 yesterday, currently 47 at 2am, 36 at Walpack ! Gotta love those tumble weeds everywhere. Hopefully see some rain this weekend .

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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu May 14, 2015 4:45 am

46° was my low over night
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Post by ak926 Thu May 14, 2015 4:55 am

I'm at 46 at 5am, Pequest and Walpack are at 32 degrees

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Post by amugs Thu May 14, 2015 7:35 am

44.5* for my low last night - crisp,clear morning, going to be a beautiful spring day - Now if we can get rid of the pollen it would be 10000000000x better!!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Nyi1058 Thu May 14, 2015 9:19 am

Hey fellas any updates yet on sat ? I'm looking for timing how much ect. The mets are saying am showers but not a washout .

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Post by Dunnzoo Thu May 14, 2015 9:57 am

@Nyi1058 wrote:Hey fellas any updates yet on sat ? I'm looking for timing how much ect. The mets are saying am showers but not a washout .

Yes showery, for LI it looks like it gets there a little later in the morning

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu May 14, 2015 9:59 am

@Angela0621 wrote:Thanks, I will keep checking in.  As long as we can get 3:30 to 4:30 dry we can pull off the ceremony on the beach!!

Some models are showing a small window down the shore in the afternoon, let's hope it holds for you!

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu May 14, 2015 10:15 am

Unfortunately the air looks unstable on Saturday so the threat of pop up showers or thunder showers are possible all day. The greatest risk will be in the afternoon hours. At this point, you just have to get lucky and hope the showers either miss you or come at a later or earlier time.

May 2015 Observations and Discussions - Page 5 Gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_12


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Post by Nyi1058 Thu May 14, 2015 1:03 pm

Thanks again frank I'll check back tomorrow for your " final call" rain map lol!!!

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Post by amugs Thu May 14, 2015 1:04 pm

Blah for Saturday into the night! If the NAM is right
May 2015 Observations and Discussions - Page 5 Post-90-0-38247400-1431615967
May 2015 Observations and Discussions - Page 5 Post-90-0-55158600-1431616486


_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Thu May 14, 2015 7:50 pm

@amugs wrote:Blah for Saturday into the night! If the NAM is right
May 2015 Observations and Discussions - Page 5 Post-90-0-38247400-1431615967
May 2015 Observations and Discussions - Page 5 Post-90-0-55158600-1431616486


wow thats pretty unstable, that may be severe level.
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Post by Nyi1058 Fri May 15, 2015 7:36 am

Any fine tuning for sat ???

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri May 15, 2015 9:15 am

For Saturday, I think the morning will be mainly dry with just a few showers around. Between 3-8pm I think there will be a threat for persistent showers which could get steady at times with isolated thunderstorms. Overall, not a great day. Hope that the timing works in your favor.

May 2015 Observations and Discussions - Page 5 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_7

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Post by Nyi1058 Fri May 15, 2015 11:46 am

That sounds perfect frank , I'm gonna be riding on the south shore of LI and hopefully get from Babylon to montauk by 1 pm

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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri May 15, 2015 9:00 pm

I hope  the rain misses all of us...down here we have to leave at 6:30 for the check in of our run(like I mentioned earlier post..getting powder thrown at you in the rain is not going to be pretty!!)..My son was all excited until I told him what time he had to be up..lol... Hope everyone has a great weekend!!!
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Post by docstox12 Sat May 16, 2015 6:46 am

Something I haven't seen in a long time.....nice, steady rain pretty much from 2AM to now.Nice to hear it with the windows open.Radar looks like it will become more spotty now.Cool, 55 degrees, 77% humidity.No wind.Nice for all the drying up lawns and new vegetation.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sat May 16, 2015 6:55 am

61° here shower overnight 89% humidity
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