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Wx Banter Thread 2.0

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Post by amugs Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:08 pm

@devsman wrote:If storm hits as is, it will be on MLK day. Schools and some businesses closed. That leaves them alot of wiggle room.

Devs if a storm of tjis magnitude hits we won't see school for at least 3 days trust me I have been in school since 1973 and the 96 and 78 blizzard closed us for 3 days ONLY the great 94 MLK,and we seem to get these storms around this time, ice storm closed us for a week, some remember this.

This is awesome to see and would.love this 36 hours out like BD 2010!! I am interested in the going forward here at 500 that will bring us such goods as 1958, 2011. Frabk awesome post

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:11 pm

Mugsy just needs his Bailey's, and I may need to snowshoe the 2 miles to his house to help him finish it! Maybe we should start stocking bread in our freezers and getting extra cans of soup now! Lol

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by snow247 Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:14 pm

Fun times ahead, buckle up.
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Post by devsman Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:20 pm

@amugs wrote:
@devsman wrote:If storm hits as is, it will be on MLK day. Schools and some businesses closed. That leaves them alot of wiggle room.

Devs if a storm of tjis magnitude hits we won't see school  for at least 3 days trust me I have been in school since 1973 and the 96 and 78 blizzard closed us for 3 days ONLY the great 94 MLK,and we seem to get these storms around this time, ice storm closed us for a week, some remember this.

This is awesome  to see  and would.love this 36 hours out like BD 2010!! I am interested in the going forward here at 500 that will bring us such goods as 1958, 2011. Frabk awesome post

I'm in a NYC school as a teacher. Armageddon can hit and we'll open Tuesday at 8am.
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Post by amugs Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:26 pm

@devsman wrote:
@amugs wrote:
@devsman wrote:If storm hits as is, it will be on MLK day. Schools and some businesses closed. That leaves them alot of wiggle room.

Devs if a storm of tjis magnitude hits we won't see school  for at least 3 days trust me I have been in school since 1973 and the 96 and 78 blizzard closed us for 3 days ONLY the great 94 MLK,and we seem to get these storms around this time, ice storm closed us for a week, some remember this.

This is awesome  to see  and would.love this 36 hours out like BD 2010!! I am interested in the going forward here at 500 that will bring us such goods as 1958, 2011. Frabk awesome post

I'm in a NYC school as a teacher. Armageddon can hit and we'll open Tuesday at 8am.

That Sucks - My aunt taught 38 years in NYC pubix school and had 4 snow days here entire career - 78 blizzard, 96 blizz

I am making 2 more batches - 1/2 gallon this weekend and I have 4 lbs of homemade cannoli cream.

PS - I have surgery on the 14th so I will be out of commish for couple days so I did not go anywhere just OTC BUT will be here when duty calls for this. Kick n the pants if we get this to start our snow seasonal average going!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:28 pm

Good luck with surgery mugs

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Post by amugs Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:34 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Good luck with surgery mugs

Thanks. Sucks getting old ha ha ha!!
Hernia, just hope they don't have to cut me mick and the laparoscopic works. Got it on my trip in Italy - helping an old lady on the Vaparetto.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by sroc4 Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:48 pm

@billg315 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@billg315 wrote:Way too far out to get my hopes up, but if it's still around on the models come Monday, I'll be hooked. So here's how it goes: This weekend rumblings reach social media and all our friends/co-workers who know we study the weather will start asking, "Is it true we're getting three feet of snow next weekend?"; Early next week the TV mets start saying, "We're keeping our eye on the potential for a major storm, likely snow, this coming weekend.";  Around mid-week the models start waffling and everyone here gets ready to jump off a ledge and give up on the winter; By Friday the models are back in agreement and the supermarkets get flooded with people stocking up on batteries, milk, eggs and (in my case) beer. Then we spend an entirely sleepless weekend following every change in every model run for 48 straight hours. So there you have it, our next 10 days is mapped out.

More like this:

The GFS continues outputting a Roidzilla type storm each run. Twitter bursts into a frenzy with snowfall maps and references to historical blizzards such as 1996. TV Mets begin hinting of the possibility this weekend. Once the week starts, their tone changes from skepticism to acknowledgment this is actually possible. The EURO, CMC, NAVGEM, UKMET begin showing the same thing as the GFS. Weenies reach an extreme level of ween and start making snow maps for a storm still 7 days out. Soon, these snow maps go viral then Mets have to take the time to explain how the general public should not follow social media to track storms. We're within 5-6 days and the GFS loses the storm. People complain how awful the GFS is and that we should only follow the EURO. The same day, the EURO loses the storm. The weenies already wave the white flag. Some overdose on sleeping pills so they can wake up by next winter. Others Google where the nearest bridge is.

We're now within 4 days and the EURO brings the storm back. There's a celebration among the masses. The TV Mets are officially hyping the crap out of the storm telling everyone it will rival Sandy. Home Depot turns into a circus and supermarkets to battelfields. The fight for the last loaf of bread always seems to be between two mom's who honestly have no clue what the F they're doing. They just need milk and bread. Seriously, why not nutella? Just a suggestion. The dads at Home Depot go for the cheapest snowblower there is. Unfortunately some are stuck purchasing the $5,000 one. If you're my Italian Nonna then you'll make sure to windex the hell out of it after the storm so you can return it back to Home Depot.

