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July 2015 Observations & Discussions

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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Jul 09, 2015 3:08 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Tornado watch issued in pa up to nj border. Sun keeps try come out. Funny how flood watch goes right around nj. That's odd. Mugs got latest nam high res?

Heaviest rains were expected to be north of us into the HV and NE, although storms would bring quick heavy downpours to our area. Sun keeps trying to come out here too, but not very successfully...

and as I say that, I see some blue sky appearing....

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 09, 2015 3:32 pm

Sunny here and get hot humid. Spc says tornado watch likely b expanded east.
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Post by docstox12 Thu Jul 09, 2015 4:13 pm

Suns been out the last half hour.Radar shows t storms building in PA.Going to get interesting around here soon.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 09, 2015 4:27 pm

Over pa the storms do not look all that svr. Maybe they have not hit prime area yet? Mountains too.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 09, 2015 4:31 pm

The spc moved slight categorical further east to include nyc area now.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 09, 2015 5:16 pm

I love how the new svr t storm watch is birds eye 5 miles to west of me over hudson lol 10 miles max.
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Post by algae888 Thu Jul 09, 2015 6:02 pm

Do not expect any severe weather tonight for most of the New York City metro area here is the latest from NWS...

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/... SEVERE TSTM WATCH 398 IN EFFECT FOR NE NJ UNTIL 11 PM. WATCHING DEVELOPING LINES OF STORMS ADVANCE EASTWARD INTO EASTERN PA. BOWING SEGMENT OVER SE PA MOVING EWD AT ALMOST 50 KT AND COULD REACH THE AREA AS EARLY AS 00Z-01Z. SEGMENTS TO THE NORTH MOVING MORE SLOWLY AT 30 KT ARE MORE LIKELY TO REACH THE WATCH AREA BETWEEN 01Z-02Z. METAR OBS AT 21Z INDICATE SFC WARM FRONT HAS ADVANCED TO A LINE ROUGHLY FROM FWN-MMU-WRI...AND DO NOT EXPECT MUCH MORE EWD PROGRESS THIS EVENING GIVEN SE FLOW BACKING SLIGHTLY AT EWR AND GUSTING TO 17 KT AT TEB...BOTH ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. THINK STORMS SHOULD QUICKLY WEAKEN AS THEY ENCOUNTER THE MORE STABLE MARITIME LOW LEVEL AIR MASS TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT...BUT COULD STILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE WX IN THE COUNTIES JUST ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY...WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF NE NJ AND PERHAPS STATEN ISLAND. THE REST OF NYC AND AREAS NORTH/EAST ARE LESS LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE SEVERE WX DUE TO THE MORE STABLE MARINE ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE...AND SO WERE NOT INCLUDED IN THE WATCH.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 09, 2015 6:21 pm

I'll take a regular old t-storm too any day. One thing I noted temp has gone up 8 degrees in just the past several hours, usually dropping now.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 09, 2015 7:33 pm

Yep dying out just go b some moderate to heavy rain maybe a clap thunder. Good call al.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Jul 09, 2015 7:39 pm

That line of storms looks impressive heading into Cnj lets see if it stays together we have had our fair share here
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Post by ak926 Thu Jul 09, 2015 8:44 pm

no thunder here , .22 of rain so far in the last hour

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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Jul 09, 2015 8:50 pm

As Frank would say "Yawn", I'm curious to see how central and southern NJ make out, looks impressive but I didn't see any impressive wind reports yet...

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by billg315 Thu Jul 09, 2015 9:19 pm

These storms, at least here in Somerville, were rather pedestrian. Some heavy rain. I heard maybe one or two claps of thunder, no real strong wind gusts that I could see. If I were standing outside holding a golf club in the air I wouldn't have been all that scared.
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Post by ak926 Fri Jul 10, 2015 9:25 am

I had .37 in the rain bucket from yesterdays showers. It looked like the line of t-storms ( watch till 11pm ) died just to my west and the heaviest went further south. KPNE had a wind gust to 33kts , which was about the strongest wind I could find.
Today looks to be a top 10 day !
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Jul 10, 2015 10:42 am

Still only one day of 90 this year when it briefly touched 90 on June 23rd in Central Park.

If it were not for that brief 30 minutes NYC would have had a good chance of setting the record for the latest 90 degree reading in any year which if memory serves is July 17th. Maybe Dtone or Math can verify or correct me on that one.

70 degrees right now a cool breeze and no humidity. So far this is my summer made to order.
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Post by Dtone Fri Jul 10, 2015 11:46 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Still only one day of 90 this year when it briefly touched 90 on June 23rd in Central Park.

