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October 2015 Observations & Discussions

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Math23x7
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Post by Quietace Sat Oct 24, 2015 10:11 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@NjWeatherGuy wrote:Patricia breaks records, 879mb pressure and 200mph winds. Wow....

For those of us over 50 that are still getting use to Millibar measurements, that's  a 25.96 barometric reading which is ridiculous.
My Wx Analysis teacher says they want to phase out mb for hPa

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Oct 24, 2015 10:55 am

October 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 16 11050113_987215124655511_2238784143120665066_n

Remnant energy from Hurricane Patricia will work its way into the U.S. The Gulf Coast of TX and LA will see heavy rain from from this early in the week. A piece of polar energy is going to swing down and phase with Patricias energy to develop a strong low pressure system into the Lakes.

As a result, we'll see steady rain Wednesday into early Thursday morning. Another storm is possible around November 1st.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Oct 24, 2015 10:56 am

The rain tomorrow morning will be very light. Not much of an event. Will clear between 8-9am

October 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 16 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f30

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Post by amugs Sat Oct 24, 2015 2:32 pm

Flurries very sporadic bit nonetheless 2 Weekes Ina. Row up here at my bro in law in Yorktown wth????

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Post by aiannone Sat Oct 24, 2015 3:31 pm

@amugs wrote:Flurries very sporadic bit nonetheless 2 Weekes Ina. Row up here at my bro in law in Yorktown wth????

Temps in the 50s, you sure about that?
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Post by docstox12 Sat Oct 24, 2015 3:58 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:28.0 this morning, Doc beat me by 1 degree. Although I believe my 19.2 last weekend did beat his 20.

This should do it for the lawn I hope.

CP, you are right.I only got to 20.1 that day so you got me there.

54 degrees now, 64% 30.16 R .Cloudy and raw.
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Post by amugs Sat Oct 24, 2015 8:57 pm

@aiannone wrote:
@amugs wrote:Flurries very sporadic bit nonetheless 2 Weekes Ina. Row up here at my bro in law in Yorktown wth????

Temps in the 50s, you sure about that?

Not at 1:30 at 11:39 when we came out of church for my nieces confirmation. Was 40* at the time. Very light and sporadic but was flurrying.

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Post by docstox12 Sun Oct 25, 2015 5:56 am

49 degrees, 91%, 29.92F.Light rain. .09 in the bucket so far.
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Post by Dtone Sun Oct 25, 2015 8:37 am

60* cloudy skies.
Another batch of rain approaching, may be the last.

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Post by docstox12 Sun Oct 25, 2015 8:40 am

Radar shows rain is done.. .20 final total.


Last edited by docstox12 on Sun Oct 25, 2015 9:25 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Dtone Sun Oct 25, 2015 8:57 am

Good i need it to stop in 30 mins.
a suprisingly good downpour now.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Oct 25, 2015 10:56 am

It's a lazy Sunday. Overcast and showers this morning will lead to clearing in the afternoon. Steady rain is expected Wednesday from a storm tracking to our west. About 1-2 inches of rain expected.  Halloween looks dry and cool. 


This week I'll be looking for the latest update with ONI values in the ENSO regions. Will the trend of a cooling 1+2 and warming 3.4 continue? 


My Winter Outlook will be released next Monday. I changed it to Monday instead of Sunday because now my job wants to read / use it. I'll aim for 10am release that morning. 

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Post by Quietace Sun Oct 25, 2015 11:29 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:It's a lazy Sunday. Overcast and showers this morning will lead to clearing in the afternoon. Steady rain is expected Wednesday from a storm tracking to our west. About 1-2 inches of rain expected.  Halloween looks dry and cool. 


This week I'll be looking for the latest update with ONI values in the ENSO regions. Will the trend of a cooling 1+2 and warming 3.4 continue? 


My Winter Outlook will be released next Monday. I changed it to Monday instead of Sunday because now my job wants to read / use it. I'll aim for 10am release that morning. 
October 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 16 7de67cd0d8cf58592fbb37f02f53c6a768ec22a25b0a32b34d8847eff5e55f49

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Oct 25, 2015 12:03 pm

Font is bigger cause I copied from the Facebook page. Is that ok with you, meme guy?

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Post by Quietace Sun Oct 25, 2015 12:23 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Font is bigger cause I copied from the Facebook page. Is that ok with you, meme guy?
October 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 16 U-mad-1

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Post by docstox12 Sun Oct 25, 2015 12:28 pm

Big Font good for my aging eyes.Like those AARP cellphones with the BIG numbers,LOL.

Sorry about not being on Facebook.It took me 50 years to get away from people I hate and I'm not giving them a chance to find me again.Same with Twitter.

60 degrees, 81%, 29.93. Cloudy
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Oct 26, 2015 9:53 am

Well this isn't long range nor is it a observation yet but this only place I thought to put it.  As frank posted in LR 10m sustained winds 20-30mph, euro is showing some pretty high gusts, especially upstate where if the map is accurate they could see 55mph gusts or higher.  Looks like our area is about 40-55 with the higher probably  too high.  But depends on the actual strength of the cutter.

October 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 16 Ecmwf_16
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Post by Math23x7 Mon Oct 26, 2015 2:23 pm

What is the likelihood of tomorrow night's World Series game in Kansas City getting rained out?

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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Oct 26, 2015 2:49 pm

@Math23x7 wrote:What is the likelihood of tomorrow night's World Series game in Kansas City getting rained out?

Not likely, looks like rain moves out by game time, maybe a few leftover sprinkles...weather looks good for all the WS games through Sunday. LGM!

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Post by amugs Mon Oct 26, 2015 3:19 pm

Wet - get out the Depends!!

October 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 16 Gfs_namer_096_precip_ptot

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Oct 27, 2015 8:06 am

28.9 this morning, the 6th sub freezing morning of the month.

That should do it for the lawn, I hope.

So October brought us out first flakes and first night in the teens, 19.2.

November so far to my untrained eye does not look as promising.
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Post by docstox12 Tue Oct 27, 2015 8:34 am

29.6 low here CP.Heavy frost for the second morning. 32 now, 91%, 30.41 R. Sunny, some high clouds building.

We'll see what Frank has to say next week.
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Post by Guest Tue Oct 27, 2015 8:49 am

CAN SOMEONE PLEASE EXPLAIN/DIAGNOSE Jman's OBSESSION WITH WIND????  One of the admins. on here needs to set up some kind of tracking system to see how many times a month he mentions wind or posts long range fantasy wind maps. Laughing Laughing Laughing

I think he suffered some kind of emotional trauma watching Dorothy in Kansas on the yellow brick road when he was a kid.

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Post by amugs Tue Oct 27, 2015 9:32 am

36* this morning with a patchy frost by my in H'dale - more on the ground as i headed to work In Allendale - NW of me

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Post by algae888 Tue Oct 27, 2015 9:38 am

snow growth Very Happy as of yesterday
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10 days ago
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26th 2014
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