June 2015 Obs and Discussion
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aiannone
sabamfa
oldtimer
nutleyblizzard
1190ftalt
RJB8525
algae888
GreyBeard
skinsfan1177
Math23x7
ak926
Snow88
snow247
Dtone
Quietace
Dunnzoo
Frank_Wx
CPcantmeasuresnow
jmanley32
docstox12
amugs
25 posters
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
.86 from the rain last night much needed and now I don't have to water the grass lol
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
skinsfan1177 wrote:.86 from the rain last night much needed and now I don't have to water the grass lol
Our sprinkler system is broken so anytime it rains my mom gets excited...
Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
This from Isotherm - one of our own
ECMWF weeklies continue with the idea of a weak trough in the Northeast from late June through mid July. Our area is projected to fall between the 582-588dm height lines much of the time, a zone typically favored for enhanced convection around the classic "ring of fire" heat ridge. The pattern will likely grow more conducive for Northeastern T-storms outbreaks as we head into late June and July
This from research on EML's that we will see during this time frame- how do i post a power point??
ECMWF weeklies continue with the idea of a weak trough in the Northeast from late June through mid July. Our area is projected to fall between the 582-588dm height lines much of the time, a zone typically favored for enhanced convection around the classic "ring of fire" heat ridge. The pattern will likely grow more conducive for Northeastern T-storms outbreaks as we head into late June and July
This from research on EML's that we will see during this time frame- how do i post a power point??
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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
It's looking more and more like a humid summer without the intense heat. That's ok by me... never liked the hot weather anyway. At least there will be lots of severe weather potential to track.amugs wrote:This from Isotherm - one of our own
ECMWF weeklies continue with the idea of a weak trough in the Northeast from late June through mid July. Our area is projected to fall between the 582-588dm height lines much of the time, a zone typically favored for enhanced convection around the classic "ring of fire" heat ridge. The pattern will likely grow more conducive for Northeastern T-storms outbreaks as we head into late June and July
This from research on EML's that we will see during this time frame- how do i post a power point??
nutleyblizzard- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
nutleyblizzard wrote:It's looking more and more like a humid summer without the intense heat. That's ok by me... never liked the hot weather anyway. At least there will be lots of severe weather potential to track.amugs wrote:This from Isotherm - one of our own
ECMWF weeklies continue with the idea of a weak trough in the Northeast from late June through mid July. Our area is projected to fall between the 582-588dm height lines much of the time, a zone typically favored for enhanced convection around the classic "ring of fire" heat ridge. The pattern will likely grow more conducive for Northeastern T-storms outbreaks as we head into late June and July
This from research on EML's that we will see during this time frame- how do i post a power point??
Nuts,
Absolutely - In a blog I have I said this - more humid than hot temps - 80's and humid - Mr. Nino and SE ridge/Bermuda high or how about this weather weenies from my Understanding the Weather course at Montclair State (then ) College in 1987 - Hadley High ?? Anyone? Anyone?? Crickets.................chirp........................chirp................
I know I was a weather geek - I was the only person in the class to read all 35 chapters!!!!!! Aced (like you Ryan - Ace) the course with an A.
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
Today is another top 10 day, sunny, no humidity, breezy, 73 right now at 1 in the afternoon.
Give me this all summer and you can keep the 80's and the humidity. Still no 90's yet and I'll be happy to keep it that way.
Give me this all summer and you can keep the 80's and the humidity. Still no 90's yet and I'll be happy to keep it that way.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
nutleyblizzard wrote:It's looking more and more like a humid summer without the intense heat. That's ok by me... never liked the hot weather anyway. At least there will be lots of severe weather potential to track.amugs wrote:This from Isotherm - one of our own
ECMWF weeklies continue with the idea of a weak trough in the Northeast from late June through mid July. Our area is projected to fall between the 582-588dm height lines much of the time, a zone typically favored for enhanced convection around the classic "ring of fire" heat ridge. The pattern will likely grow more conducive for Northeastern T-storms outbreaks as we head into late June and July
This from research on EML's that we will see during this time frame- how do i post a power point??
Agree... I can be without the intense heat. That is never fun.
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
Id rather it be very hot with no humidity honestly. Been to Colorado when its 90-100 and its really quite bearable compared to 80's and humid. Amazing how well defined bill still looked over night and today SOOO far inland, what can that be attributed too? I mean I do not ever recal lseeing pegetti models being posted from oklahoma!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
Sounds like a ruined fathers day, that stinks was gonna have a fun day at the park.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
jmanley32 wrote:Sounds like a ruined fathers day, that stinks was gonna have a fun day at the park.
Actually, we may be in some luck.
We could see the bulk of the rain move in Saturday afternoon, around 6pm, and be out by Sunday mid to late morning.
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
Oh gr8 the forecast said all day Sunday. Let's hope, will still b really wet out if we get 1 to 2 inches in that time.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
I think we need A lot of luck
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
jman Got neice wedding Sat in Nassau County They are doing part oustside starting at 7pm for one hour whats the chance??? Thanks
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
It's the Nam vs GFS and Euro. Nam has heaviest rain to the north in northern New Jersey and long island and the GFS/Euro are 100 miles south into Cnj and snj.
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
oldtimer wrote:jman Got neice wedding Sat in Nassau County They are doing part oustside starting at 7pm for one hour whats the chance??? Thanks
You should be ok. Mainly cloudy with maybe a shower.
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
Heaviest rain will fall Sunday at 7am
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
Thanks Frank Hope everything well with you
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
Dang that's really heavy.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
http://www.weather.gov/okx/
Hey, CP, wherever you are.Check this map out.AGAIN, the heavy precip goes S and E of us.No ratios to help out on this one, rain is rain.
Hazy sun but clouds rolling in.
Hey, CP, wherever you are.Check this map out.AGAIN, the heavy precip goes S and E of us.No ratios to help out on this one, rain is rain.
Hazy sun but clouds rolling in.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
GFS is still showing heavy rain Sunday morning
So is the GGEM
There will be a break in the action between 1-6pm, but more rain to come for those north of NYC by early evening.
So is the GGEM
There will be a break in the action between 1-6pm, but more rain to come for those north of NYC by early evening.
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
I have concert tickets out in Stanhope tomorrow night. What are you thinking for NNJ around 5-6pm and around 10-11pm Sunday?
sabamfa- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
I believe all the rain will be over by sunday night but I could be wrong. Bill is still trucking holding quite a spin, and its not moving very fast, by this time it was supposed to speed up so we could be in trouble in terms of flood potential. Since it has a circulation is svr wx also a possibility or is it not tropical enough in nature anymore to spawn such as tornados etc.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
Looking to the west there is svr tstorm watch and some warnings, its really going to depending where this thing goes.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
Okay after this next 12 -14 hour time frame of heavy rain we look to a possibly an potential very severe set up in the making Tuesday afternoon into the nighttime. Temps will pump into the 90* range with humidity and EML and instability in the atmosphere. Check out t his map for the cape instability. May even see a tornado or two or three spawn in the area of light blue. scary but still some time to go.
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
Be interesting to see if SPC, puts out a rare 4-8 day forecast if thats true. Thats pushing 2500-3000 CAPE wowza, ya that would be some svr wx for sure. I know there are other parameters but thats unstable to the max.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
Anyone have an idea of wind potential for tonight looks impressive
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June 2015 Obs and Discussion
Ha you'd think I would know right, well I dont belong to any sites now but I would think its possible especially down there you could see tstorms with wind.
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