November 2015 Observations & Discussions

The only interesting thing going on this week is the release of my winter outlook tomorrow. Otherwise, temps in the 70s! And it may last into the 2nd week of November. This has a 2009 feel to it.



We all remember how the ensuing winter played out then. For the record, there is no correlation between November's and ensuing winters. I just find it interesting considering that was also an El Nino event.

Looks like this mild first half of November is off and running.

64 degrees! 64% 29.72 F partly cloudy.

I'm keeping the deck furniture out for a while because I'll be able to get out there longer with this projected mild weather.

Hey Doc, go outside with a nice stogie and a good healthy snifter of brandy and enjoy! Soon enough you will be glued to your computer tracking storms.

Some rain today but it is still beautiful out.

Had Sunday dinner with the family today. Wine, pasta, and pork cutlets.

Got to sit outside with a temp near 70

@Quietace wrote:Some rain today but it is still beautiful out.

Nice pic

@mako460 wrote:Hey Doc, go outside with a nice stogie and a good healthy snifter of brandy and enjoy!  Soon enough you will be glued to your computer tracking storms.

Mako, I did just that but with red wine instead.Sitting in the balmy breeze watching yellow Maple leaves swirling down.Going to be doing this through mid-month according to Frank's long range.Gonna head up to Roscoe and the Beaverkill for some trout fishing Friday, the river got a nice bump up from the rain last week.Enjoy my friend!!

45.8 degrees now, 90% 29.79F

Looks like close call around 108 hrs with glc. Showing another strong wind event possible. Is that cutter possibly going to b further south and east?

Expect some rain showers on Thursday afternoon. Also, colder than normal temps likely Saturday evening into Sunday from a passing cold front. Soe rain possible over the weekend from it too, but not a lot.

Who is ready for the 70's? Oh yea.

@Frank_Wx wrote:Who is ready for the 70's? Oh yea.

Bring on Donna Summer, Bee Gee's, Zepplin, Aerosmith, Velour , Pumas and Check Taylor's hells ya I'm ready!! Oh and how did I forget Farrah Fawcet RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!!!!!!! RIP - had this poster on my bed room wall till I was 20 something.

Stunning.

Aerosmith and Bee Gees are great. My dad always put their music on when I was younger.

@Frank_Wx wrote:The only interesting thing going on this week is the release of my winter outlook tomorrow. Otherwise, temps in the 70s! And it may last into the 2nd week of November. This has a 2009 feel to it.



We all remember how the ensuing winter played out then. For the record, there is no correlation between November's and ensuing winters. I just find it interesting considering that was also an El Nino event.

I forgot actually lol. That was a a good winter correct? Way better than the 2007/2008 one.

@amugs wrote:

@Frank_Wx wrote:Who is ready for the 70's? Oh yea.

Bring on Donna Summer, Bee Gee's, Zepplin, Aerosmith, Velour , Pumas and Check Taylor's hells ya I'm ready!! Oh and how did I forget Farrah Fawcet RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!!!!!!! RIP - had this poster on my bed room wall till I was 20 something.

Stones, walsh, lynard skynard, neil young, come on man! You're missing classics lol

@HectorO wrote:

@amugs wrote:

@Frank_Wx wrote:Who is ready for the 70's? Oh yea.

Bring on Donna Summer, Bee Gee's, Zepplin, Aerosmith, Velour , Pumas and Check Taylor's hells ya I'm ready!! Oh and how did I forget Farrah Fawcet RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!!!!!!! RIP - had this poster on my bed room wall till I was 20 something.

Stones,  walsh, lynard skynard, neil young,  come on man! You're missing classics lol

Oh boy and eagles, mcartney, sonny and cher, traffic, cream, little tim and Tom Jones - WTH???? Not 70* yet here holding at 68*

75* today. A nice Sept day

http://www.rocklandtimes.com/2015/11/03/northern-lights-may-glow-over-northeast-midwest-this-week/

I know this is lr but seems lr thread basically about the winter look at this crazy cutter around 200 hrs. Way out but been consistently show on models. If those winds were
Able to mix down unlike the past one that would b a big
Storm than the last. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015110318/gfs_mslp_uv850_us_39.png

@jmanley32 wrote:I know this is lr but seems lr thread basically about the winter look at this crazy cutter around 200 hrs. Way out but been consistently show on models. If those winds were
Able to mix down unlike the past one that would b a big
Storm than the last. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015110318/gfs_mslp_uv850_us_39.png

Not interested in this storm. It may cut so far west we get warm sectored with little rain and wind.

Average temp anomalies over next 7 days...5 to 10 degrees above normal 

@Frank_Wx wrote:

@jmanley32 wrote:I know this is lr but seems lr thread basically about the winter look at this crazy cutter around 200 hrs. Way out but been consistently show on models. If those winds were
Able to mix down unlike the past one that would b a big
Storm than the last. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015110318/gfs_mslp_uv850_us_39.png

Not interested in this storm. It may cut so far west we get warm sectored with little rain and wind.

The Euro was totally different with two LP coming across, but I will take your word for it, just been so darn boring, was nice out today.

I haven't seen the EURO. I'll update this potential this weekend.

Today high of 68° yesterday hit 75° great t shirt and shorts weather

50.3 degrees for the LOW.That's normally around the high here this time of year!

Absolutely beautiful summer weather.Lee had a chart saying there were two days 70 degrees so far this November.That's as many as 2010-2014 COMBINED with a chance to add two more days this week.Now that's Native American Summer.I say it the PC way,LOL!!!

November is already +8.5* above normal for this time of year. Record I believe being 2003 at +9.5 for the first week.

Saving big time of heat me home so far between last month and November. I would not be surprised at this rate if Nov comes in the top 5 warmest Nov of ALL TIME!!!

Foggy here in BC. Looks like April outside.