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November 2015 Observations & Discussions

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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Nov 10, 2015 1:35 pm

@algae888 wrote:Only .11 for me.  it's been raining since about 7 a.m. but very very light. It looks like the GFS and Euro we're right with this one. Nam sref and rgem all had me for an inch or more. If this was in the middle of the winter and snow everyone north and west of the city would be screaming this morning

yes, raw and drizzly with a few pockets of steady rain, but not much. S & E win again Evil or Very Mad

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Nov 10, 2015 1:36 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:Over achiever for sure hoping that continues into djf

for you maybe, up here in the northern burbs waiting for "N & W of the city...." Razz


Last edited by Dunnzoo on Tue Nov 10, 2015 2:12 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by algae888 Tue Nov 10, 2015 2:03 pm

I'm hearing the Euro has .75 to 1.25" for the city on East tonight don't know if that's true it didn't have it last night or yesterday
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Nov 10, 2015 2:20 pm

Just Got home 1.21 I'm the bucket still drizzling out.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Nov 10, 2015 2:26 pm

Under a severe thunderstorm warning and hear thunder rumbling. Didnt expect this, cell to south moving north.
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Post by sroc4 Tue Nov 10, 2015 4:23 pm

@algae888 wrote:I'm hearing  the Euro has .75 to 1.25" for the city on East tonight don't know if that's true it didn't have it last night or yesterday


Latest HRRR for the next 15hrs:
November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 4 Accqpfne

Latest NAM for the next 24hrs:
November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 4 Accqpfne

12zRGEM:
November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 4 Accqpfne

12zEuro: over 36hrs:
November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 4 <a href=November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 4 Ecmwf_22" />

BTW...GREAT SITE rb!!!

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by sroc4 Tue Nov 10, 2015 4:24 pm

0.35" so far for me in the gauge.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by sroc4 Tue Nov 10, 2015 4:29 pm

Actually latest HRRR which just finished shifted the heaviest core of rain S and E from prev run:
November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 4 Accqpfne

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Nov 10, 2015 4:31 pm

The south and east trends still continues lol
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Nov 10, 2015 6:14 pm

Still raingi,g it's been raining since way this morning now up to 1.45 and still going
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Post by amugs Tue Nov 10, 2015 7:22 pm

.15" in thew bucket - raw and wet typical November weather.


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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Nov 10, 2015 8:32 pm

Cold front will pass through Friday. Temps won't get that much cooler - probably 50s. Maybe some isolated ahowers.

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 4 Ecmwf_z500_norm_noram_15


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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Nov 11, 2015 6:08 am

2.07 total from yesterday and last night. Jackpot
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Nov 11, 2015 8:32 am

Yeah if it was snow jackpot, this weather just stinks raw and nasty, I thought it was supposed to stop yesterday I woke up at 2am and it was pouring still sprinkle now. What does Fri/Sat look like?
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Nov 11, 2015 11:10 am

@skinsfan1177 wrote:2.07 total from yesterday and last night. Jackpot

That is impressive.

I got crap.

Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Nov 11, 2015 12:27 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:2.07 total from yesterday and last night. Jackpot

That is impressive.

I got crap.

Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad

Sorry to hear that Frank, crap is always worse than rain, snow etc. lol I know lame joke.
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Post by algae888 Wed Nov 11, 2015 3:50 pm

This November is probably going to be the warmest November on record. We are already + 8 in temperature departure through the first 10 days. During the next 10 days, after a chilly weekend, the 540 line is going to be well up into northeast Canada and the 850 S 0 degrees Celsius with it. Heck even the 10 degrees Celsius on the 850 S is going to be in northern New England. Unless it gets very cold towards the end of the month this is going to be a November to remember for warm weather lovers.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Nov 11, 2015 6:30 pm

We are in a very tranquil weather pattern right now. Look for light rain Thursday afternoon with clearing by late Friday morning. Weekend into next week look pretty dry. Maybe the tranquility means we'll see a very active winter season? There's no science behind that, just wishful thinking.

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Nov 11, 2015 6:37 pm

Frank I see upper level 850 winds will b quite high fri and sat. Accu wx calling gusts past 40mph do you see this or as usual are they innaccuwx? Gfs has 850s on the 50+ kt area
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Nov 11, 2015 8:28 pm

Well probably see gusts between 25 and 35mph, isolated 40s.

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Post by docstox12 Thu Nov 12, 2015 6:30 am

Logged 1.29 for the last couple of days.

47.8, 94% 29.79 R drizzle.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Nov 12, 2015 9:22 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:Well probably see gusts between 25 and 35mph, isolated 40s.

Bout what I was guessing you would say, there was actually a reason why I asked as those winds are strong enough to mess my plans up a bit but no biggie, ill just get my wind anemometer out and see the highest recording I can get. At least it won't be raining : )
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Nov 12, 2015 9:23 am

We had more showers this morning, its been so dreary.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Nov 12, 2015 9:59 am

Luckily it is going to clear out. We may not see rain again for another 10 days. Geesh

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Nov 12, 2015 10:27 am

Fast moving line of steady rain moving into our area soon

November 2015 Observations & Discussions  - Page 4 Inxr1Kphla_h

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