Long Range Thread 9.0
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snowlover 12345
Snowfall
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
How much would it suck if after this record warm and wet December, we go cold with the pattern change, but don't have any storms.
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
syosnow94 wrote:How much would it suck if after this record warm and wet December, we go cold with the pattern change, but don't have any storms.
Hush jinxer! LOL But no that would tryly b aweful but I think we see trains of storms like franks original map said storms galore (will they all hit and be snowstorms probably not but I bet we get a beast at least once).
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
Friends-Happy New Year. Here's to some real snow coming next month. Cheers.
Regards, Damian
Regards, Damian
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
I think we may need to open up the tropical thread again as the euro has a tropical storm off the southern Florida coast on day 7.lol
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
All three models continue to show a storm for next Saturday and Sunday. All three show a transfer to the coast. the euro is the warmest of all. This could be a first legitimate shot at snow
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
Cold Monday night and Tuesday depicted the GFS and Euro
Highs in the mid to upper 20s on Tuesday and lows in the upper teens for NYC
Highs in the mid to upper 20s on Tuesday and lows in the upper teens for NYC
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
Euro was very close to a minor coastal snow event during the Monday time frame.
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
Snow88 wrote:Cold Monday night and Tuesday depicted the GFS and Euro
Highs in the mid to upper 20s on Tuesday and lows in the upper teens for NYC
It's about damn time. A below normal day? What a novelty.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
I hear you CP
chief7- Posts : 132
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
Cp get ready for colder weather than this week in the January 10th thru 20th time frame. Eps is really cold and getting colder with each runCPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Snow88 wrote:Cold Monday night and Tuesday depicted the GFS and Euro
Highs in the mid to upper 20s on Tuesday and lows in the upper teens for NYC
It's about damn time. A below normal day? What a novelty.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
Yes we should at least see some snow showers with the Arctic front but I have a feeling in the next 3 weeks we're going to see storms popping up in the three to five day time frame as the models are having a hard time with this pattern change. Today's gfs has a huge negative nao at the end of its run. Eps very cold. Also hearing there are tropical systems in the Pacific when added to the mix of what's going on in the atmosphere will really give the models trouble. Finally some fun times aheadaiannone wrote:Euro was very close to a minor coastal snow event during the Monday time frame.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
algae888 wrote:Yes we should at least see some snow showers with the Arctic front but I have a feeling in the next 3 weeks we're going to see storms popping up in the three to five day time frame as the models are having a hard time with this pattern change. Today's gfs has a huge negative nao at the end of its run. Eps very cold. Also hearing there are tropical systems in the Pacific when added to the mix of what's going on in the atmosphere will really give the models trouble. Finally some fun times aheadaiannone wrote:Euro was very close to a minor coastal snow event during the Monday time frame.
I'm really hoping we lock into a pattern from mid Jan they match. February could be huge if we get the ColD to stay
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
it's the euro can't discount it lol. Tropics thread still openalgae888 wrote:I think we may need to open up the tropical thread again as the euro has a tropical storm off the southern Florida coast on day 7.lol
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
I'm not liking the threat too much between the 8th and 10th for snow. There's one around the 12th that I do find a bit more intriguing. Anywho, check out the -NAO block the GFS advertises mid-month. This would rival 2009 and likely bring a Godzilla to our area sometime between the 15th-25th.
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
Thumbs up I'm patiently waiting
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
Holy 18z gfs 15th...frank did u see gfs b5 post thst timeframe? If not u are god.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
jmanley32 wrote:Holy 18z gfs 15th...frank did u see gfs b5 post thst timeframe? If not u are god.
No I posted the 12z H5 map. I guess 18z shows a Godzilla?
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
Frank_Wx wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Holy 18z gfs 15th...frank did u see gfs b5 post thst timeframe? If not u are god.
No I posted the 12z H5 map. I guess 18z shows a Godzilla?
I guess one would say so?
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
amugs wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Holy 18z gfs 15th...frank did u see gfs b5 post thst timeframe? If not u are god.
No I posted the 12z H5 map. I guess 18z shows a Godzilla?
I guess one would say so?
can we just go to bed tonight and wake on the 15th??? That would make a lot of us Snow Lovers Happy!!
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
18z run tis an active and exciting run showing a few storm possibilities including the mouth watering fantasy bomber towards the end of the run.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=360&image=data%2Fgfs%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_360_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151231+18+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=360&image=data%2Fgfs%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_360_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151231+18+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
I just read the latest cansips model looks great for the month of January March- February March looks like a classic strong Nino setup, SE trough with strong ridging in NW Canada, PAC low just SW of aletuians I don't know how good that model is so I just was throwing it out there
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
amugs wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Holy 18z gfs 15th...frank did u see gfs b5 post thst timeframe? If not u are god.
No I posted the 12z H5 map. I guess 18z shows a Godzilla?
I guess one would say so?
I need a closer look at this: Humina humina humina. Its only the LR GFS, Its only the LR GFS
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
[quote="chief7"]I just read the latest cansips model looks great for the month of January March- February March looks like a classic strong Nino setup, SE trough with strong ridging in NW Canada, PAC low just SW of aletuians I don't know how good that model is so I just was throwing it out there[/quote
Mr Cohens latest J-M map temps bring it baby
CFS agrees hahahah!!
Mr Cohens latest J-M map temps bring it baby
CFS agrees hahahah!!
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
NjWeatherGuy wrote:18z run tis an active and exciting run showing a few storm possibilities including the mouth watering fantasy bomber towards the end of the run.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=360&image=data%2Fgfs%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_360_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151231+18+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model
Did u see duece bomb miller a it had after the 15th in the gulf, Texas coast. As per the ens that puppy should come our way also.
Done till manana off to celebrate new years.
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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
That's great news Mugs bring it on brother!!!!!!!!!!
chief7- Posts : 132
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Re: Long Range Thread 9.0
Holy mother of 0z GFS, Happy New Year 2016!
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=276&image=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_276_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160101+00+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=276&image=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_276_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160101+00+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model
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