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Wx Banter Thread 2.0

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Jan 07, 2016 7:11 pm

That track and pressure is like a stronger 96 but it probably wouldnt move as slow. Incredible blocking that storm, man what a tease.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 7:12 pm

Ahh this is everything I need to make my whole year lol

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 37 Gfs_ms12
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Post by Guest Thu Jan 07, 2016 7:13 pm

It's been showing for 2 days now. Both on the gfs. It's waffled back and forth between a cutter and roidzilla

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 7:13 pm

NjWeatherGuy wrote:That track and pressure is like a stronger 96 but it probably wouldnt move as slow. Incredible blocking that storm, man what a tease.
No it jets right out of there which makes the totals even crazier, but so much as we know could and will change over the next 7-10 days.
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Post by Guest Thu Jan 07, 2016 7:15 pm

Yesterday it showed it stalling out in the perfect spot for 2 days!

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 7:18 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Yesterday it showed it stalling out in the perfect spot for 2 days!

Which run was that?
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 7:30 pm

Holy crap, Mini Juno part 2, closer image of NYC of snow totals frank posted. At 240 hrs its 12 inches in NYC at 252 only 12 hrs later is 27! Holy toledo! NYC and southern WC in jackpot : ) Such weather porn lol

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 37 Gfs_6h12
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Post by frank 638 Thu Jan 07, 2016 7:33 pm

it looks like we are not going to get that much sleep anytime soon and this storm will make Juno cry I am so exci Thumbs up party

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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Jan 07, 2016 7:33 pm

I'll start believing at 3 days away but at least something to look forward too
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 7:36 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:I'll start believing at 3 days away but at least something to look forward too

Yeah I know it sux we gotta way 6-7 days to be sure, i wonder how the city would handle another juno like situation and it actually happens.
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Post by devsman Thu Jan 07, 2016 7:39 pm

If storm hits as is, it will be on MLK day. Schools and some businesses closed. That leaves them alot of wiggle room.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 07, 2016 7:41 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:HERE IS WHAT A ROIDZILLA LOOKS LIKE. 2 FEET OF SNOW FOR ALL. JANUARY 17TH!

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 37 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f240

Hey buddy.  It's only the GFS and 10 days away but.......This is the storm I posted about yesterday afternoon.  It looks like it goes from Hatteras to East of Cape Cod but takes over 2 days to do so.  At that intensity, and at that speed verbatim I think we go 30"+ area wide. Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy party party party party party party party party party party party lol! lol! lol! lol! lol! lol! lol! lol! lol!

Could you imagine what this forum would be like inside of 3 days if this verifies.  CP would be in cardiac arrest or an assylum!!

I am so bleary eyed...(in ER with son all day...he's ok thank goodness-who knew there is a virus that presents itself like appendicitis...)but it that a real possibility...why is the 32*degree line going thru the middle of the state? or is that not ground temp?

Glad he's doing better. And no point of looking at temp profiles. They'll change many many more times.

jmanley32 wrote:It shows a lot less than 2 feet eastern areas but I assume thats bc, its not in its last frame?

Truncation ruined the run for our area.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:04 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:HERE IS WHAT A ROIDZILLA LOOKS LIKE. 2 FEET OF SNOW FOR ALL. JANUARY 17TH!

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 37 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f240

Hey buddy.  It's only the GFS and 10 days away but.......This is the storm I posted about yesterday afternoon.  It looks like it goes from Hatteras to East of Cape Cod but takes over 2 days to do so.  At that intensity, and at that speed verbatim I think we go 30"+ area wide. Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy party party party party party party party party party party party lol! lol! lol! lol! lol! lol! lol! lol! lol!

Could you imagine what this forum would be like inside of 3 days if this verifies.  CP would be in cardiac arrest or an assylum!!

I am so bleary eyed...(in ER with son all day...he's ok thank goodness-who knew there is a virus that presents itself like appendicitis...)but it that a real possibility...why is the 32*degree line going thru the middle of the state? or is that not ground temp?

Glad he's doing better. And no point of looking at temp profiles. They'll change many many more times.

jmanley32 wrote:It shows a lot less than 2 feet eastern areas but I assume thats bc, its not in its last frame?