If it were not for that brief 30 minutes NYC would have had a good chance of setting the record for the latest 90 degree reading in any year which if memory serves is July 17th. Maybe Dtone or Math can verify or correct me on that one.

70 degrees right now a cool breeze and no humidity. So far this is my summer made to order.

The last few days were terribly muggy, I can handle dry low 90s better than those upper 80s/70+ dewpts and nights barely below 80.
Overall I agree it has been a tame summer. A little drier and would be perfect if your not a fan of heat.
7/26 is the latest first 90. Happened back in 1877.

CPK would have a couple more if it wasn't in a dense forest, most places not on the immediate coast have at least a handful by now.

CPK 1
LGA 3
JFK 1
Newark 8
Teterboro 10
Trenton 6
Philly 9
Islip 0



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Post by amugs Fri Jul 10, 2015 1:54 pm

@Dtone wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Still only one day of 90 this year when it briefly touched 90 on June 23rd in Central Park.

If it were not for that brief 30 minutes NYC would have had a good chance of setting the record for the latest 90 degree reading in any year which if memory serves is July 17th. Maybe Dtone or Math can verify or correct me on that one.

70 degrees right now a cool breeze and no humidity. So far this is my summer made to order.

The last few days were terribly muggy, I can handle dry low 90s better than those upper 80s/70+ dewpts and nights barely below 80.
Overall I agree it has been a tame summer. A little drier and would be perfect if your not a fan of heat.
7/26  is the latest first 90. Happened back in 1877.

CPK would have a couple more if it wasn't in a dense forest, most places not on the immediate coast have at least a handful by now.

CPK 1
LGA 3
JFK 1
Newark 8
Teterboro 10
Trenton 6
Philly 9
Islip 0


Throw Newark and Teteboro out - their instrumentation is on the tarmac for god's sake!! Laughing Laughing

Recorded .42" from last nights rain. Nothing happened everything dies out to to lack of instability cause by the SE flow/winds which brought a marine layer in and protected us if you would say from these severe storms, happens a lot.

With the stats above the great Roger Bricker brought this up at a NJWO meeting in the fall about how the instrumentation for recorded weather data is mostly at airport or in the urban heat island. Many of the co-op and rural weather stations have been dismantled or put out to pasture since their is no one to check them on a daily basis. I think he said something like over 5000 have been mothballed due to this on the east coast, maybe north america but anyway a big number that can skew such data.

Anyway, beautiful day 79* and full sun with low humidity. Great weekend on tap for everyone to enjoy - next week is unsettled heck probably until the end of the month with some possible 90* days filtering in but not long stretch of such warmth. Time will tell.


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Post by docstox12 Sat Jul 11, 2015 5:58 am

Beautiful cool (60 degrees) , clear and calm morning.Gorgeous stretch of summer weather, really enjoying it.
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Post by ak926 Sun Jul 12, 2015 9:47 am

Such a nice day yesterday, I expect a few degrees warmer today, maybe 86 here in Rockaway, likely a few places will reach 90 degrees. ( not talking KEWR or KTEB ).

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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Jul 12, 2015 9:58 am

Imo best weekend so far this summer
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Post by ak926 Sun Jul 12, 2015 10:00 am

Oh yes, the best we this summer. skinsfan think you may hit 90 degrees today ? What was your Max Temp yesterday ?
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Post by ak926 Sun Jul 12, 2015 9:05 pm

89 for Central Park today, 89 KTEB, 91 KEWR, 90 KPHL, 86 here in Rockaway

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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Jul 12, 2015 9:15 pm

Awesome weekend! Just like summer should be! But back to instability this week for Tuesday/Wednesday.

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by algae888 Sun Jul 12, 2015 9:24 pm

if there is on word to describe spring/summer it would be "quiet". actually we haven't had any big storms for awhile now. maybe juno but for only parts of our area. seems like since sandy in 2012 the weather has not been extreme in our neck of the woods. very quiet.
edit: that doesn't mean we have not had lots of rain and snow just nothing worth remembering.
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Post by docstox12 Mon Jul 13, 2015 6:22 am

Partly cloudy, cool, 61.7 and very humid 93% up here this morning.A round of unsettled weather tonight through Weds night followed by a gorgeous stretch of 60's-low 80's.

It's been a beautiful summer so far up here in the HV NY. No extended hot and humid stretches.I'm sure the summer has one up it's sleeve there for us late July through August.

Al, after Sandy I hope we don't see extremes for years to come and it stays just like this.For the summer, anyway.
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