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September Observations/ Discussion

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Post by Math23x7 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:17 pm

What does the 12Z EURO say about the potential weekend system?

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:19 pm

Watching it now math, as for tomorrow has areawide 1-3 inches, the higher is more widespread. At 84 hrs it is 999mb moving more toward FL, interesting.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:21 pm

OMG I can tell this is going to be a huge run, watch the media go nuts. starting its turn north next frame with a HUGE moisture fetch.

September Observations/ Discussion  - Page 11 Ecmwf_10
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:29 pm

Wow, starting a retrograde. What did I say Euro would start to pick up on this around same time it did Sandy.

September Observations/ Discussion  - Page 11 Ecmwf_11
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 28, 2015 2:32 pm

Wow huge landfall in VA, huge change misses the area, just one run and 5+ days out, gonna change a lot but its now being progged by Euro as a major hurricane. We get drowned though.
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Post by amugs Mon Sep 28, 2015 4:41 pm

LdSeptember Observations/ Discussion  - Page 11 StormTotalQPFFcst

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 28, 2015 4:43 pm

@amugs wrote:LdSeptember Observations/ Discussion  - Page 11 StormTotalQPFFcst

Damnit mugs I just opied this to paste it lol, rain totals going up. Gonna be a rough few days but if the next plays out nothing like that.
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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Sep 28, 2015 6:32 pm

Nws have blown these maps the last few events in NNJ, not holding my breath...

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by snow247 Mon Sep 28, 2015 7:10 pm

Finally

September Observations/ Discussion  - Page 11 2cn6opl
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Post by snow247 Tue Sep 29, 2015 9:00 pm

We may not see the sun for at least a week.
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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Sep 29, 2015 9:37 pm

So muggy, it's like Florida! Had a little rain earlier, waiting on the rest...

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by billg315 Tue Sep 29, 2015 9:53 pm

Yeah this humidity today reminds me of when I was in New Orleans and it felt like you could swim in the air.
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Post by amugs Wed Sep 30, 2015 8:31 am

Can cut the humidity with a knife - YUCKKK!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Nyi1058 Wed Sep 30, 2015 9:12 am

Hey can anybody fine tune sat forecast for Vernon NJ? I'm supposed to go on a little getaway with my girlfriend , however if it's raining she wants to cancel . Unfortunately most of the activities are outdoors, and we have to cancel by 4pm today Sad . Just wanna have an idea of what you guys think

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Post by HectorO Wed Sep 30, 2015 2:00 pm

@snow247 wrote:Finally

September Observations/ Discussion  - Page 11 2cn6opl

I think these temps are going to be a bit different depending on when the storm hits. We'll be probably seeing some warm humid air instead of cooler temps if it heads this way.
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