Well, we're now within 3 days and the SREFS confirm a Roidzilla is coming. Some people are worried the spread is too far east and subsequent runs will push the storm out to sea. Others start reminiscing about Juno and how 2.0 may happen. Weenies attack those people as if they just kidnapped their child or took their winning PowerBall lottery ticket. The SREFS in the PM run have a spread closer to the coast and the Powerball winner is so happy he says the first weenie to make a snow map showing his backyard in the jackpot will get half his money.

We're within 24 hours from this epic storm. The sky turns ominous and the air begins to smell like snow. No point in going to the supermarket unless you're looking for the soul you lost when you were there 2 days prior. At this point, weenies, enthusiasts, and Mets alike have slept 16 hours total in the last 6 days. Since family members know you're the weather nerd you receive endless emails and texts asking how much snow the area will get.

Let's be honest, the morning of the storm rivals Christmas Day. Everyone is in their glory and - naturally - check the 06z to make sure nothing has changed that would require die hard fans to be rushed to the ER.

And that's how the cookie will crumble.

HAHAHA! Excellent. Love it. Especially: "Seriously, why not nutella? Just a suggestion."

You both have me in stitches. I'm doing my best to control my enthusiasm. I will say that while at work, which was insane I left the image Of the 973mb low just diff the Delmarva up on my screen so in betweenappointments I could just stare at it. Lol

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:54 pm

I cannot BELIEVE this could happen while I'm away in the DR. I get back to NYC on the NINETEENTH!!! 😢
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Post by Guest Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:56 pm

Great post Frank. I thought my mom was the only one with the windex return scam. I swear if this storm still looks possible inside of 5 days this place with all our pent up frustration and anticipation is going to EXPLODE!!!!!! All this for a storm now 9 days out!!!!!!! Shocked Shocked Shocked Shocked

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Post by snow247 Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:57 pm

The weenie in me hopes the 0z GFS looks even better than 18z.
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Post by amugs Thu Jan 07, 2016 9:58 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:I cannot BELIEVE this could happen while I'm away in the DR. I get back to NYC on the NINETEENTH!!! 😢

If it occurs u aint gettin back till the 23rd!!!

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Jan 07, 2016 10:02 pm

@amugs wrote:
@SoulSingMG wrote:I cannot BELIEVE this could happen while I'm away in the DR. I get back to NYC on the NINETEENTH!!! 😢

If it occurs u aint gettin back till the 23rd!!!

Well. I suppose they're worse places to be stuck lol. But the only delay I'm gonna pray for is this storm to start midday Tues, 19th. Sorry guys and gals! Laughing
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Jan 07, 2016 10:55 pm

Nick Gregory just hinted at something possible for next weekend..saying this SUnday could be close to record temp,but after that going to see a big shift jn weather pattern and possible weather event
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 11:53 pm

00z GFS still has the storm but much weaker, but thats not to be concerned about, it still has the storm on the 17th, we can be happy with that : ) Plus looks like the 13th system is trending to effect more western areas.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 07, 2016 11:57 pm

It still looks like a godzilla as its almost 24 hrs of snow, will post snow map in a minute when I can get closeup of NYC area, should this now go in Jan obs discussion being its under 10 days?
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 08, 2016 12:10 am

Well this suxs for the coast but this run was a bit warmer, many days to go still good signal.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 38 Gfs_6h13
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Fri Jan 08, 2016 12:26 am

0z GFS still has a beaut..

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=228&image=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_228_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160108+00+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model
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Post by Guest Fri Jan 08, 2016 1:15 am

Seems like it's back to the idea of real SLOW moving storm.

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Post by nutleyblizzard Fri Jan 08, 2016 6:08 am

http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/model_loops/06zgfs_namer_pcp.phpThe often unpredictable GFS takes it to a new level with the 06z run regarding the 1/17 storm. If you loop through it, a massive fetch of moisture streams up the coast culminating into a stalling 976 bomb of the delmarva. After about 60 hours of snow it finally pulls away. A weenies dream of a run. Take it for what it is, but the models are showing there's a lot of potential on the horizon. Fun times ahead!


Last edited by nutleyblizzard on Fri Jan 08, 2016 6:20 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by frank 638 Fri Jan 08, 2016 6:15 am

For Tues night the gfs has snow showers back on the table

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 08, 2016 6:45 am

Nutley at 240 hrs gfs had no snow for the timeframe just a weak lp 1000 mb is it past 240 hrs now?
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 08, 2016 6:48 am

Oh jeeze 264 hrs I see well it is to b expected to see things move around but thats a enrirely different day. Euro has no storm and cmc is not much either. Interesting.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Jan 08, 2016 7:10 am

@amugs wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Good luck with surgery mugs

Thanks. Sucks getting old ha ha ha!!
Hernia, just hope they don't have to cut me mick and the laparoscopic works. Got it on my trip in Italy - helping an old lady on the Vaparetto.

Mugsy, sorry to hear you have to go under the knife.I hope it goes smooth and easy and you have a quick recovery.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Jan 08, 2016 7:12 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Well this suxs for the coast but this run was a bit warmer, many days to go still good signal.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 38 Gfs_6h13

Classic HV N and W snowstorm of years gone by. CP and I will sign for this right now!
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