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12/21/15 Mo Mo: Rainy Times Ahead

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:54 am

Good Morning,

Today's Mo Mo talks about the unsettled weather we'll see the next two weeks. I admittedly may have jumped to conclusions yesterday regarding the Stratosphere  (read blog to see why), but positive changes will still take place after the New Year. 

[size=32]http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2015/12/122115-mo-mo-rainy-times-ahead.html?m=1[/size]

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Post by sroc4 Mon Dec 21, 2015 7:07 am

Cant remember exactly who mentioned it on USA, I think Isotherm, but the look up at 1mb Strat is also very promising by day 10. Like you mentioned top to bottom would be ideal. One has to be excited about the strat forecast changes on modeling; however, it is still merely a virtual reality. But good things seem to be afoot in both the strat and the 500mb level heading into the new year.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ErvgV4P6Fzc

Goes from this:
12/21/15 Mo Mo: Rainy Times Ahead  Ecmwf1a12

To this hr120:
12/21/15 Mo Mo: Rainy Times Ahead  Ecmwf1f120

To this day 10:
12/21/15 Mo Mo: Rainy Times Ahead  Ecmwf1f240

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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Dec 21, 2015 7:49 am

Thank you Frank..as always a good read. I do not understand the technical terms..but you make it easy to follow!! I hope you have a wonderful Christmas!! santa santa rendeer rendeer
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Dec 21, 2015 8:49 am

Great synopsis Frank, I know you threw in the decent wind comment just for me LOL, I noted that on Euro it actually looked verbatim at this time to be in the 40-50mph range, though some spots showed much higher we know how these maps overdo every windy day pretty much. Despite all the rain everyone try and have a happy holiday, I am glad to hear xmas will be dry as in the afternoon I will be driving to CT to visit my parents after my little one gets her first Christmas she understands. I think she is going to take after her Daddy, WANTS SNOW!
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Post by Guest Mon Dec 21, 2015 9:22 am

Great job Frank. Very clear!! More depressing news for us weenies though. Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Dec 21, 2015 9:54 am

Great job Frank positives moving forward
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Post by Snow88 Mon Dec 21, 2015 9:54 am

I love Mo Mo outlooks Very Happy
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Dec 21, 2015 1:33 pm

@sroc4 wrote:Cant remember exactly who mentioned it on USA, I think Isotherm, but the look up at 1mb Strat is also very promising by day 10.  Like you mentioned top to bottom would be ideal.  One has to be excited about the strat forecast changes on modeling; however, it is still merely a virtual reality.  But good things seem to be afoot in both the strat and the 500mb level heading into the new year.  
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ErvgV4P6Fzc

Goes from this:
12/21/15 Mo Mo: Rainy Times Ahead  Ecmwf1a12

To this hr120:
12/21/15 Mo Mo: Rainy Times Ahead  Ecmwf1f120

To this day 10:
12/21/15 Mo Mo: Rainy Times Ahead  Ecmwf1f240

Yes, 1mb is very pretty. It's quite obvious the PV will be disrupted in the coming weeks. However, is it temporary or permanent? Latest guidance runs show the PV re-consolidating over the North Pole. If that's the case, we'll need another round of Rosby wave propagation to try and get the permanent displace to occur.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Dec 21, 2015 1:33 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Great synopsis Frank, I know you threw in the decent wind comment just for me LOL, I noted that on Euro it actually looked verbatim at this time to be in the 40-50mph range, though some spots showed much higher we know how these maps overdo every windy day pretty much.  Despite all the rain everyone try and have a happy holiday, I am glad to hear xmas will be dry as in the afternoon I will be driving to CT to visit my parents after my little one gets her first Christmas she understands.  I think she is going to take after her Daddy, WANTS SNOW!

Sounds like she's on her way to becoming just like one of us - crazy enthusiast's Wink


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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Dec 21, 2015 1:34 pm

Also, thank you all for the feedback. Glad most people find the Mo Mo's valuable.

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Dec 23, 2015 1:11 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Great synopsis Frank, I know you threw in the decent wind comment just for me LOL, I noted that on Euro it actually looked verbatim at this time to be in the 40-50mph range, though some spots showed much higher we know how these maps overdo every windy day pretty much.  Despite all the rain everyone try and have a happy holiday, I am glad to hear xmas will be dry as in the afternoon I will be driving to CT to visit my parents after my little one gets her first Christmas she understands.  I think she is going to take after her Daddy, WANTS SNOW!

Sounds like she's on her way to becoming just like one of us - crazy enthusiast's Wink


Shes so cute ask me this morning, Dada raining out? Holding up her boots. LOL
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