NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

November 2015 Observations & Discussions

+21
CPcantmeasuresnow
UnionWX
billg315
Math23x7
dkodgis
aiannone
rb924119
Dunnzoo
NjWeatherGuy
algae888
sroc4
skinsfan1177
snow247
Dtone
HectorO
amugs
jmanley32
Quietace
mako460
docstox12
Frank_Wx
25 posters

Page 5 of 13 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 ... 11, 12, 13  Next

Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs Thu Nov 12, 2015 3:20 pm

Just outside for State Soccer game - raw and wet - drizzle/ mist and periods or rain - hate this weather!!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12202
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by snow247 Thu Nov 12, 2015 9:58 pm

Wind picking up here, was strong enough to knock out the power for a few seconds about 10 minutes ago.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Nov 13, 2015 5:01 am

I thought it was going to get really windy today it's not windy at all
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Nov 13, 2015 6:10 am

@skinsfan1177 wrote:I thought it was going to get really windy today it's not windy at all

Will be worse tonight

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20010
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by jmanley32 Fri Nov 13, 2015 7:08 am

Innaccuwx now says 50mph gusts today and 48 tomorrow thats too high obviously we would have advisories if that was case. There is somethING wrong with their for casting system.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17978
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by aiannone Fri Nov 13, 2015 10:29 am

45.9* here in Lyndonville, VT with a light breeze. Will be heading down to LI around 12pm today!
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4257
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by algae888 Fri Nov 13, 2015 2:48 pm

Are there any other sites where I can get to the deterministic ao/nao other than cpc and are the other models more accurate than cpc?


Last edited by algae888 on Fri Nov 13, 2015 2:54 pm; edited 1 time in total
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5225
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 59
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs Fri Nov 13, 2015 2:54 pm

Look at this from the Weather Historian Unc W - incredible, crush the old records even if we go normal the rest of the month:

NYCis averaging 58.5 so far for November...I think it becomes the warmest ever with a 53.0 or above final average...
warmest Novembers...
52.7 in 2001
52.5 in 1979
52.4 in 1948
52.3 in 1975
51.9 in 2011
51.9 in 2006
51.9 in 1994
51.9 in 1931
51.5 in 1902
51.1 in 2009
50.8 in 1999

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12202
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by docstox12 Fri Nov 13, 2015 9:20 pm

38.8, 67%, 29.64 R. Howling wind. Most leaves all gone now.

Last Thanksgiving we had 9 inches on the ground.Don't think that will happen this year.Would be nice to see some flurries/snow showers though.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7243
Reputation : 214
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by dkodgis Sat Nov 14, 2015 6:25 am

gusty and with a pretty stiff steady breeze this morning here in northern Orange County at 5 am. I see a high here today of only 45 but won't it be getting warmer again next week? This has been easy on the oil bill!
dkodgis
dkodgis
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1526
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by docstox12 Sat Nov 14, 2015 7:10 am

39.9, 70% 29.80 R.Howling wind.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7243
Reputation : 214
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Nov 14, 2015 7:12 am

Currently 41° beautiful sunruse
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by Quietace Sat Nov 14, 2015 9:54 am

Flurrying for a greater part of the day today in Shelburne, Vt. The Green Mountains are receiving slightly more meaningful precip from orographic lift.

_________________
Ryan
Ph.D  Candidate at FSU
M.S. in Meteorology from FSU
B.S. in Meteorology from Plymouth State University
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3615
Reputation : 32
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 24
Location : Tallahassee, FL

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by algae888 Sat Nov 14, 2015 11:27 am

A wintery feel to the day today with temps in the forties and gusty winds. Today is the first below normal day in November. Next week's warm up continues to lose steam. temperatures on Tuesday will probably not going to get out of the forties and also a cool day on Wednesday and if the front comes in sooner than expected Thursday will be the only warm day next week.
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5225
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 59
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Nov 15, 2015 9:41 am

Just read a crazy phenomenon going on at lake Erie. With the wind droppi,g levels by 6 feet raiding levels on other end by 7 feet. Oman where you at lol. Link below

http://superstation95.com/index.php/world/515
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by sroc4 Sun Nov 15, 2015 9:54 am

@skinsfan1177 wrote:Just read a crazy phenomenon going on at lake Erie. With the wind droppi,g levels by 6 feet raiding levels on other end by 7 feet. Oman where you at lol. Link below

http://superstation95.com/index.php/world/515

Having a hard time believing this skins. Time stamp on the article is Nov12th. If this were even remotely true it would prob have made natnl news. Wind speeds will often exceed that what was seen on the twelfth in winter.

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6888
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Nov 15, 2015 10:12 am

@sroc4 wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:Just read a crazy phenomenon going on at lake Erie. With the wind droppi,g levels by 6 feet raiding levels on other end by 7 feet. Oman where you at lol. Link below

http://superstation95.com/index.php/world/515

Having a hard time believing this skins.  Time stamp on the article is Nov12th.  If this were even remotely true it would prob have made natnl news.  Wind speeds will often exceed that what was seen on the twelfth in winter.    

Sroc yes it was a couple days ago that picture in last article is definetly not real but their definetly was major flooding their. Hetes another link.

http://www.mlive.com/news/grand-rapids/index.ssf/2015/11/lake_erie_phenomenon_seiche_ca.html
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs Sun Nov 15, 2015 10:46 am

30* here this morning, 6 am hockey game at an outdoor Arena for the love of Pete!!!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12202
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by aiannone Sun Nov 15, 2015 10:48 am

Bottomed out at 30.8* here in Saint James, LI. Finally felt like November.
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4257
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by snow247 Sun Nov 15, 2015 3:50 pm

Euro has a very light snow event around the 22nd.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Nov 15, 2015 3:51 pm

Nice day today. There's a couple of things I'm working on for the forum. Including tomorrow's blog.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20010
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by amugs Sun Nov 15, 2015 3:56 pm

http://www.bluehill.org/BHO201516WINTER.pdf

Joe D'aelo winter forecast, talks about NE but encompasses the Northeast. Wow in his belief of using 2202-03, 1995-96 and 2104-15 as POSSIBLE analogs. Expecting nino the peak in all regions by the end of this month.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12202
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by Math23x7 Sun Nov 15, 2015 4:14 pm

@amugs wrote:http://www.bluehill.org/BHO201516WINTER.pdf

Joe D'aelo winter forecast, talks about NE but encompasses the Northeast. Wow in his belief of using 2202-03, 1995-96 and 2104-15 as POSSIBLE analogs. Expecting nino the peak in all regions by the end of this month.
2202-03?? 2104-15?? WOW! I had no idea Joe D'aleo could make accurate winter predictions centuries into the future!!!  Laughing

Math23x7
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 2288
Reputation : 68
Join date : 2013-01-08

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 16, 2015 12:28 pm

Just lovely out. In the upper 60's.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20010
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 16, 2015 12:29 pm

Like I mentioned in the Mo Mo, rain Thursday probably around half an inch to threw quarters of an inch. Will come to an end by 8pm.

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f81

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20010
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 5 Empty Re: November 2015 Observations & Discussions

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 5 of 13 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 ... 11, 12, 13  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum