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November 2015 Observations & Discussions

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Nov 01, 2015 8:16 am

The only interesting thing going on this week is the release of my winter outlook tomorrow. Otherwise, temps in the 70s! And it may last into the 2nd week of November. This has a 2009 feel to it.

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  Cd108.53.136.14.304.6.2.9.prcp

We all remember how the ensuing winter played out then. For the record, there is no correlation between November's and ensuing winters. I just find it interesting considering that was also an El Nino event.

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Post by docstox12 Sun Nov 01, 2015 1:40 pm

Looks like this mild first half of November is off and running.

64 degrees! 64% 29.72 F partly cloudy.

I'm keeping the deck furniture out for a while because I'll be able to get out there longer with this projected mild weather.
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Post by mako460 Sun Nov 01, 2015 3:46 pm

Hey Doc, go outside with a nice stogie and a good healthy snifter of brandy and enjoy! Soon enough you will be glued to your computer tracking storms.

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Post by Quietace Sun Nov 01, 2015 4:01 pm

Some rain today but it is still beautiful out. November 2015 Observations & Discussions  Img_2511

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Nov 01, 2015 4:05 pm

Had Sunday dinner with the family today. Wine, pasta, and pork cutlets.

Got to sit outside with a temp near 70

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Nov 01, 2015 4:05 pm

@Quietace wrote:Some rain today but it is still beautiful out. November 2015 Observations & Discussions  Img_2511

Nice pic

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Post by docstox12 Sun Nov 01, 2015 7:48 pm

@mako460 wrote:Hey Doc, go outside with a nice stogie and a good healthy snifter of brandy and enjoy!  Soon enough you will be glued to your computer tracking storms.

Mako, I did just that but with red wine instead.Sitting in the balmy breeze watching yellow Maple leaves swirling down.Going to be doing this through mid-month according to Frank's long range.Gonna head up to Roscoe and the Beaverkill for some trout fishing Friday, the river got a nice bump up from the rain last week.Enjoy my friend!!

45.8 degrees now, 90% 29.79F
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Nov 02, 2015 11:56 am

Looks like close call around 108 hrs with glc. Showing another strong wind event possible. Is that cutter possibly going to b further south and east?
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 02, 2015 4:51 pm

Expect some rain showers on Thursday afternoon. Also, colder than normal temps likely Saturday evening into Sunday from a passing cold front. Soe rain possible over the weekend from it too, but not a lot.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 02, 2015 7:30 pm

Who is ready for the 70's? Oh yea.

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Post by amugs Mon Nov 02, 2015 7:38 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Who is ready for the 70's? Oh yea.

Bring on Donna Summer, Bee Gee's, Zepplin, Aerosmith, Velour , Pumas and Check Taylor's hells ya I'm ready!! Oh and how did I forget Farrah Fawcet RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!!!!!!! RIP - had this poster on my bed room wall till I was 20 something.

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  Images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSSkrquMRLGy-dCLn8N2Uyz5KqXyZmC1RzOlfEQU_aolspSeVqU


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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 02, 2015 7:55 pm

Stunning.

Aerosmith and Bee Gees are great. My dad always put their music on when I was younger.

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Post by HectorO Mon Nov 02, 2015 8:08 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:The only interesting thing going on this week is the release of my winter outlook tomorrow. Otherwise, temps in the 70s! And it may last into the 2nd week of November. This has a 2009 feel to it.

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  Cd108.53.136.14.304.6.2.9.prcp

We all remember how the ensuing winter played out then. For the record, there is no correlation between November's and ensuing winters. I just find it interesting considering that was also an El Nino event.

I forgot actually lol. That was a a good winter correct? Way better than the 2007/2008 one.
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Post by HectorO Tue Nov 03, 2015 12:14 pm

@amugs wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Who is ready for the 70's? Oh yea.