Truncation ruined the run for our area.
actually if u look above we do just as well 25 to 30 at 252 hrs.I don't remember what truncation is but am go look it up. Let's hope this becomes a trend. True it would b on a day off.
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Post by billg315 Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:04 pm

Way too far out to get my hopes up, but if it's still around on the models come Monday, I'll be hooked. So here's how it goes: This weekend rumblings reach social media and all our friends/co-workers who know we study the weather will start asking, "Is it true we're getting three feet of snow next weekend?"; Early next week the TV mets start saying, "We're keeping our eye on the potential for a major storm, likely snow, this coming weekend."; Around mid-week the models start waffling and everyone here gets ready to jump off a ledge and give up on the winter; By Friday the models are back in agreement and the supermarkets get flooded with people stocking up on batteries, milk, eggs and (in my case) beer. Then we spend an entirely sleepless weekend following every change in every model run for 48 straight hours. So there you have it, our next 10 days is mapped out.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:06 pm

So it's very possible just as is many things that that 30 plus area could show in our area in future runs. But this could also back off or is there a decent possibility of this or pure fantasy?
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:17 pm

27"-28" would be record breaking here. That being said its not gonna happen with my luck...
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Post by devsman Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:18 pm

billg315 wrote:Way too far out to get my hopes up, but if it's still around on the models come Monday, I'll be hooked. So here's how it goes: This weekend rumblings reach social media and all our friends/co-workers who know we study the weather will start asking, "Is it true we're getting three feet of snow next weekend?"; Early next week the TV mets start saying, "We're keeping our eye on the potential for a major storm, likely snow, this coming weekend.";  Around mid-week the models start waffling and everyone here gets ready to jump off a ledge and give up on the winter; By Friday the models are back in agreement and the supermarkets get flooded with people stocking up on batteries, milk, eggs and (in my case) beer. Then we spend an entirely sleepless weekend following every change in every model run for 48 straight hours. So there you have it, our next 10 days is mapped out.

Knew my new years resolution should have not been to give up red bull and vodkas.
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Post by Snowfall Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:30 pm

As mlk said I had a dream and the dream might come true


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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:30 pm

NjWeatherGuy wrote:27"-28" would be record breaking here. That being said its not gonna happen with my luck...

Shhh lol if you wish it it will come.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:38 pm

It may be 9-10 days off but at least its not 16, I try to look at it like that, Bernie Rayno had a tweet that said if you WANT a storm hop the GFS has it disappear them come back. lol kinda true
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:41 pm

Okay, I know this belongs in tropics section but this is NOT tropical season for atlantic. seriously how often do you see this in January! Crazy weather this year

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 37 Two_at10
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:47 pm

billg315 wrote:Way too far out to get my hopes up, but if it's still around on the models come Monday, I'll be hooked. So here's how it goes: This weekend rumblings reach social media and all our friends/co-workers who know we study the weather will start asking, "Is it true we're getting three feet of snow next weekend?"; Early next week the TV mets start saying, "We're keeping our eye on the potential for a major storm, likely snow, this coming weekend.";  Around mid-week the models start waffling and everyone here gets ready to jump off a ledge and give up on the winter; By Friday the models are back in agreement and the supermarkets get flooded with people stocking up on batteries, milk, eggs and (in my case) beer. Then we spend an entirely sleepless weekend following every change in every model run for 48 straight hours. So there you have it, our next 10 days is mapped out.

More like this:

The GFS continues outputting a Roidzilla type storm each run. Twitter bursts into a frenzy with snowfall maps and references to historical blizzards such as 1996. TV Mets begin hinting of the possibility this weekend. Once the week starts, their tone changes from skepticism to acknowledgment this is actually possible. The EURO, CMC, NAVGEM, UKMET begin showing the same thing as the GFS. Weenies reach an extreme level of ween and start making snow maps for a storm still 7 days out. Soon, these snow maps go viral then Mets have to take the time to explain how the general public should not follow social media to track storms. We're within 5-6 days and the GFS loses the storm. People complain how awful the GFS is and that we should only follow the EURO. The same day, the EURO loses the storm. The weenies already wave the white flag. Some overdose on sleeping pills so they can wake up by next winter. Others Google where the nearest bridge is.

