Nov. 16th Mo Mo Update

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Nov 16, 2015 7:58 am

Good Morning All,

Today begins the Mo Mo, or "Monday Morning," updates. Every Monday morning you can expect a short blog that looks at the weather for the week ahead, the following week, and sometimes even further out. Here is this morning's edition.

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2015/11/november-16th-mo-mo.html

by **sroc4** Mon Nov 16, 2015 8:56 am

Cool idea Frank. With the GFS bias of being a little too fast, and the Euros bias tending to hold too much energy back in the west I think a safe bet at this time would be a trough axis positioned a little bit further west from the GFS in the Turkey day time frame so long as the ridging into Alaska holds true. Long way to go though as you said.

by **amugs** Mon Nov 16, 2015 9:35 am

Frank - something to finally look forward to on Monday Mornings!!
Great write up and look forward to our first white gold event area wide to get us in the mood for what is to come.
First battle of the season between the GFS and Euro with MANY more to come over the next 4 months (D-M)!

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Nov 16, 2015 9:58 am

sroc4 wrote:Cool idea Frank. With the GFS bias of being a little too fast, and the Euros bias tending to hold too much energy back in the west I think a safe bet at this time would be a trough axis positioned a little bit further west from the GFS in the Turkey day time frame so long as the ridging into Alaska holds true. Long way to go though as you said.

Thanks Scott. My concern is the ridging in Alaska will break down too quickly due to the incredibly fast Pacific Jet. This time of year, I tend to favor the progressive solutions over the slower / amplified one's. We'll see how today's trends look.

amugs wrote:Frank - something to finally look forward to on Monday Mornings!!
Great write up and look forward to our first white gold event area wide to get us in the mood for what is to come.
First battle of the season between the GFS and Euro with MANY more to come over the next 4 months (D-M)!

Yea, would be sweet to see some flakes fly Sunday or next Monday.