Bring on Donna Summer, Bee Gee's, Zepplin, Aerosmith, Velour , Pumas and Check Taylor's hells ya I'm ready!! Oh and how did I forget Farrah Fawcet RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!!!!!!! RIP - had this poster on my bed room wall till I was 20 something.

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  Images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSSkrquMRLGy-dCLn8N2Uyz5KqXyZmC1RzOlfEQU_aolspSeVqU


Stones, walsh, lynard skynard, neil young, come on man! You're missing classics lol
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Post by amugs Tue Nov 03, 2015 12:17 pm

@HectorO wrote:
@amugs wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Who is ready for the 70's? Oh yea.

Bring on Donna Summer, Bee Gee's, Zepplin, Aerosmith, Velour , Pumas and Check Taylor's hells ya I'm ready!! Oh and how did I forget Farrah Fawcet RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!!!!!!! RIP - had this poster on my bed room wall till I was 20 something.

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  Images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSSkrquMRLGy-dCLn8N2Uyz5KqXyZmC1RzOlfEQU_aolspSeVqU


Stones,  walsh, lynard skynard, neil young,  come on man! You're missing classics lol

Oh boy and eagles, mcartney, sonny and cher, traffic, cream, little tim and Tom Jones - WTH???? Not 70* yet here holding at 68*

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Post by Dtone Tue Nov 03, 2015 4:54 pm

75* today. A nice Sept day

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Post by snow247 Tue Nov 03, 2015 6:51 pm

http://www.rocklandtimes.com/2015/11/03/northern-lights-may-glow-over-northeast-midwest-this-week/

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  650x3610


Last edited by snow247 on Tue Nov 03, 2015 6:55 pm; edited 2 times in total
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Nov 03, 2015 6:53 pm

I know this is lr but seems lr thread basically about the winter look at this crazy cutter around 200 hrs. Way out but been consistently show on models. If those winds were
Able to mix down unlike the past one that would b a big
Storm than the last. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015110318/gfs_mslp_uv850_us_39.png
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Nov 03, 2015 7:29 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:I know this is lr but seems lr thread basically about the winter look at this crazy cutter around 200 hrs. Way out but been consistently show on models. If those winds were
Able to mix down unlike the past one that would b a big
Storm than the last. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015110318/gfs_mslp_uv850_us_39.png

Not interested in this storm. It may cut so far west we get warm sectored with little rain and wind.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Nov 03, 2015 7:30 pm

Average temp anomalies over next 7 days...5 to 10 degrees above normal 

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  Gfs_t2x_anom7_east_5

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Nov 03, 2015 8:12 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:I know this is lr but seems lr thread basically about the winter look at this crazy cutter around 200 hrs. Way out but been consistently show on models. If those winds were
Able to mix down unlike the past one that would b a big
Storm than the last. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015110318/gfs_mslp_uv850_us_39.png

Not interested in this storm. It may cut so far west we get warm sectored with little rain and wind.

The Euro was totally different with two LP coming across, but I will take your word for it, just been so darn boring, was nice out today.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Nov 03, 2015 8:26 pm

I haven't seen the EURO. I'll update this potential this weekend.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Nov 04, 2015 3:41 pm

Today high of 68° yesterday hit 75° great t shirt and shorts weather
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Post by docstox12 Thu Nov 05, 2015 6:19 am

50.3 degrees for the LOW.That's normally around the high here this time of year!

Absolutely beautiful summer weather.Lee had a chart saying there were two days 70 degrees so far this November.That's as many as 2010-2014 COMBINED with a chance to add two more days this week.Now that's Native American Summer.I say it the PC way,LOL!!!
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Post by amugs Thu Nov 05, 2015 8:27 am

November is already +8.5* above normal for this time of year. Record I believe being 2003 at +9.5 for the first week.

Saving big time of heat me home so far between last month and November. I would not be surprised at this rate if Nov comes in the top 5 warmest Nov of ALL TIME!!!

Foggy here in BC. Looks like April outside.

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