We're now within 4 days and the EURO brings the storm back. There's a celebration among the masses. The TV Mets are officially hyping the crap out of the storm telling everyone it will rival Sandy. Home Depot turns into a circus and supermarkets to battelfields. The fight for the last loaf of bread always seems to be between two mom's who honestly have no clue what the F they're doing. They just need milk and bread. Seriously, why not nutella? Just a suggestion. The dads at Home Depot go for the cheapest snowblower there is. Unfortunately some are stuck purchasing the $5,000 one. If you're my Italian Nonna then you'll make sure to windex the hell out of it after the storm so you can return it back to Home Depot.

Well, we're now within 3 days and the SREFS confirm a Roidzilla is coming. Some people are worried the spread is too far east and subsequent runs will push the storm out to sea. Others start reminiscing about Juno and how 2.0 may happen. Weenies attack those people as if they just kidnapped their child or took their winning PowerBall lottery ticket. The SREFS in the PM run have a spread closer to the coast and the Powerball winner is so happy he says the first weenie to make a snow map showing his backyard in the jackpot will get half his money.

We're within 24 hours from this epic storm. The sky turns ominous and the air begins to smell like snow. No point in going to the supermarket unless you're looking for the soul you lost when you were there 2 days prior. At this point, weenies, enthusiasts, and Mets alike have slept 16 hours total in the last 6 days. Since family members know you're the weather nerd you receive endless emails and texts asking how much snow the area will get.

Let's be honest, the morning of the storm rivals Christmas Day. Everyone is in their glory and - naturally - check the 06z to make sure nothing has changed that would require die hard fans to be rushed to the ER.

And that's how the cookie will crumble.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:51 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
billg315 wrote:Way too far out to get my hopes up, but if it's still around on the models come Monday, I'll be hooked. So here's how it goes: This weekend rumblings reach social media and all our friends/co-workers who know we study the weather will start asking, "Is it true we're getting three feet of snow next weekend?"; Early next week the TV mets start saying, "We're keeping our eye on the potential for a major storm, likely snow, this coming weekend.";  Around mid-week the models start waffling and everyone here gets ready to jump off a ledge and give up on the winter; By Friday the models are back in agreement and the supermarkets get flooded with people stocking up on batteries, milk, eggs and (in my case) beer. Then we spend an entirely sleepless weekend following every change in every model run for 48 straight hours. So there you have it, our next 10 days is mapped out.

More like this:

The GFS continues outputting a Roidzilla type storm each run. Twitter bursts into a frenzy with snowfall maps and references to historical blizzards such as 1996. TV Mets begin hinting of the possibility this weekend. Once the week starts, their tone changes from skepticism to acknowledgment this is actually possible. The EURO, CMC, NAVGEM, UKMET begin showing the same thing as the GFS. Weenies reach an extreme level of ween and start making snow maps for a storm still 7 days out. Soon, these snow maps go viral then Mets have to take the time to explain how the general public should not follow social media to track storms. We're within 5-6 days and the GFS loses the storm. People complain how awful the GFS is and that we should only follow the EURO. The same day, the EURO loses the storm. The weenies already wave the white flag. Some overdose on sleeping pills so they can wake up by next winter. Others Google where the nearest bridge is.

We're now within 4 days and the EURO brings the storm back. There's a celebration among the masses. The TV Mets are officially hyping the crap out of the storm telling everyone it will rival Sandy. Home Depot turns into a circus and supermarkets to battelfields. The fight for the last loaf of bread always seems to be between two mom's who honestly have no clue what the F they're doing. They just need milk and bread. Seriously, why not nutella? Just a suggestion. The dads at Home Depot go for the cheapest snowblower there is. Unfortunately some are stuck purchasing the $5,000 one. If you're my Italian Nonna then you'll make sure to windex the hell out of it after the storm so you can return it back to Home Depot.

Well, we're now within 3 days and the SREFS confirm a Roidzilla is coming. Some people are worried the spread is too far east and subsequent runs will push the storm out to sea. Others start reminiscing about Juno and how 2.0 may happen. Weenies attack those people as if they just kidnapped their child or took their winning PowerBall lottery ticket. The SREFS in the PM run have a spread closer to the coast and the Powerball winner is so happy he says the first weenie to make a snow map showing his backyard in the jackpot will get half his money.

We're within 24 hours from this epic storm. The sky turns ominous and the air begins to smell like snow. No point in going to the supermarket unless you're looking for the soul you lost when you were there 2 days prior. At this point, weenies, enthusiasts, and Mets alike have slept 16 hours total in the last 6 days. Since family members know you're the weather nerd you receive endless emails and texts asking how much snow the area will get.

Let's be honest, the morning of the storm rivals Christmas Day. Everyone is in their glory and - naturally - check the 06z to make sure nothing has changed that would require die hard fans to be rushed to the ER.

And that's how the cookie will crumble.

So your saying its going to happen lol, this is so true. But what gets me is the people who buy meat and doritos, no joke thats what I see here in Yonkers, if theres going to be a storm of that magnitude why buy perishibles with the chance of power failure, and doritas? Yeah they are good but a mad dash? Some people are just too funny
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Post by billg315 Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:52 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
billg315 wrote:Way too far out to get my hopes up, but if it's still around on the models come Monday, I'll be hooked. So here's how it goes: This weekend rumblings reach social media and all our friends/co-workers who know we study the weather will start asking, "Is it true we're getting three feet of snow next weekend?"; Early next week the TV mets start saying, "We're keeping our eye on the potential for a major storm, likely snow, this coming weekend.";  Around mid-week the models start waffling and everyone here gets ready to jump off a ledge and give up on the winter; By Friday the models are back in agreement and the supermarkets get flooded with people stocking up on batteries, milk, eggs and (in my case) beer. Then we spend an entirely sleepless weekend following every change in every model run for 48 straight hours. So there you have it, our next 10 days is mapped out.

More like this:

The GFS continues outputting a Roidzilla type storm each run. Twitter bursts into a frenzy with snowfall maps and references to historical blizzards such as 1996. TV Mets begin hinting of the possibility this weekend. Once the week starts, their tone changes from skepticism to acknowledgment this is actually possible. The EURO, CMC, NAVGEM, UKMET begin showing the same thing as the GFS. Weenies reach an extreme level of ween and start making snow maps for a storm still 7 days out. Soon, these snow maps go viral then Mets have to take the time to explain how the general public should not follow social media to track storms. We're within 5-6 days and the GFS loses the storm. People complain how awful the GFS is and that we should only follow the EURO. The same day, the EURO loses the storm. The weenies already wave the white flag. Some overdose on sleeping pills so they can wake up by next winter. Others Google where the nearest bridge is.

We're now within 4 days and the EURO brings the storm back. There's a celebration among the masses. The TV Mets are officially hyping the crap out of the storm telling everyone it will rival Sandy. Home Depot turns into a circus and supermarkets to battelfields. The fight for the last loaf of bread always seems to be between two mom's who honestly have no clue what the F they're doing. They just need milk and bread. Seriously, why not nutella? Just a suggestion. The dads at Home Depot go for the cheapest snowblower there is. Unfortunately some are stuck purchasing the $5,000 one. If you're my Italian Nonna then you'll make sure to windex the hell out of it after the storm so you can return it back to Home Depot.

Well, we're now within 3 days and the SREFS confirm a Roidzilla is coming. Some people are worried the spread is too far east and subsequent runs will push the storm out to sea. Others start reminiscing about Juno and how 2.0 may happen. Weenies attack those people as if they just kidnapped their child or took their winning PowerBall lottery ticket. The SREFS in the PM run have a spread closer to the coast and the Powerball winner is so happy he says the first weenie to make a snow map showing his backyard in the jackpot will get half his money.

We're within 24 hours from this epic storm. The sky turns ominous and the air begins to smell like snow. No point in going to the supermarket unless you're looking for the soul you lost when you were there 2 days prior. At this point, weenies, enthusiasts, and Mets alike have slept 16 hours total in the last 6 days. Since family members know you're the weather nerd you receive endless emails and texts asking how much snow the area will get.

Let's be honest, the morning of the storm rivals Christmas Day. Everyone is in their glory and - naturally - check the 06z to make sure nothing has changed that would require die hard fans to be rushed to the ER.

And that's how the cookie will crumble.

HAHAHA! Excellent. Love it. Especially: "Seriously, why not nutella? Just a suggestion."
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 07, 2016 8:58 pm

Haha. Let fun begin.

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